Opinion Poll by Feedback for The National, 13–20 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 17.9% | 22.5% | 20.9–24.3% | 20.4–24.8% | 20.0–25.2% | 19.3–26.1% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 39.6% | 21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.9% | 18.0–24.7% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 39.6% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 12.7% | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| Catalunya en Comú | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Partit Popular | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25 | 31 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 26–35 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 20 | 32 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 26–38 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 29 | 30 | 28–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 16 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Catalunya en Comú | 11 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 10 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 |
| Partit Popular | 11 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 3–10 |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 26 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 6% | 96% | |
| 28 | 9% | 91% | |
| 29 | 15% | 82% | |
| 30 | 16% | 68% | |
| 31 | 27% | 52% | Median |
| 32 | 11% | 25% | |
| 33 | 8% | 14% | |
| 34 | 5% | 6% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 8% | 97% | |
| 30 | 14% | 89% | |
| 31 | 17% | 75% | |
| 32 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 29% | |
| 34 | 9% | 20% | |
| 35 | 6% | 11% | |
| 36 | 3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 4% | 94% | |
| 28 | 6% | 91% | |
| 29 | 24% | 85% | Last Result |
| 30 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 31 | 14% | 37% | |
| 32 | 15% | 23% | |
| 33 | 4% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 9% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 90% | |
| 18 | 16% | 77% | |
| 19 | 22% | 61% | Median |
| 20 | 11% | 38% | |
| 21 | 8% | 28% | |
| 22 | 13% | 19% | |
| 23 | 5% | 6% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 7% | 94% | |
| 8 | 41% | 87% | Median |
| 9 | 34% | 46% | |
| 10 | 4% | 12% | |
| 11 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 2% | 97% | |
| 7 | 5% | 95% | |
| 8 | 47% | 91% | Median |
| 9 | 37% | 44% | |
| 10 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 31% | 82% | |
| 7 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 8 | 18% | 30% | |
| 9 | 8% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 59 | 70 | 88% | 67–73 | 66–74 | 65–75 | 64–77 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú | 60 | 70 | 89% | 67–74 | 66–75 | 65–75 | 64–77 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular | 63 | 65 | 12% | 62–68 | 61–69 | 60–70 | 58–71 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 49 | 62 | 1.3% | 59–65 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 55–68 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú | 47 | 59 | 0.1% | 56–63 | 56–64 | 55–64 | 54–66 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular | 52 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–63 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 6% | 94% | |
| 68 | 9% | 88% | Majority |
| 69 | 16% | 78% | |
| 70 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 43% | |
| 72 | 11% | 28% | |
| 73 | 7% | 17% | |
| 74 | 5% | 10% | |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 5% | 95% | |
| 68 | 9% | 89% | Majority |
| 69 | 17% | 80% | |
| 70 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 45% | |
| 72 | 11% | 30% | |
| 73 | 8% | 19% | |
| 74 | 5% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 5% | 95% | |
| 62 | 7% | 90% | |
| 63 | 11% | 83% | Last Result |
| 64 | 15% | 72% | |
| 65 | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 38% | |
| 67 | 9% | 22% | |
| 68 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 12% | 86% | |
| 61 | 20% | 74% | |
| 62 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 63 | 13% | 36% | |
| 64 | 10% | 23% | |
| 65 | 6% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 8% | 95% | |
| 57 | 12% | 88% | |
| 58 | 14% | 76% | |
| 59 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 60 | 13% | 49% | |
| 61 | 12% | 36% | |
| 62 | 11% | 24% | |
| 63 | 8% | 13% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 53 | 6% | 93% | |
| 54 | 9% | 87% | |
| 55 | 13% | 78% | |
| 56 | 17% | 65% | |
| 57 | 19% | 48% | Median |
| 58 | 13% | 30% | |
| 59 | 7% | 16% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): The National
- Fieldwork period: 13–20 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 0.90%