Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 8–11 September 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0.0% 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.7–20.6%
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 10.9% 17.6% 16.4–18.8% 16.1–19.2% 15.8–19.5% 15.3–20.1%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 16.5% 15.4–17.7% 15.0–18.1% 14.8–18.4% 14.3–19.0%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–10.9%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.4%
Democraten 66 15.0% 4.1% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Volt Europa 2.4% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2%
DENK 2.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2%
50Plus 1.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
Belang van Nederland 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1%
Bij1 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0 28 27–30 26–31 26–31 26–33
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 17 25 24–29 24–31 24–32 24–32
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 25 24–26 22–27 22–27 22–28
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 14 13–17 12–17 12–17 11–17
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 15 13–15 13–15 12–16 11–16
Partij voor de Dieren 6 8 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
Democraten 66 24 5 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Socialistische Partij 9 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–6
Volt Europa 3 4 4–5 4–6 3–6 3–6
ChristenUnie 5 2 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–6
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 4 3–6 3–6 3–6 2–6
Forum voor Democratie 8 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
DENK 3 2 2 2 1–2 0–3
50Plus 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Belang van Nederland 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bij1 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Nieuw Sociaal Contract

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.8%  
26 5% 99.5%  
27 31% 95%  
28 48% 63% Median
29 3% 16%  
30 5% 13%  
31 5% 7%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 1.5% 1.5%  
34 0% 0%  

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 33% 99.7%  
25 52% 67% Median
26 1.2% 14%  
27 0.9% 13%  
28 2% 12%  
29 5% 11%  
30 0.6% 6%  
31 1.0% 5%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 5% 99.8%  
23 5% 95%  
24 5% 90%  
25 48% 86% Median
26 29% 37%  
27 7% 8%  
28 0.8% 1.3%  
29 0% 0.5%  
30 0% 0.5%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 6% 98%  
13 11% 93%  
14 49% 82% Median
15 1.0% 33%  
16 0.3% 32%  
17 32% 32% Last Result
18 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.7% 100%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 10% 96%  
14 1.0% 86%  
15 81% 85% Median
16 4% 4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 3% 100%  
6 32% 97% Last Result
7 11% 66%  
8 52% 54% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 51% 99.5% Median
6 14% 48%  
7 34% 34%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.6% 100%  
4 37% 99.4%  
5 61% 62% Median
6 0.9% 1.3%  
7 0.4% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 3% 99.8% Last Result
4 84% 97% Median
5 8% 13%  
6 5% 5%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 50% 100% Median
3 33% 50%  
4 16% 17%  
5 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 34% 98%  
4 15% 64% Median
5 3% 49%  
6 46% 46%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 99.9%  
4 84% 87% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 12% 98% Last Result
4 39% 87% Median
5 48% 48%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 55% 99.8% Median
2 39% 45%  
3 5% 5% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 3% 99.1%  
2 96% 97% Median
3 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 60% 61% Last Result, Median
2 0.8% 1.2%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Belang van Nederland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 32% 32% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 67 71 0% 68–71 65–74 64–74 64–74
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging 52 65 0% 65–68 61–70 60–70 60–71
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 75 55 0% 55–61 54–61 53–63 53–63
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 56 0% 53–58 51–59 51–61 51–61
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 51 50 0% 50–55 48–56 47–56 47–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 54 0% 48–54 47–54 46–54 46–54
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 70 43 0% 41–45 41–48 41–51 41–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 49 0% 43–50 43–50 43–50 43–51
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging 18 40 0% 39–41 38–44 38–47 37–47
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 50 44 0% 42–46 39–46 39–46 39–47
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 45 0% 40–46 39–46 39–46 39–46
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 61 38 0% 37–41 37–43 37–46 36–46
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 56 36 0% 34–37 34–41 34–42 33–42
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 38 0% 37–39 36–40 36–41 35–43
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 38 0% 35–41 35–41 33–41 33–43
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 38 0% 34–40 34–40 33–40 33–42
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 37 33 0% 30–36 30–37 30–40 30–40
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 36 0% 33–36 32–36 32–39 32–39
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 35 0% 32–36 31–36 30–36 30–39
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 32 31 0% 27–32 27–34 27–36 27–36
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 35 0% 31–35 30–35 30–35 30–38
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 30 0% 27–31 26–31 26–32 26–34
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 10 0% 10–11 9–11 8–12 7–12

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 5% 100%  
65 0% 95%  
66 0.2% 95%  
67 2% 95% Last Result
68 33% 93%  
69 0.3% 60% Median
70 3% 60%  
71 48% 57%  
72 1.0% 9%  
73 3% 8%  
74 5% 5%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0% Majority

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100% Last Result
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 5% 100%  
61 0.2% 95%  
62 0.1% 95%  
63 0.1% 95%  
64 4% 95%  
65 76% 90% Median
66 2% 15%  
67 2% 13%  
68 4% 11%  
69 2% 7%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.9% 1.0%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 5% 100%  
54 3% 95%  
55 48% 93% Median
56 0.3% 45%  
57 30% 44%  
58 3% 15%  
59 0.7% 12%  
60 0.6% 11%  
61 6% 10%  
62 0.5% 4%  
63 4% 4%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 7% 100%  
52 3% 93%  
53 29% 91%  
54 0.7% 61% Median
55 2% 61%  
56 46% 59%  
57 2% 13%  
58 2% 12%  
59 5% 9%  
60 0.3% 4%  
61 4% 4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 5% 100%  
48 4% 95%  
49 0.5% 91%  
50 75% 90% Median
51 0.6% 16% Last Result
52 2% 15%  
53 2% 13%  
54 0.6% 11%  
55 5% 11%  
56 4% 6%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.8% 0.8%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 4% 99.9%  
47 5% 96%  
48 4% 91%  
49 3% 87%  
50 5% 84%  
51 3% 80% Median
52 0.2% 77%  
53 0.4% 77%  
54 76% 76%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.3%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 29% 99.7% Median
42 2% 71%  
43 56% 69%  
44 0.7% 12%  
45 3% 12%  
46 1.1% 9%  
47 0.2% 8%  
48 3% 8%  
49 0.1% 5%  
50 0.1% 5%  
51 4% 4%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 11% 99.9%  
44 2% 89%  
45 0.9% 87%  
46 3% 86%  
47 4% 84% Median
48 3% 80%  
49 46% 77%  
50 30% 31%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100% Last Result
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 99.8%  
38 5% 99.3%  
39 29% 94%  
40 51% 64% Median
41 5% 13%  
42 3% 8%  
43 0.3% 6%  
44 0.8% 5%  
45 0.2% 5%  
46 0% 4%  
47 4% 4%  
48 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 5% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 95%  
41 1.3% 95%  
42 7% 93%  
43 3% 86%  
44 34% 83% Median
45 1.3% 48%  
46 47% 47%  
47 0.1% 0.5%  
48 0.4% 0.4%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 6% 99.8%  
40 6% 94%  
41 0.8% 87%  
42 2% 87%  
43 3% 85% Median
44 3% 82%  
45 49% 80%  
46 30% 30%  
47 0% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.3% 0.3%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.8% Median
37 31% 99.5%  
38 51% 69%  
39 6% 17%  
40 0.8% 12%  
41 2% 11%  
42 1.3% 9%  
43 3% 8%  
44 0.1% 5%  
45 0.3% 5%  
46 4% 4%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 34% 99.4% Median
35 6% 65%  
36 48% 59%  
37 2% 11%  
38 0.5% 9%  
39 1.2% 8%  
40 0.1% 7%  
41 3% 7%  
42 4% 4%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.5% 100%  
36 7% 99.5% Median
37 6% 93%  
38 51% 87%  
39 30% 35%  
40 2% 6%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.4% 1.0%  
43 0.1% 0.5%  
44 0.5% 0.5%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 4% 100%  
34 0.4% 96%  
35 7% 95%  
36 1.1% 88%  
37 34% 87%  
38 5% 52% Median
39 0.1% 47%  
40 0.1% 47%  
41 46% 47%  
42 0% 1.1%  
43 0.6% 1.1%  
44 0.4% 0.4%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 4% 99.9%  
34 8% 95%  
35 1.0% 88%  
36 4% 87%  
37 32% 82% Median
38 3% 50%  
39 0.2% 47%  
40 46% 47%  
41 0% 1.1%  
42 0.6% 1.1%  
43 0.4% 0.4%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 31% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 69% Median
32 4% 69%  
33 53% 65%  
34 0.8% 12%  
35 0.8% 11%  
36 5% 11%  
37 1.0% 6% Last Result
38 0.5% 5%  
39 0.2% 5%  
40 4% 4%  
41 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 5% 99.8%  
33 5% 95%  
34 8% 90% Median
35 1.5% 82%  
36 77% 81%  
37 0.2% 4%  
38 0.5% 4%  
39 3% 3%  
40 0.5% 0.5%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 4% 99.9%  
31 5% 95%  
32 4% 90%  
33 32% 86%  
34 2% 54% Median
35 5% 52%  
36 46% 47%  
37 0.2% 1.4%  
38 0.1% 1.2%  
39 0.7% 1.1%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 31% 99.8%  
28 4% 69%  
29 5% 65% Median
30 2% 60%  
31 48% 58%  
32 2% 11% Last Result
33 0.2% 9%  
34 4% 8%  
35 0.2% 4%  
36 4% 4%  
37 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 10% 99.9%  
31 4% 90%  
32 2% 86%  
33 32% 83% Median
34 0.4% 52%  
35 50% 51%  
36 0.2% 1.3%  
37 0% 1.1%  
38 0.6% 1.1%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 5% 99.8%  
27 6% 95%  
28 3% 88%  
29 33% 85% Median
30 3% 52%  
31 46% 50%  
32 3% 4%  
33 0.4% 1.1%  
34 0.3% 0.7%  
35 0.4% 0.4%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 2% 98%  
9 5% 97% Median
10 43% 92%  
11 46% 49%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations