Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 8–15 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 17.9% | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 39.6% | 20.9% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.8–24.4% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 39.6% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.1–16.7% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| Catalunya en Comú | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Partit Popular | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25 | 33 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 20 | 31 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 29 | 29 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 16 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 10 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–15 |
| Catalunya en Comú | 11 | 8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| Partit Popular | 11 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 3–10 |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 8% | 97% | |
| 31 | 22% | 89% | |
| 32 | 15% | 67% | |
| 33 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 14% | 28% | |
| 35 | 5% | 14% | |
| 36 | 4% | 9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 5% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 12% | 96% | |
| 30 | 10% | 84% | |
| 31 | 26% | 74% | Median |
| 32 | 23% | 48% | |
| 33 | 8% | 25% | |
| 34 | 7% | 17% | |
| 35 | 6% | 10% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 5% | 96% | |
| 27 | 8% | 91% | |
| 28 | 8% | 83% | |
| 29 | 30% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 30 | 13% | 45% | |
| 31 | 19% | 32% | |
| 32 | 8% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 11% | 98.5% | |
| 16 | 29% | 88% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 24% | 46% | |
| 19 | 11% | 23% | |
| 20 | 5% | 11% | |
| 21 | 3% | 6% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 24% | 98% | |
| 10 | 46% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 11 | 7% | 29% | |
| 12 | 17% | 21% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 13% | 95% | |
| 7 | 19% | 82% | |
| 8 | 44% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 19% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 5 | 35% | 96% | |
| 6 | 31% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 31% | |
| 8 | 6% | 12% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 59 | 71 | 94% | 68–74 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–77 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú | 60 | 69 | 71% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 64–73 | 62–75 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular | 63 | 64 | 6% | 61–67 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–70 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 49 | 61 | 0.4% | 58–64 | 57–65 | 56–66 | 54–67 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú | 47 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 53–61 | 52–61 | 50–63 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular | 52 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 52–60 | 52–61 | 50–63 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 94% | Majority |
| 69 | 9% | 89% | |
| 70 | 17% | 80% | Median |
| 71 | 17% | 63% | |
| 72 | 15% | 45% | |
| 73 | 13% | 31% | |
| 74 | 8% | 17% | |
| 75 | 5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 95% | |
| 66 | 8% | 90% | |
| 67 | 10% | 81% | |
| 68 | 18% | 71% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 18% | 53% | |
| 70 | 13% | 35% | |
| 71 | 11% | 23% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 4% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 8% | 90% | |
| 62 | 13% | 83% | |
| 63 | 15% | 69% | Last Result |
| 64 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 65 | 17% | 37% | |
| 66 | 9% | 20% | |
| 67 | 5% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 57 | 3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 7% | 93% | |
| 59 | 9% | 86% | |
| 60 | 19% | 77% | Median |
| 61 | 21% | 58% | |
| 62 | 12% | 38% | |
| 63 | 11% | 26% | |
| 64 | 7% | 15% | |
| 65 | 4% | 8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 95% | |
| 54 | 8% | 90% | |
| 55 | 15% | 82% | |
| 56 | 16% | 67% | Median |
| 57 | 15% | 51% | |
| 58 | 14% | 36% | |
| 59 | 10% | 21% | |
| 60 | 6% | 12% | |
| 61 | 4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 53 | 7% | 93% | |
| 54 | 13% | 86% | |
| 55 | 15% | 73% | |
| 56 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 16% | 42% | |
| 58 | 10% | 25% | |
| 59 | 6% | 15% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 8–15 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 0.67%