Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 3–4 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract |
0.0% |
19.8% |
18.9–20.8% |
18.6–21.0% |
18.4–21.3% |
18.0–21.7% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.2% |
16.3–18.1% |
16.1–18.3% |
15.9–18.6% |
15.5–19.0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
10.9% |
16.5% |
15.7–17.4% |
15.4–17.6% |
15.2–17.9% |
14.8–18.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
12.5% |
11.8–13.4% |
11.6–13.6% |
11.4–13.8% |
11.0–14.2% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
5.9% |
5.4–6.5% |
5.3–6.7% |
5.1–6.8% |
4.9–7.1% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
4.6% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.0–5.3% |
3.9–5.5% |
3.7–5.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.5–4.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.5–4.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.6% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
2.6% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
2.6% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.6% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.3% |
1.6–2.4% |
1.5–2.5% |
1.4–2.7% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
58% |
85% |
Median |
31 |
15% |
26% |
|
32 |
11% |
11% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
8% |
100% |
|
25 |
15% |
92% |
|
26 |
70% |
77% |
Median |
27 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
28 |
3% |
5% |
|
29 |
2% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
25 |
68% |
97% |
Median |
26 |
1.0% |
29% |
|
27 |
15% |
28% |
|
28 |
8% |
13% |
|
29 |
5% |
5% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
26% |
97% |
|
20 |
70% |
71% |
Median |
21 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
16% |
97% |
|
9 |
79% |
82% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
6% |
45% |
|
7 |
14% |
39% |
|
8 |
10% |
25% |
|
9 |
15% |
15% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
28% |
100% |
|
5 |
61% |
72% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
11% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
4 |
34% |
96% |
|
5 |
62% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
38% |
95% |
|
5 |
56% |
56% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
23% |
100% |
|
4 |
66% |
77% |
Median |
5 |
11% |
11% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
41% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
58% |
59% |
Median |
5 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
57% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
43% |
43% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
16% |
92% |
|
2 |
76% |
77% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.0% |
99.2% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
28% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
71% |
72% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
67 |
65 |
0% |
63–65 |
63–66 |
63–66 |
63–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
52 |
60 |
0% |
59–61 |
59–63 |
59–63 |
59–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
75 |
56 |
0% |
56–62 |
56–62 |
56–62 |
56–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
58 |
0% |
54–58 |
53–58 |
53–58 |
53–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
56 |
0% |
54–57 |
54–57 |
54–57 |
54–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
56 |
0% |
52–56 |
51–56 |
51–56 |
51–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
51 |
51 |
0% |
50–53 |
50–54 |
50–54 |
50–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
51 |
0% |
48–51 |
47–51 |
47–51 |
47–53 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij |
70 |
44 |
0% |
44–47 |
44–47 |
40–47 |
39–47 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
40 |
0% |
40–44 |
40–44 |
37–44 |
36–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
41 |
0% |
39–43 |
39–43 |
39–43 |
39–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
50 |
40 |
0% |
37–40 |
37–40 |
37–42 |
37–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
38 |
0% |
34–38 |
34–39 |
34–40 |
34–40 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
56 |
35 |
0% |
35–40 |
35–40 |
34–40 |
34–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
38 |
0% |
34–38 |
34–39 |
34–40 |
34–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
36 |
0% |
35–39 |
35–39 |
34–39 |
34–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–37 |
32–38 |
32–38 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
18 |
34 |
0% |
34–37 |
33–37 |
32–38 |
32–38 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
57 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–37 |
32–38 |
32–38 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
37 |
35 |
0% |
33–36 |
33–36 |
31–37 |
29–37 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
31 |
0% |
28–31 |
28–32 |
28–33 |
28–33 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
32 |
30 |
0% |
29–32 |
29–32 |
27–32 |
27–32 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
10 |
0% |
10–13 |
10–13 |
9–13 |
9–13 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
10% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
3% |
89% |
|
65 |
79% |
86% |
Median |
66 |
7% |
8% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
68 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
10% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
59% |
90% |
Median |
61 |
23% |
31% |
|
62 |
2% |
8% |
|
63 |
5% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
55% |
99.9% |
Median |
57 |
0.7% |
44% |
|
58 |
10% |
44% |
|
59 |
11% |
34% |
|
60 |
7% |
23% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
62 |
15% |
15% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
5% |
92% |
|
55 |
15% |
87% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
72% |
|
57 |
10% |
72% |
|
58 |
60% |
61% |
Median |
59 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
56 |
66% |
89% |
Median |
57 |
22% |
23% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
5% |
92% |
|
53 |
15% |
87% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
72% |
|
55 |
10% |
72% |
|
56 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
57 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
50 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
56% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
52 |
11% |
34% |
|
53 |
18% |
23% |
|
54 |
5% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
8% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
5% |
92% |
|
49 |
25% |
87% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
62% |
|
51 |
60% |
61% |
Median |
52 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
44 |
56% |
97% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
40% |
|
46 |
15% |
37% |
|
47 |
23% |
23% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
40 |
56% |
97% |
Median |
41 |
13% |
40% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
28% |
|
43 |
13% |
27% |
|
44 |
15% |
15% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
41 |
66% |
86% |
Median |
42 |
2% |
20% |
|
43 |
15% |
18% |
|
44 |
2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
25% |
87% |
|
39 |
4% |
62% |
|
40 |
55% |
58% |
Median |
41 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
36 |
15% |
87% |
|
37 |
10% |
72% |
|
38 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
6% |
|
40 |
3% |
3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
55% |
97% |
Median |
36 |
3% |
42% |
|
37 |
11% |
39% |
|
38 |
5% |
28% |
|
39 |
8% |
23% |
|
40 |
15% |
15% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
36 |
15% |
87% |
|
37 |
10% |
72% |
|
38 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
39 |
3% |
6% |
|
40 |
3% |
3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
5% |
100% |
|
35 |
8% |
95% |
|
36 |
56% |
87% |
Median |
37 |
10% |
31% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
21% |
|
39 |
18% |
20% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
13% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
34 |
15% |
87% |
|
35 |
10% |
72% |
|
36 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
37 |
3% |
6% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
3% |
97% |
|
34 |
66% |
94% |
Median |
35 |
15% |
28% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
37 |
8% |
13% |
|
38 |
5% |
5% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
13% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
34 |
15% |
87% |
|
35 |
10% |
72% |
|
36 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
37 |
3% |
6% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
33 |
10% |
96% |
|
34 |
3% |
86% |
|
35 |
70% |
83% |
Median |
36 |
8% |
13% |
|
37 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
13% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
10% |
87% |
|
30 |
16% |
77% |
|
31 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
32 |
3% |
6% |
|
33 |
3% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
29 |
13% |
97% |
|
30 |
56% |
84% |
Median |
31 |
16% |
29% |
|
32 |
13% |
13% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
5% |
100% |
|
10 |
56% |
95% |
Median |
11 |
14% |
39% |
|
12 |
10% |
25% |
|
13 |
15% |
15% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.27%