Opinion Poll by Infortécnica for Segre, 4–13 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 23.6% 22.1–25.2% 21.7–25.7% 21.3–26.1% 20.6–26.9%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 23.6% 22.1–25.2% 21.7–25.7% 21.3–26.1% 20.6–26.9%
Junts per Catalunya 39.6% 18.5% 17.1–20.0% 16.8–20.4% 16.4–20.8% 15.8–21.5%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 17.3% 15.9–18.7% 15.6–19.1% 15.2–19.5% 14.6–20.2%
Partit Popular 8.5% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.4%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.4–7.0% 4.0–7.4%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.7–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 35 32–38 32–38 32–39 30–40
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 31 30–34 29–35 28–35 27–36
Junts per Catalunya 29 27 25–30 24–30 24–31 23–32
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 23 21–24 20–25 19–25 18–26
Partit Popular 11 7 5–9 5–10 5–10 5–10
Catalunya en Comú 11 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 5 3–8 3–8 3–8 3–9

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 8% 98%  
33 11% 90%  
34 12% 79%  
35 18% 67% Median
36 21% 49%  
37 14% 27%  
38 10% 13%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.3% 100%  
27 2% 99.7%  
28 2% 98%  
29 5% 96%  
30 11% 91%  
31 32% 80% Median
32 24% 48%  
33 10% 24%  
34 9% 15%  
35 3% 5%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.4% 100%  
23 1.1% 99.5%  
24 8% 98%  
25 8% 90%  
26 13% 83%  
27 22% 69% Median
28 19% 47%  
29 16% 28% Last Result
30 10% 12%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.6% 0.8%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0.4% 100%  
18 0.5% 99.6%  
19 3% 99.1%  
20 5% 96%  
21 8% 91%  
22 19% 83%  
23 36% 65% Median
24 22% 29%  
25 5% 6%  
26 0.9% 1.4%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 11% 99.9%  
6 26% 89%  
7 17% 64% Median
8 34% 46%  
9 6% 12%  
10 6% 6%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 18% 99.5%  
5 55% 81% Median
6 19% 26%  
7 5% 7%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 13% 100%  
4 7% 87%  
5 33% 81% Median
6 13% 47%  
7 8% 34%  
8 25% 26%  
9 1.4% 1.4%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 68 64% 66–71 65–72 64–73 63–75
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú 60 68 55% 65–71 64–72 63–72 62–74
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú 63 67 36% 64–69 63–70 62–71 60–72
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú 47 63 2% 60–66 59–67 59–67 57–69
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya 49 63 1.3% 60–66 59–66 58–67 57–68
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 62 0.4% 59–64 58–65 57–66 55–67

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100% Last Result
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 1.0% 99.6%  
64 2% 98.6%  
65 5% 97%  
66 9% 91%  
67 19% 83% Median
68 19% 64% Majority
69 14% 45%  
70 16% 31%  
71 7% 15%  
72 4% 8%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100% Last Result
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 99.7%  
63 2% 98.9%  
64 5% 97%  
65 10% 92%  
66 12% 82%  
67 15% 70% Median
68 18% 55% Majority
69 15% 37%  
70 9% 22%  
71 7% 13%  
72 4% 6%  
73 1.3% 2%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 1.0% 99.4%  
62 2% 98%  
63 4% 96% Last Result
64 7% 92%  
65 16% 85%  
66 14% 69% Median
67 19% 55%  
68 19% 36% Majority
69 9% 17%  
70 5% 9%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.0% 1.4%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.7% 99.8%  
58 1.3% 99.1%  
59 3% 98%  
60 8% 95%  
61 10% 86%  
62 14% 76%  
63 17% 62% Median
64 17% 45%  
65 13% 28%  
66 8% 15%  
67 4% 7%  
68 2% 2% Majority
69 0.7% 0.9%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0.9% 99.6%  
58 2% 98.8%  
59 5% 96%  
60 10% 91%  
61 13% 82%  
62 17% 69% Median
63 17% 51%  
64 14% 34%  
65 8% 20%  
66 7% 12%  
67 4% 5%  
68 1.0% 1.3% Majority
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100% Last Result
53 0% 100%  
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.5% 99.8%  
56 1.2% 99.3%  
57 2% 98%  
58 4% 96%  
59 10% 92%  
60 13% 82%  
61 16% 68% Median
62 20% 52%  
63 17% 33%  
64 9% 16%  
65 4% 7%  
66 1.5% 3%  
67 1.0% 1.4%  
68 0.3% 0.4% Majority
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations