Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 22–24 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract | 0.0% | 17.4% | 16.2–18.7% | 15.9–19.1% | 15.6–19.4% | 15.0–20.0% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 16.5% | 15.3–17.8% | 15.0–18.1% | 14.7–18.4% | 14.2–19.1% |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 10.9% | 16.2% | 15.1–17.5% | 14.7–17.8% | 14.5–18.2% | 13.9–18.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.6–13.3% | 10.3–13.6% | 9.9–14.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 7.2% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–9.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.6% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.4–3.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract | 0 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28–29 | 25–30 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 22 | 22 | 22–23 | 22–24 | 22–27 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 17 | 28 | 28 | 27–28 | 24–28 | 23–28 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18–19 | 18–21 | 16–21 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 98% | |
| 27 | 0% | 98% | |
| 28 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 26 | 0% | 96% | |
| 27 | 2% | 96% | |
| 28 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0% | 98% | Last Result |
| 18 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 19 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 21 | 4% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 94% | 99.9% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 96% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 98% | |
| 4 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 94% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 98% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 93% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 67 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 64 | 63–64 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging | 52 | 60 | 0% | 60 | 60 | 60–61 | 57–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 75 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 56 | 52–57 | 52–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 51 | 0% | 51 | 51–54 | 51–56 | 51–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 54 | 0% | 54 | 54 | 52–54 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 48 | 0% | 48 | 48–51 | 48–53 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 51 | 50 | 0% | 50 | 50 | 47–50 | 47–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 44–46 | 44–47 | 44–50 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 42–45 | 41–45 | 37–45 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 39–41 | 36–41 | 34–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 50 | 36 | 0% | 36 | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–41 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging | 18 | 38 | 0% | 38 | 38 | 37–38 | 33–39 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 56 | 38 | 0% | 38 | 36–38 | 33–38 | 32–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 35 | 0% | 35 | 35 | 35–37 | 33–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 34 | 0% | 34 | 34–35 | 34–37 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 33 | 0% | 33 | 33–35 | 33–36 | 32–38 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 32 | 0% | 32 | 32 | 32–35 | 31–37 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 37 | 35 | 0% | 35 | 32–35 | 31–35 | 29–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 31 | 0% | 31 | 31–32 | 31–34 | 29–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 57 | 30 | 0% | 30 | 30–32 | 30–33 | 29–35 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 32 | 32 | 0% | 32 | 29–32 | 28–32 | 27–32 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 26 | 0% | 26 | 26 | 26–29 | 25–30 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 10 | 0% | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 65 | 0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 94% | 98% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 93% | 97% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 52 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 54 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 93% | 99.9% | Median |
| 49 | 0% | 7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0% | 97% | |
| 50 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 52 | 0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 45 | 0% | 7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 2% | 95% | |
| 41 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 37 | 0% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 39 | 3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 0% | 95% | |
| 38 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 94% | 98.6% | Median |
| 36 | 0% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 98% | |
| 34 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 35 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 34 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 94% | 98.6% | Median |
| 33 | 0% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 35 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 98% | |
| 31 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 31 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 2% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0% | 95% | |
| 31 | 2% | 95% | |
| 32 | 93% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 94% | 98% | Median |
| 27 | 0% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1541
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.81%