Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–24 September 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 17.2% 15.7–18.8% 15.3–19.2% 15.0–19.6% 14.3–20.4%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0.0% 15.8% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–18.9%
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 10.9% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Democraten 66 15.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–5.0%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
DENK 2.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Volt Europa 2.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Bij1 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
50Plus 1.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 26 26–31 24–31 24–31 22–32
Nieuw Sociaal Contract 0 23 23–29 22–29 22–29 21–30
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 17 20 19–20 19–21 19–21 17–23
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 17 16–17 16–18 15–18 13–19
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 12 11–12 11–12 10–13 9–15
Democraten 66 24 10 10 9–11 8–11 7–13
Partij voor de Dieren 6 8 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–9
ChristenUnie 5 6 3–6 3–6 3–6 3–8
Socialistische Partij 9 6 3–6 3–7 3–7 3–7
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–6
Forum voor Democratie 8 4 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–5
DENK 3 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 1–5
Volt Europa 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–4 1–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2–4 2–6 2–6 2–6
Bij1 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
50Plus 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 1.4% 99.8%  
23 0.2% 98%  
24 5% 98%  
25 3% 93%  
26 59% 90% Median
27 2% 31%  
28 0.6% 30%  
29 2% 29%  
30 0.3% 27%  
31 26% 27%  
32 0.9% 0.9%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw Sociaal Contract

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.8% 99.6%  
22 5% 98.8%  
23 62% 93% Median
24 0.6% 32%  
25 2% 31%  
26 1.2% 30%  
27 0.5% 28%  
28 0.4% 28%  
29 26% 27%  
30 1.3% 1.4%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
18 0.5% 99.3%  
19 28% 98.8%  
20 65% 71% Median
21 4% 6%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.5% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.5%  
15 2% 98%  
16 27% 96%  
17 64% 70% Last Result, Median
18 5% 6%  
19 0.5% 1.0%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 2% 98%  
11 32% 96%  
12 61% 64% Median
13 1.5% 3%  
14 0.8% 2%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.4% 99.8%  
8 1.5% 98%  
9 3% 97%  
10 86% 94% Median
11 6% 8%  
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 3% 99.8% Last Result
7 33% 97%  
8 62% 64% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 27% 99.9%  
4 2% 72%  
5 8% 71% Last Result
6 60% 62% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 28% 100%  
4 5% 72%  
5 2% 67%  
6 59% 65% Median
7 6% 6%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 2% 99.8%  
4 28% 98%  
5 69% 70% Median
6 0.5% 0.9%  
7 0.1% 0.3%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 26% 99.5%  
3 8% 73%  
4 62% 65% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 1.3% 99.8%  
3 35% 98% Last Result
4 62% 63% Median
5 1.0% 1.1%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 28% 99.5%  
3 68% 71% Last Result, Median
4 1.3% 3%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100%  
2 62% 99.3% Median
3 34% 38% Last Result
4 2% 3%  
5 0.9% 1.3%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 62% 99.8% Median
3 4% 38% Last Result
4 29% 34%  
5 0.3% 6%  
6 5% 5%  
7 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 97% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 4% 4% Last Result
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 67 63 0% 62–65 60–65 60–65 58–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging 52 58 0% 57–61 55–61 55–61 54–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 75 56 0% 55–60 55–60 53–60 50–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 54 0% 54–57 54–57 51–57 49–60
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 52 0% 51–53 49–53 48–55 45–56
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 51 0% 51–54 49–54 49–54 46–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 48 0% 48–51 46–51 45–51 42–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid 51 46 0% 46–50 44–50 44–50 42–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 78 47 0% 45–48 44–48 42–49 40–52
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 70 47 0% 39–47 39–48 39–48 39–48
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 50 43 0% 42–46 40–46 40–46 37–49
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 41 0% 40–45 39–45 38–45 35–45
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 61 41 0% 36–41 36–41 36–42 35–44
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 37 0% 37–41 37–41 35–41 33–45
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 37 0% 37–41 37–41 35–41 33–45
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 35 0% 35–37 32–37 32–37 30–41
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 56 35 0% 33–35 33–36 32–37 30–37
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 35 0% 35–37 32–37 32–37 30–41
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 31 0% 30–35 29–35 28–35 27–37
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging 18 32 0% 30–32 30–32 30–32 29–36
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 37 31 0% 26–31 26–31 26–32 26–33
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 32 25 0% 23–25 23–25 23–26 21–27
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 15 0% 14–15 14–16 13–16 11–18

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.8% 99.9%  
59 0.9% 99.1%  
60 6% 98%  
61 2% 92%  
62 0.8% 90%  
63 60% 90% Median
64 0.9% 29%  
65 26% 28%  
66 0.6% 2%  
67 0.1% 2% Last Result
68 0.4% 1.4%  
69 1.0% 1.0%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100% Last Result
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 1.0% 99.7%  
55 6% 98.7%  
56 2% 93%  
57 1.2% 91%  
58 59% 90% Median
59 2% 31%  
60 0.3% 29%  
61 27% 28%  
62 0.3% 2%  
63 0.1% 1.4%  
64 0.9% 1.3%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.2%  
52 1.3% 99.0%  
53 0.3% 98%  
54 0.9% 97%  
55 7% 97%  
56 59% 90% Median
57 0.7% 31%  
58 0.6% 30%  
59 2% 30%  
60 26% 28%  
61 0.3% 2%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.5% 99.8%  
50 0.8% 99.3%  
51 1.2% 98.5%  
52 0.4% 97%  
53 1.5% 97%  
54 59% 95% Median
55 5% 36%  
56 2% 31%  
57 27% 29%  
58 0.3% 2%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 1.0% 1.2%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.5% 100%  
46 0.6% 99.4%  
47 0.5% 98.8%  
48 1.3% 98%  
49 5% 97%  
50 0.5% 92%  
51 1.5% 91%  
52 59% 90% Median
53 27% 31%  
54 0.5% 4%  
55 2% 3%  
56 1.2% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.7%  
47 0.8% 99.5%  
48 0.6% 98.7%  
49 7% 98%  
50 0.6% 91%  
51 61% 91% Median
52 0.2% 30%  
53 0.2% 30%  
54 28% 30%  
55 0.1% 1.2%  
56 0.1% 1.1%  
57 0.9% 1.0%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.6% 100%  
43 0.8% 99.3%  
44 1.0% 98.6%  
45 0.9% 98%  
46 6% 97%  
47 0.1% 91%  
48 60% 90% Median
49 0.4% 30%  
50 0.7% 30%  
51 28% 29%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.5%  
43 0.5% 99.0%  
44 7% 98%  
45 0.4% 92%  
46 61% 91% Median
47 0.6% 30%  
48 0.2% 30%  
49 0.7% 30%  
50 28% 29%  
51 0.3% 1.4% Last Result
52 0.9% 1.0%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.9% 99.7%  
41 0.3% 98.7%  
42 2% 98%  
43 1.1% 97%  
44 0.7% 96%  
45 6% 95%  
46 0.6% 89%  
47 59% 89% Median
48 26% 30%  
49 1.2% 4%  
50 0.2% 2%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 26% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 73%  
41 1.2% 73%  
42 2% 72%  
43 0.4% 70%  
44 2% 70%  
45 0.9% 68%  
46 0.3% 67%  
47 60% 67% Median
48 6% 6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.8% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.2%  
39 1.1% 99.1%  
40 7% 98%  
41 0.4% 91%  
42 2% 91%  
43 59% 89% Median
44 0.9% 30%  
45 1.2% 29%  
46 26% 28%  
47 0.3% 1.3%  
48 0.2% 1.1%  
49 0.8% 0.9%  
50 0% 0.1% Last Result
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 99.8%  
36 0.5% 98.8%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 0.7% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 5% 95%  
41 60% 90% Median
42 0.4% 30%  
43 0.3% 30%  
44 1.0% 29%  
45 28% 28%  
46 0% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.8%  
36 27% 99.5%  
37 1.1% 72%  
38 2% 71%  
39 0.6% 69%  
40 2% 69%  
41 64% 67% Median
42 0.2% 3%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 1.0% 99.8%  
34 0.6% 98.8%  
35 1.1% 98%  
36 0.3% 97%  
37 59% 97% Median
38 5% 38%  
39 4% 32%  
40 1.2% 29%  
41 26% 28%  
42 0.4% 2%  
43 0.1% 1.1%  
44 0.1% 1.0%  
45 0.8% 0.9%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.8%  
33 1.0% 99.6%  
34 0.5% 98.7%  
35 1.1% 98%  
36 0.6% 97%  
37 59% 96% Median
38 7% 37%  
39 3% 30%  
40 0.3% 28%  
41 26% 28%  
42 0.2% 1.2%  
43 0.1% 1.0%  
44 0.1% 1.0%  
45 0.9% 0.9%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 1.2% 99.8%  
31 0.6% 98.5%  
32 5% 98%  
33 1.2% 92%  
34 0.5% 91%  
35 59% 91% Median
36 2% 32%  
37 28% 30%  
38 0.8% 2%  
39 0.2% 1.4%  
40 0.2% 1.2%  
41 0.9% 1.0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 0.7% 99.5%  
32 2% 98.8%  
33 26% 97%  
34 0.4% 70%  
35 61% 70% Median
36 6% 9%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 1.2% 99.7%  
31 0.7% 98%  
32 5% 98%  
33 1.1% 92%  
34 0.8% 91%  
35 60% 90% Median
36 0.3% 30%  
37 28% 30%  
38 0.3% 2%  
39 0% 1.2%  
40 0.3% 1.2%  
41 0.9% 0.9%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 1.2% 99.6%  
28 1.5% 98%  
29 5% 97%  
30 2% 92%  
31 59% 90% Median
32 1.4% 31%  
33 2% 29%  
34 0.4% 28%  
35 26% 27%  
36 0.1% 1.1%  
37 0.9% 0.9%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100% Last Result
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.8%  
29 0.2% 99.6%  
30 28% 99.4%  
31 7% 71%  
32 62% 64% Median
33 0.4% 2%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.7% 1.2%  
36 0.2% 0.6%  
37 0.3% 0.4%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 27% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 73%  
28 0.7% 72%  
29 2% 72%  
30 7% 70%  
31 60% 63% Median
32 3% 3%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 0.7% 99.5%  
23 27% 98.7%  
24 2% 72%  
25 67% 71% Median
26 2% 4%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.1% 0.3%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.8%  
12 1.1% 99.2%  
13 2% 98%  
14 29% 96%  
15 59% 67% Median
16 7% 8%  
17 0.3% 1.0%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations