Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 19–21 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 19.2% | 18.2–20.3% | 17.9–20.7% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 17.9% | 16.9–19.0% | 16.6–19.3% | 16.4–19.6% | 15.9–20.1% |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 10.9% | 15.9% | 15.0–17.0% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.0–18.0% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract | 0.0% | 12.6% | 11.8–13.5% | 11.5–13.8% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 30 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 27–32 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 29 | 27–29 | 27–29 | 27–29 | 25–30 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 17 | 23 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract | 0 | 21 | 21–22 | 20–22 | 16–22 | 16–22 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 3–6 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 3–6 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 14% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 29 | 3% | 86% | |
| 30 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 31 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 29 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 80% | 99.4% | Median |
| 24 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 25 | 15% | 18% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 18 | 2% | 97% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 21 | 81% | 95% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 14% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 11 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 15% | 16% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 17% | 98% | |
| 6 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 96% | 98.7% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 98.7% | 98.8% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 99.2% | 99.5% | Median |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 99.2% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 82% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 17% | 18% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 19% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 18% | 19% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | |
| 1 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 67 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–67 | 63–69 | 63–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 75 | 64 | 0% | 63–64 | 63–64 | 63–65 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 67 | 62 | 0% | 62 | 62–63 | 62–65 | 60–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 65 | 0% | 60–65 | 60–65 | 60–65 | 60–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 63 | 0% | 58–63 | 58–63 | 58–63 | 58–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging | 52 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 58–59 | 58–61 | 56–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 57 | 0% | 56–57 | 56–57 | 56–60 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid | 51 | 53 | 0% | 52–53 | 52–53 | 52–56 | 51–57 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 48 | 0% | 48–49 | 48–49 | 48–49 | 46–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 49 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–49 | 46–49 | 46–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 45 | 0% | 42–45 | 42–45 | 42–45 | 42–47 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 42 | 0% | 42–44 | 42–44 | 42–44 | 40–46 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 56 | 38 | 0% | 38–40 | 38–40 | 38–40 | 36–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 38 | 0% | 36–38 | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 38 | 0% | 36–38 | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 50 | 39 | 0% | 37–39 | 37–39 | 37–39 | 37–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 36 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–36 | 33–36 | 33–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 36 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–36 | 33–36 | 33–39 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 37 | 31 | 0% | 31–33 | 31–33 | 31–34 | 29–35 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 34 | 0% | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 31–36 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging | 18 | 28 | 0% | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–32 | 28–33 |
| GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 32 | 27 | 0% | 27–29 | 27–29 | 27–30 | 26–31 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 15 | 0% | 15 | 15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 86% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 67 | 81% | 84% | Median |
| 68 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 80% | 85% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 94% | 99.2% | Median |
| 63 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 14% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 14% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 86% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 62 | 3% | 84% | |
| 63 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 64 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 94% | 99.2% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 80% | 85% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 60 | 3% | 4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 52 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 80% | 85% | Median |
| 54 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 81% | 98% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 18% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 49 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 50 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 45 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 46 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 81% | 99.0% | Median |
| 43 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 44 | 17% | 18% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 80% | 99.1% | Median |
| 39 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 40 | 17% | 18% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 38 | 80% | 86% | Median |
| 39 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 38 | 80% | 86% | Median |
| 39 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 3% | 86% | |
| 39 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 40 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 14% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 86% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 36 | 83% | 85% | Median |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 14% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 86% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 36 | 83% | 85% | Median |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 81% | 99.3% | Median |
| 32 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 14% | 18% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 33 | 3% | 86% | |
| 34 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 35 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 80% | 99.5% | Median |
| 29 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 31 | 14% | 18% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 81% | 99.4% | Median |
| 28 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 29 | 15% | 18% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 16 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 19–21 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2260
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%