Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 8–9 September 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0.0% 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.4–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 17.2% 16.4–18.2% 16.1–18.4% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1%
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 10.9% 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.5–11.8% 9.2–12.1%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.6–11.5%
Democraten 66 15.0% 4.6% 4.2–5.2% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 4.6% 4.2–5.2% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 4.0% 3.5–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Volt Europa 2.4% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%
DENK 2.0% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%
Belang van Nederland 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%
Bij1 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.5%
50Plus 1.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0 29 28–31 27–31 27–31 27–31
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 27 26–28 26–29 26–30 25–30
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 17 22 21–24 21–24 21–25 21–26
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 16 15–18 15–18 15–18 14–19
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 15 13–17 13–17 13–17 13–18
Democraten 66 24 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
Partij voor de Dieren 6 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 6 4–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Forum voor Democratie 8 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Socialistische Partij 9 3 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
ChristenUnie 5 3 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Volt Europa 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
DENK 3 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Belang van Nederland 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Bij1 1 0 0 0 0 0
50Plus 1 0 0 0 0 0

Nieuw Sociaal Contract

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.5% 100%  
27 6% 99.5%  
28 17% 94%  
29 35% 77% Median
30 30% 41%  
31 11% 12%  
32 0.1% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.2%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.8%  
26 16% 98%  
27 33% 82% Median
28 43% 49%  
29 2% 5%  
30 3% 3%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 22% 100%  
22 37% 78% Median
23 20% 41%  
24 17% 21%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 2% 99.9%  
15 39% 98%  
16 23% 59% Median
17 15% 36%  
18 21% 21%  
19 0.7% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 25% 100%  
14 4% 75%  
15 35% 70% Median
16 18% 35%  
17 15% 17% Last Result
18 2% 2%  
19 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 38% 98%  
7 23% 60% Median
8 34% 37%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 22% 99.6% Last Result
7 40% 78% Median
8 38% 38%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 14% 100%  
5 6% 86%  
6 63% 80% Median
7 13% 16%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.4% 100%  
4 31% 99.6%  
5 65% 68% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 53% 100% Median
4 29% 47%  
5 17% 18%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 49% 99.8%  
3 34% 50% Median
4 16% 16%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 23% 100%  
3 76% 77% Last Result, Median
4 0.9% 0.9%  
5 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 24% 100%  
2 75% 76% Median
3 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 6% 100%  
2 93% 94% Median
3 1.0% 1.0% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 37% 100%  
2 62% 63% Median
3 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Belang van Nederland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 61% 64% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 67 71 2% 70–74 70–74 70–74 69–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging 52 65 0% 63–68 63–69 63–69 63–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 75 57 0% 54–58 54–58 54–61 54–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 56 0% 54–56 54–58 54–58 53–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 55 0% 52–56 52–57 52–58 51–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 54 0% 50–54 50–55 50–56 49–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 51 50 0% 47–51 47–52 47–52 47–55
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 49 0% 46–50 46–50 46–52 45–54
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 50 49 0% 48–51 48–51 48–51 46–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 42 0% 41–44 41–45 40–46 39–47
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 70 41 0% 40–43 40–43 40–44 40–45
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 40 0% 38–41 38–42 38–43 36–43
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 40 0% 38–41 38–42 38–43 36–43
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 40 0% 37–42 37–42 37–43 37–44
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging 18 37 0% 37–41 37–41 36–42 36–44
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 61 38 0% 37–38 37–40 37–41 37–41
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 39 0% 36–39 36–40 36–41 34–42
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 39 0% 36–39 36–40 36–41 34–42
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 56 35 0% 34–36 34–37 34–38 34–38
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 34 0% 31–34 31–35 31–36 30–37
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 37 30 0% 30–32 30–32 30–33 30–35
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 32 28 0% 27–29 27–30 27–30 26–32
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 14 0% 10–14 10–14 10–14 10–16

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0.1% 100%  
69 2% 99.9%  
70 11% 98%  
71 45% 87% Median
72 17% 42%  
73 0.5% 25%  
74 22% 24%  
75 0.5% 2%  
76 0.3% 2% Majority
77 1.3% 1.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100% Last Result
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.4% 100%  
63 14% 99.6%  
64 2% 86%  
65 42% 84% Median
66 3% 42%  
67 0.9% 39%  
68 32% 38%  
69 4% 6%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 14% 99.9%  
55 1.0% 86%  
56 29% 85% Median
57 16% 57%  
58 36% 40%  
59 0.8% 4%  
60 0.1% 3%  
61 3% 3%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.6% 100%  
54 13% 99.4%  
55 25% 87% Median
56 56% 62%  
57 1.0% 7%  
58 4% 6%  
59 0.2% 1.5%  
60 0% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 1.3%  
62 1.2% 1.2%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.7% 99.8%  
52 17% 99.1%  
53 0.1% 82%  
54 25% 82%  
55 36% 57% Median
56 14% 21%  
57 4% 7%  
58 0.9% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 0% 2%  
61 1.5% 1.5%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 16% 99.4%  
51 0.8% 83%  
52 25% 82%  
53 3% 57% Median
54 47% 54%  
55 3% 7%  
56 2% 4%  
57 0.5% 2%  
58 0% 2%  
59 1.5% 1.5%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 11% 100%  
48 4% 89%  
49 11% 85% Median
50 50% 74%  
51 19% 24% Last Result
52 4% 5%  
53 0.2% 2%  
54 0% 1.4%  
55 1.3% 1.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 1.1% 99.8%  
46 18% 98.8%  
47 24% 81%  
48 0.9% 57% Median
49 37% 56%  
50 14% 19%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.0% 3%  
53 0% 2%  
54 1.5% 1.5%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.8% 99.9%  
47 0.9% 99.1%  
48 16% 98%  
49 49% 82% Median
50 13% 34% Last Result
51 18% 20%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.5% 100%  
40 4% 99.4%  
41 15% 95%  
42 31% 80%  
43 0.8% 50% Median
44 42% 49%  
45 2% 7%  
46 4% 5%  
47 0.7% 0.7%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 13% 99.9%  
41 46% 87% Median
42 16% 40%  
43 20% 24%  
44 4% 5%  
45 0.7% 1.0%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.4% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.6%  
37 0.1% 99.1%  
38 18% 99.0%  
39 30% 81%  
40 33% 51% Median
41 12% 18%  
42 3% 6%  
43 3% 3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.4% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.6%  
37 0.1% 99.1%  
38 18% 99.0%  
39 30% 81%  
40 33% 51% Median
41 12% 18%  
42 3% 6%  
43 3% 3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 18% 99.9%  
38 0.5% 81%  
39 18% 81%  
40 14% 63% Median
41 9% 49%  
42 35% 39%  
43 2% 4%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100% Last Result
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 3% 99.9%  
37 55% 97%  
38 2% 42% Median
39 2% 40%  
40 2% 37%  
41 31% 36%  
42 2% 4%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.7%  
45 0.4% 0.4%  
46 0% 0%  

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.8%  
37 24% 99.7%  
38 66% 76% Median
39 4% 10%  
40 2% 5%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.3% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.7%  
35 0.4% 99.5%  
36 17% 99.0%  
37 31% 82%  
38 1.1% 51% Median
39 45% 50%  
40 2% 6%  
41 2% 3%  
42 1.2% 1.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.3% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.7%  
35 0.4% 99.5%  
36 17% 99.0%  
37 31% 82%  
38 1.1% 51% Median
39 45% 50%  
40 2% 6%  
41 2% 3%  
42 1.2% 1.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 27% 99.8%  
35 29% 73% Median
36 38% 44%  
37 2% 6%  
38 4% 4%  
39 0.3% 0.4%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.7% 99.9%  
31 16% 99.2%  
32 4% 83%  
33 28% 79% Median
34 45% 50%  
35 2% 6%  
36 2% 4%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.8%  
30 54% 99.6%  
31 4% 46% Median
32 37% 42%  
33 3% 5%  
34 0.2% 2%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 1.3% 100%  
27 9% 98.7%  
28 60% 89% Median
29 22% 30%  
30 6% 8%  
31 0.8% 2%  
32 1.3% 1.4% Last Result
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 16% 100%  
11 2% 84%  
12 19% 82%  
13 12% 63% Median
14 49% 51%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.7% 0.7%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations