Opinion Poll by MyWord for Cadena SER, 5–13 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.1% 21.0–27.9%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 22.4% 20.8–24.2% 20.3–24.7% 19.9–25.1% 19.2–26.0%
Junts per Catalunya 39.6% 17.9% 16.4–19.6% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 15.1% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.3%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Partit Popular 8.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 37 35–40 33–41 32–42 31–43
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 31 27–33 27–34 26–34 26–36
Junts per Catalunya 29 27 24–29 24–30 23–30 23–32
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 20 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
Catalunya en Comú 11 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 6 3–8 3–8 3–8 3–9
Partit Popular 11 5 3–6 3–7 3–7 3–8

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.3%  
33 2% 97%  
34 5% 95%  
35 13% 90%  
36 23% 77%  
37 13% 54% Median
38 15% 41%  
39 11% 25%  
40 7% 14%  
41 4% 7%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.7% 1.0%  
44 0.3% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.4% 100% Last Result
26 3% 99.6%  
27 9% 96%  
28 6% 87%  
29 11% 81%  
30 18% 70%  
31 24% 52% Median
32 10% 29%  
33 12% 18%  
34 4% 6%  
35 1.0% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.7%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.8%  
23 5% 99.6%  
24 18% 95%  
25 9% 78%  
26 12% 68%  
27 12% 56% Median
28 11% 44%  
29 23% 33% Last Result
30 7% 9%  
31 1.1% 2%  
32 0.7% 1.0%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.6% 100%  
16 6% 99.4% Last Result
17 16% 93%  
18 9% 77%  
19 13% 68%  
20 11% 56% Median
21 12% 44%  
22 22% 32%  
23 8% 10%  
24 1.4% 2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.8%  
8 9% 99.5%  
9 34% 90%  
10 15% 57% Median
11 24% 42% Last Result
12 11% 18%  
13 4% 6%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 15% 99.8%  
4 9% 85%  
5 22% 76%  
6 11% 54% Median
7 14% 43%  
8 27% 29%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0.3% 99.9%  
3 19% 99.7%  
4 7% 80%  
5 51% 73% Median
6 15% 22%  
7 6% 7%  
8 1.3% 1.5%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú 60 74 99.4% 70–78 70–79 69–80 67–81
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 70 79% 66–73 65–75 64–75 63–77
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú 47 67 44% 63–71 63–72 62–72 60–74
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular 63 65 21% 62–69 60–70 60–71 58–72
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya 49 64 10% 60–67 59–68 59–69 57–71
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 55 0% 51–59 50–60 50–60 48–61

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 0.9% 99.4% Majority
69 3% 98%  
70 6% 96%  
71 11% 90%  
72 11% 79%  
73 11% 68%  
74 13% 57% Median
75 13% 44%  
76 13% 32%  
77 8% 19%  
78 5% 10%  
79 3% 6%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.8% 1.2%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100% Last Result
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.8% 99.8%  
64 2% 99.0%  
65 4% 97%  
66 6% 93%  
67 9% 87%  
68 11% 79% Majority
69 15% 68%  
70 14% 53% Median
71 12% 39%  
72 9% 27%  
73 8% 18%  
74 5% 10%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.4% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 1.0% 99.3%  
62 3% 98%  
63 6% 95%  
64 10% 89%  
65 10% 79%  
66 12% 69%  
67 13% 57% Median
68 13% 44% Majority
69 13% 31%  
70 8% 18%  
71 5% 10%  
72 3% 5%  
73 1.4% 2%  
74 0.7% 1.1%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 1.4% 99.5%  
60 3% 98%  
61 5% 95%  
62 8% 90%  
63 9% 82% Last Result
64 12% 73%  
65 14% 61%  
66 15% 47% Median
67 11% 32%  
68 9% 21% Majority
69 6% 13%  
70 4% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.8% 1.0%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.7%  
58 1.2% 99.2%  
59 3% 98%  
60 6% 95%  
61 10% 89%  
62 12% 79%  
63 12% 67%  
64 13% 55% Median
65 14% 42%  
66 10% 28%  
67 9% 18%  
68 5% 10% Majority
69 3% 5%  
70 1.1% 2%  
71 0.5% 0.8%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.8%  
49 1.3% 99.3%  
50 3% 98%  
51 6% 95%  
52 8% 89% Last Result
53 10% 81%  
54 11% 70%  
55 14% 59%  
56 14% 46% Median
57 13% 32%  
58 8% 19%  
59 6% 12%  
60 3% 5%  
61 1.3% 2%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations