Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 17–18 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.3% |
16.4–18.2% |
16.2–18.4% |
15.9–18.7% |
15.5–19.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
17.3% |
16.4–18.2% |
16.2–18.4% |
15.9–18.7% |
15.5–19.1% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract |
0.0% |
15.3% |
14.4–16.1% |
14.2–16.4% |
14.0–16.6% |
13.6–17.0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
10.9% |
15.3% |
14.4–16.1% |
14.2–16.4% |
14.0–16.6% |
13.6–17.0% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
25 |
6% |
98.5% |
|
26 |
5% |
93% |
|
27 |
2% |
88% |
|
28 |
19% |
86% |
|
29 |
61% |
67% |
Median |
30 |
0% |
6% |
|
31 |
6% |
6% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
3% |
100% |
|
25 |
15% |
97% |
|
26 |
3% |
82% |
|
27 |
16% |
78% |
|
28 |
60% |
63% |
Median |
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
11% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
63% |
89% |
Median |
24 |
8% |
26% |
|
25 |
2% |
18% |
|
26 |
17% |
17% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
21 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
26% |
98% |
|
23 |
12% |
72% |
|
24 |
55% |
61% |
Median |
25 |
3% |
6% |
|
26 |
3% |
3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
9% |
100% |
|
7 |
67% |
91% |
Median |
8 |
11% |
24% |
|
9 |
11% |
13% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
6% |
100% |
|
6 |
16% |
94% |
|
7 |
71% |
78% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
7% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
5 |
65% |
99.2% |
Median |
6 |
13% |
35% |
|
7 |
22% |
22% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
24% |
100% |
|
5 |
18% |
76% |
|
6 |
4% |
59% |
|
7 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
6% |
100% |
|
4 |
55% |
94% |
Median |
5 |
19% |
39% |
|
6 |
20% |
20% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
70% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
21% |
30% |
|
6 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
30% |
40% |
|
5 |
10% |
10% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
3 |
10% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
4 |
80% |
89% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
31% |
100% |
|
3 |
68% |
69% |
Median |
4 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
34% |
34% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
23% |
24% |
Last Result |
2 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
|
1 |
83% |
83% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
70% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
29% |
30% |
|
2 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
67 |
0% |
65–69 |
64–70 |
63–70 |
63–70 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
66 |
0% |
64–68 |
62–68 |
61–68 |
61–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
67 |
65 |
0% |
62–65 |
62–65 |
62–65 |
59–66 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
62 |
0% |
59–62 |
58–63 |
57–63 |
55–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
75 |
60 |
0% |
56–60 |
56–61 |
55–61 |
55–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
52 |
60 |
0% |
56–60 |
55–60 |
55–60 |
53–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
58 |
0% |
56–58 |
55–60 |
54–60 |
52–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
51 |
53 |
0% |
49–53 |
48–53 |
47–53 |
47–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
44 |
0% |
43–45 |
42–48 |
41–48 |
40–48 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
46 |
0% |
42–46 |
41–47 |
41–47 |
41–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
41 |
0% |
41–43 |
39–46 |
38–46 |
37–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
39 |
0% |
39–42 |
38–45 |
37–45 |
35–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
39 |
0% |
39–42 |
38–45 |
37–45 |
35–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
50 |
41 |
0% |
40–41 |
39–43 |
37–43 |
35–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
38 |
0% |
37–41 |
36–43 |
35–43 |
34–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
38 |
0% |
37–41 |
36–43 |
35–43 |
34–43 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
39 |
0% |
38–40 |
37–42 |
37–42 |
37–44 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
56 |
36 |
0% |
35–37 |
35–39 |
35–40 |
35–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
34 |
0% |
32–35 |
32–38 |
31–38 |
29–38 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
37 |
32 |
0% |
31–32 |
29–33 |
29–34 |
29–35 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
18 |
31 |
0% |
28–31 |
27–31 |
27–33 |
27–35 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
32 |
29 |
0% |
28–29 |
27–30 |
27–31 |
27–32 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
12 |
0% |
12–15 |
12–16 |
12–16 |
10–17 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
5% |
100% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
4% |
93% |
|
66 |
10% |
89% |
|
67 |
56% |
79% |
Median |
68 |
0.9% |
24% |
|
69 |
14% |
23% |
|
70 |
8% |
8% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
4% |
100% |
|
62 |
3% |
96% |
|
63 |
2% |
93% |
|
64 |
11% |
91% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
66 |
55% |
78% |
Median |
67 |
8% |
23% |
|
68 |
16% |
16% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
10% |
98% |
|
63 |
16% |
88% |
|
64 |
8% |
72% |
|
65 |
63% |
64% |
Median |
66 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
57 |
3% |
98% |
|
58 |
4% |
96% |
|
59 |
10% |
91% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
81% |
|
61 |
9% |
80% |
|
62 |
66% |
72% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
6% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
8% |
96% |
|
57 |
6% |
89% |
|
58 |
12% |
82% |
|
59 |
2% |
71% |
|
60 |
63% |
69% |
Median |
61 |
6% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
12% |
95% |
|
57 |
10% |
83% |
|
58 |
16% |
73% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
57% |
|
60 |
55% |
57% |
Median |
61 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
55 |
3% |
96% |
|
56 |
15% |
93% |
|
57 |
16% |
78% |
|
58 |
55% |
61% |
Median |
59 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
60 |
5% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
6% |
95% |
|
50 |
11% |
88% |
|
51 |
15% |
78% |
Last Result |
52 |
2% |
63% |
|
53 |
60% |
61% |
Median |
54 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
2% |
100% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
4% |
96% |
|
43 |
15% |
92% |
|
44 |
59% |
77% |
Median |
45 |
11% |
18% |
|
46 |
2% |
8% |
|
47 |
0% |
6% |
|
48 |
6% |
6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
7% |
100% |
|
42 |
7% |
93% |
|
43 |
15% |
86% |
|
44 |
3% |
71% |
|
45 |
5% |
67% |
|
46 |
56% |
62% |
Median |
47 |
6% |
7% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
38 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
39 |
3% |
96% |
|
40 |
3% |
94% |
|
41 |
72% |
91% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
19% |
|
43 |
8% |
14% |
|
44 |
0% |
6% |
|
45 |
0% |
6% |
|
46 |
6% |
6% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
5% |
95% |
|
39 |
59% |
91% |
Median |
40 |
0.8% |
31% |
|
41 |
6% |
31% |
|
42 |
19% |
24% |
|
43 |
0% |
5% |
|
44 |
0% |
5% |
|
45 |
5% |
5% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
5% |
95% |
|
39 |
59% |
91% |
Median |
40 |
0.7% |
31% |
|
41 |
6% |
31% |
|
42 |
19% |
24% |
|
43 |
0% |
5% |
|
44 |
0% |
5% |
|
45 |
5% |
5% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
3% |
96% |
|
40 |
12% |
93% |
|
41 |
74% |
81% |
Median |
42 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
43 |
5% |
7% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
2% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
5% |
96% |
|
37 |
4% |
91% |
|
38 |
56% |
87% |
Median |
39 |
6% |
31% |
|
40 |
11% |
25% |
|
41 |
8% |
13% |
|
42 |
0% |
5% |
|
43 |
5% |
5% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
2% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
5% |
96% |
|
37 |
4% |
91% |
|
38 |
56% |
87% |
Median |
39 |
6% |
31% |
|
40 |
11% |
25% |
|
41 |
8% |
13% |
|
42 |
0% |
5% |
|
43 |
5% |
5% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
8% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
16% |
92% |
|
39 |
64% |
76% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
12% |
|
41 |
3% |
9% |
|
42 |
4% |
6% |
|
43 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
11% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
68% |
88% |
Median |
37 |
11% |
20% |
|
38 |
2% |
9% |
|
39 |
4% |
7% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
3% |
98% |
|
32 |
5% |
95% |
|
33 |
5% |
90% |
|
34 |
70% |
85% |
Median |
35 |
9% |
15% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
37 |
0% |
5% |
|
38 |
5% |
5% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
29 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
31 |
26% |
93% |
|
32 |
57% |
67% |
Median |
33 |
7% |
10% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
6% |
100% |
|
28 |
14% |
94% |
|
29 |
3% |
81% |
|
30 |
16% |
77% |
|
31 |
57% |
61% |
Median |
32 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
5% |
93% |
|
29 |
78% |
88% |
Median |
30 |
6% |
10% |
|
31 |
2% |
4% |
|
32 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
56% |
99.0% |
Median |
13 |
19% |
43% |
|
14 |
9% |
25% |
|
15 |
10% |
15% |
|
16 |
5% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–18 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%