Nieuw Sociaal Contract

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 17 March 2021)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.9% 12.1–14.2% 11.8–14.6% 11.6–14.9% 11.2–15.5%
21 November 2023 Peil.nl 12.6% 12.1–13.2% 11.9–13.4% 11.8–13.5% 11.5–13.8%
19–21 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 12.6% 11.8–13.5% 11.5–13.8% 11.3–14.1% 10.9–14.5%
20–21 November 2023 I&O Research 13.8% 12.8–14.8% 12.6–15.1% 12.4–15.3% 11.9–15.8%
18–20 November 2023 I&O Research 13.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 November 2023 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
12–14 November 2023 I&O Research 15.6% 14.7–16.6% 14.4–16.9% 14.2–17.2% 13.8–17.7%
10–13 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 16.7% 16.2–18.4% 15.9–18.7% 15.7–19.0% 15.2–19.5%
10–11 November 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.5–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
6–7 November 2023 I&O Research 18.5% 17.5–19.6% 17.2–19.9% 16.9–20.2% 16.4–20.7%
3–4 November 2023 Peil.nl 19.8% 18.9–20.8% 18.6–21.0% 18.4–21.3% 18.0–21.7%
27–30 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 16.8% 16.1–18.3% 15.8–18.6% 15.5–18.9% 15.0–19.5%
27–28 October 2023 Peil.nl 20.6% 19.6–21.5% 19.4–21.8% 19.2–22.1% 18.7–22.5%
22–24 October 2023 I&O Research 17.4% 16.2–18.7% 15.9–19.1% 15.6–19.4% 15.0–20.0%
20–21 October 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.5–20.6%
13–14 October 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.4–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
6–9 October 2023 I&O Research 16.5% 15.5–17.5% 15.2–17.8% 15.0–18.1% 14.6–18.6%
6–7 October 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 September 2023 I&O Research 16.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.4–17.7% 14.2–18.0% 13.6–18.6%
22–24 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 15.8% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–18.9%
22–23 September 2023 Peil.nl 17.9% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
8–11 September 2023 I&O Research 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.7–20.6%
8–9 September 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.4–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
1–4 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.3% 15.8–19.0% 15.4–19.5% 15.0–19.9% 14.3–20.7%
1–2 September 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.4–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
25–26 August 2023 Peil.nl 19.2% 18.3–20.2% 18.1–20.5% 17.9–20.7% 17.4–21.2%
23–24 August 2023 I&O Research 20.2% 19.0–21.5% 18.7–21.8% 18.4–22.2% 17.8–22.8%
18–19 August 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 August–24 July 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 July 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 July 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 June–1 July 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 June 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 June 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 June 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 May 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 May 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 May 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 May 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 April 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 April 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 March–1 April 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 March 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 March 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–27 February 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 February 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 February 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 February 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 February 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 January 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 January 2023 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 January 2023 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 December 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 December 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 December 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 December 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 November 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 November 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 November 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 November 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 October 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 October 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 October 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 October 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 September 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 September 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 September 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 August 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 August 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 August 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 July 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–18 July 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 July 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 June 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 June 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 June 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 June 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 June 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 May 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 May 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 May 2022 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 May 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 May 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 April 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 April 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 April 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 April 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 April 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 March 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 March 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 March 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 March 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 March 2022 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 March 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 February 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 February 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 February 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 February 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 February 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 February 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 January 2022 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 January 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 January 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 January 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 January 2022 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 January 2022 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 December 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–20 December 2021 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 December 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 December 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12 December 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 December 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 December 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 November 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 November 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 November 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 November 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 November 2021 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 November 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 October 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–16 October 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 October 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 October 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 October 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 September 2021 Ipsos 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 September 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 September 2021 Kantar 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 September 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 September 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 September 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 September 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 August 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 July 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 July 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 July 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 June 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 June 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 June 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12 June 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 June 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 June 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 May 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 May 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 May 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 May 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 May 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 April–3 May 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 April–1 May 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 April 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 April 2021 Ipsos 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 April 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 April 2021 I&O Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 April 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 April 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 March 2021 Peil.nl 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 2% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 29% 98%  
12.5–13.5% 45% 69% Median
13.5–14.5% 19% 25%  
14.5–15.5% 5% 6%  
15.5–16.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 17 March 2021)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20 20–21 20–22 18–22 16–22
21 November 2023 Peil.nl 20 20 20 18–20 18–21
19–21 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 21 21–22 20–22 16–22 16–22
20–21 November 2023 I&O Research 20 20 20 20–21 20–22
18–20 November 2023 I&O Research          
17–18 November 2023 Peil.nl 23 22–26 22–26 22–26 22–26
12–14 November 2023 I&O Research 27 24–27 24–27 23–27 21–28
10–13 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 26 26 26 26 26
10–11 November 2023 Peil.nl 27 27–29 27–30 27–31 27–32
6–7 November 2023 I&O Research 30 26–30 26–30 26–30 26–30
3–4 November 2023 Peil.nl 30 29–32 29–32 29–32 29–32
27–30 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 24 24–28 24–29 24–30 23–31
27–28 October 2023 Peil.nl 31 30–33 29–33 29–33 28–35
22–24 October 2023 I&O Research 28 28 28 28–29 25–30
20–21 October 2023 Peil.nl          
13–16 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 26 26 26 26 25–26
13–14 October 2023 Peil.nl 32 29–32 29–32 29–32 28–32
6–9 October 2023 I&O Research 24 22–27 22–27 22–28 22–29
6–7 October 2023 Peil.nl          
22–25 September 2023 I&O Research 22 22–27 22–27 22–27 22–27
22–24 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 23 23–29 22–29 22–29 21–30
22–23 September 2023 Peil.nl 28 28 28–29 28–29 26–29
8–11 September 2023 I&O Research 28 27–30 26–31 26–31 26–33
8–9 September 2023 Peil.nl 29 28–31 27–31 27–31 27–31
1–4 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 25–28 23–29 20–30 20–31
1–2 September 2023 Peil.nl 30 29–31 29–31 27–31 27–31
25–26 August 2023 Peil.nl 31 28–34 28–34 28–34 27–34
23–24 August 2023 I&O Research 34 28–34 28–34 27–34 27–36
18–19 August 2023 Peil.nl          
21 August–24 July 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
14–17 July 2023 I&O Research          
14–15 July 2023 Peil.nl          
30 June–1 July 2023 Peil.nl          
23–25 June 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
16–17 June 2023 Peil.nl          
9–12 June 2023 I&O Research          
26–29 May 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
19–20 May 2023 Peil.nl          
12–15 May 2023 I&O Research          
5–6 May 2023 Peil.nl          
24 April 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
21–22 April 2023 Peil.nl          
14–17 April 2023 I&O Research          
31 March–1 April 2023 Peil.nl          
24–27 March 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
23–24 March 2023 Peil.nl          
17–27 February 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
24–25 February 2023 Peil.nl          
17–18 February 2023 Peil.nl          
13 February 2023 I&O Research          
10–11 February 2023 Peil.nl          
27–30 January 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
13–16 January 2023 I&O Research          
13–14 January 2023 Peil.nl          
16–19 December 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
16–17 December 2022 Peil.nl          
9–12 December 2022 I&O Research          
2–3 December 2022 Peil.nl          
25–28 November 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
25–26 November 2022 Peil.nl          
11–14 November 2022 I&O Research          
11–12 November 2022 Peil.nl          
21–24 October 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
22–23 October 2022 Peil.nl          
14–17 October 2022 I&O Research          
14–15 October 2022 Peil.nl          
23–26 September 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
23–24 September 2022 Peil.nl          
9–12 September 2022 I&O Research          
26–29 August 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
26–27 August 2022 Peil.nl          
5–6 August 2022 Peil.nl          
22–25 July 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
15–18 July 2022 I&O Research          
8–9 July 2022 Peil.nl          
24–27 June 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
24–25 June 2022 Peil.nl          
17–18 June 2022 Peil.nl          
10–13 June 2022 I&O Research          
10–11 June 2022 Peil.nl          
27–30 May 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
27–28 May 2022 Peil.nl          
25–27 May 2022 Kantar          
13–16 May 2022 I&O Research          
13–14 May 2022 Peil.nl          
22–25 April 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
22–23 April 2022 Peil.nl          
8–11 April 2022 I&O Research          
8–9 April 2022 Peil.nl          
1–2 April 2022 Peil.nl          
25–27 March 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
25–26 March 2022 Peil.nl          
18–19 March 2022 Peil.nl          
11–12 March 2022 Peil.nl          
9–11 March 2022 Kantar          
4–5 March 2022 Peil.nl          
25–28 February 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
26–27 February 2022 Peil.nl          
18–19 February 2022 Peil.nl          
11–14 February 2022 I&O Research          
11–12 February 2022 Peil.nl          
4–5 February 2022 Peil.nl          
27–31 January 2022 Kantar          
28–29 January 2022 Peil.nl          
21–24 January 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
21–22 January 2022 Peil.nl          
14–17 January 2022 I&O Research          
14–15 January 2022 Peil.nl          
24–25 December 2021 Peil.nl          
15–20 December 2021 Kantar          
17–20 December 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
17–18 December 2021 Peil.nl          
12 December 2021 Peil.nl          
3–6 December 2021 I&O Research          
3–5 December 2021 Peil.nl          
26–29 November 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
26–27 November 2021 Peil.nl          
19–20 November 2021 Peil.nl          
12–15 November 2021 I&O Research          
5–9 November 2021 Kantar          
7 November 2021 Peil.nl          
29–30 October 2021 Peil.nl          
22–25 October 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
15–16 October 2021 Peil.nl          
8–11 October 2021 I&O Research          
8–9 October 2021 Peil.nl          
1–2 October 2021 Peil.nl          
24–27 September 2021 Ipsos          
24–25 September 2021 Peil.nl          
17–20 September 2021 Kantar          
17–18 September 2021 Peil.nl          
10–13 September 2021 I&O Research          
10–11 September 2021 Peil.nl          
3–4 September 2021 Peil.nl          
27–30 August 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
20–21 August 2021 Peil.nl          
23–26 July 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
23–24 July 2021 Peil.nl          
9–12 July 2021 I&O Research          
25–28 June 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
27 June 2021 Peil.nl          
20 June 2021 Peil.nl          
12 June 2021 Peil.nl          
4–7 June 2021 I&O Research          
4–5 June 2021 Peil.nl          
28–29 May 2021 Peil.nl          
21–23 May 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
21–22 May 2021 Peil.nl          
14–15 May 2021 Peil.nl          
7–9 May 2021 Peil.nl          
30 April–3 May 2021 I&O Research          
30 April–1 May 2021 Peil.nl          
23–24 April 2021 Peil.nl          
16–19 April 2021 Ipsos          
16–17 April 2021 Peil.nl          
9–12 April 2021 I&O Research          
9–10 April 2021 Peil.nl          
3–4 April 2021 Peil.nl          
26–27 March 2021 Peil.nl          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.9% 100%  
17 0.1% 99.1%  
18 2% 99.1%  
19 0.2% 97%  
20 64% 97% Median
21 28% 33%  
22 5% 5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%