Opinion Poll by Feedback for The National, 12–19 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 23.4% 21.7–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.1–27.0%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
Junts per Catalunya 39.6% 20.1% 18.5–21.8% 18.1–22.3% 17.7–22.7% 17.0–23.5%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Partit Popular 8.5% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 32 30–34 29–35 28–36 26–38
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 33 30–36 30–37 29–37 28–38
Junts per Catalunya 29 30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 17 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–23
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 9 8–10 8–11 8–12 8–12
Catalunya en Comú 11 6 5–8 5–8 4–8 4–9
Partit Popular 11 6 5–9 5–9 5–10 4–10

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.6% 100%  
27 2% 99.4%  
28 2% 98%  
29 5% 95%  
30 12% 90%  
31 27% 78%  
32 21% 51% Median
33 12% 30%  
34 11% 18%  
35 4% 8%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.6% 1.1%  
38 0.5% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.6% 99.7%  
29 3% 99.1%  
30 7% 96%  
31 12% 89%  
32 23% 77%  
33 13% 54% Median
34 15% 41%  
35 12% 26%  
36 8% 15%  
37 5% 7%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.3% 100%  
25 0.7% 99.7%  
26 2% 99.0%  
27 5% 97%  
28 7% 92%  
29 20% 84% Last Result
30 20% 65% Median
31 19% 45%  
32 16% 26%  
33 5% 11%  
34 3% 6%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.6% 0.8%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.8% 100%  
15 8% 99.2%  
16 26% 91% Last Result
17 20% 65% Median
18 17% 45%  
19 12% 27%  
20 9% 16%  
21 3% 7%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 0.8%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 0.3% 99.8%  
8 13% 99.5%  
9 47% 86% Median
10 32% 39% Last Result
11 4% 7%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.2% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 30% 97%  
6 28% 67% Median
7 19% 39%  
8 18% 20%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
12 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.4% 100%  
4 0.5% 99.6%  
5 17% 99.0%  
6 35% 83% Median
7 17% 48%  
8 18% 30%  
9 9% 12%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 73 98% 70–76 69–77 68–77 66–79
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú 60 70 80% 66–73 65–74 65–74 63–76
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya 49 63 4% 60–67 59–67 59–68 57–69
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular 63 62 2% 59–65 58–66 58–67 56–69
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú 47 57 0% 54–60 53–61 52–62 51–63
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–61 50–63

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100% Last Result
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 1.0% 99.4%  
68 3% 98% Majority
69 6% 96%  
70 11% 90%  
71 12% 80%  
72 14% 67% Median
73 15% 53%  
74 13% 38%  
75 11% 25%  
76 8% 14%  
77 4% 6%  
78 1.4% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 1.4% 99.2%  
65 3% 98%  
66 6% 95%  
67 9% 89%  
68 12% 80% Majority
69 16% 68% Median
70 15% 52%  
71 14% 37%  
72 10% 23%  
73 7% 12%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.4% 2%  
76 0.5% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.6% 99.7%  
58 1.2% 99.2%  
59 3% 98%  
60 7% 95%  
61 12% 88%  
62 14% 76%  
63 15% 62% Median
64 13% 47%  
65 13% 33%  
66 9% 20%  
67 7% 11%  
68 3% 4% Majority
69 0.8% 1.2%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 1.4% 99.4%  
58 4% 98%  
59 8% 94%  
60 11% 86%  
61 13% 75% Median
62 15% 62%  
63 14% 47% Last Result
64 12% 33%  
65 11% 20%  
66 6% 10%  
67 3% 4%  
68 1.0% 2% Majority
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 0.8% 99.6%  
52 2% 98.8%  
53 5% 97%  
54 8% 92%  
55 14% 84%  
56 16% 70% Median
57 15% 54%  
58 14% 39%  
59 10% 25%  
60 8% 15%  
61 4% 7%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.9% 1.3%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.8% 99.7%  
51 2% 98.9%  
52 4% 97% Last Result
53 8% 93%  
54 12% 85%  
55 15% 73% Median
56 15% 58%  
57 15% 42%  
58 11% 28%  
59 8% 17%  
60 5% 9%  
61 2% 4%  
62 1.0% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations