Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 21 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
19.3% |
18.6–19.9% |
18.4–20.1% |
18.3–20.3% |
18.0–20.6% |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid |
10.9% |
18.6% |
18.0–19.3% |
17.8–19.4% |
17.6–19.6% |
17.3–19.9% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
17.3% |
16.7–17.9% |
16.5–18.1% |
16.3–18.3% |
16.0–18.6% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract |
0.0% |
12.6% |
12.1–13.2% |
11.9–13.4% |
11.8–13.5% |
11.5–13.8% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
5.3% |
5.0–5.7% |
4.9–5.8% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.6–6.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.0% |
3.7–4.3% |
3.6–4.4% |
3.5–4.5% |
3.4–4.7% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.0% |
3.7–4.3% |
3.6–4.4% |
3.5–4.5% |
3.4–4.7% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
3.3% |
3.0–3.6% |
3.0–3.7% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–4.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.6% |
2.4–2.9% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.1–3.2% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.6% |
2.4–2.9% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.1–3.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
2.6% |
2.4–2.9% |
2.3–3.0% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.1–3.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
2.0% |
1.8–2.3% |
1.7–2.3% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
2.0% |
1.8–2.3% |
1.7–2.3% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.1–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.8% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.8% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.8% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
94% |
98% |
Median |
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
94% |
95% |
Median |
31 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
95% |
98% |
Median |
28 |
4% |
4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
3% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
20 |
96% |
97% |
Median |
21 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
96% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
98% |
98.7% |
Median |
7 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
95% |
99.6% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
99.2% |
99.6% |
Median |
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
4 |
99.0% |
99.4% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
68 |
0% |
68 |
68 |
68–70 |
67–70 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
67 |
68 |
0% |
68 |
68 |
68–69 |
67–69 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
66 |
0% |
66 |
66 |
66–69 |
65–69 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 |
75 |
65 |
0% |
65 |
65 |
64–65 |
63–66 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
63 |
0% |
63 |
63 |
63–65 |
61–65 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging |
52 |
62 |
0% |
62 |
62 |
62–63 |
60–63 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
63 |
0% |
63 |
63 |
62–63 |
61–63 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
51 |
57 |
0% |
57 |
57 |
56–57 |
55–57 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
52 |
0% |
52 |
52 |
49–52 |
48–52 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
47 |
0% |
47 |
47 |
44–47 |
44–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
44 |
0% |
44 |
44 |
43–44 |
42–44 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
56 |
44 |
0% |
44 |
44 |
42–44 |
41–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
41 |
0% |
41 |
41 |
41 |
39–41 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
50 |
38 |
0% |
38 |
38 |
38–40 |
37–40 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
38 |
0% |
38 |
38 |
38–39 |
37–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
38 |
0% |
38 |
38 |
38–39 |
37–39 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
37 |
39 |
0% |
39 |
39 |
37–39 |
36–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
36 |
0% |
36 |
36 |
36–38 |
36–38 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
36 |
0% |
36 |
36 |
36–38 |
36–38 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
32 |
36 |
0% |
36 |
36 |
35–36 |
34–36 |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging |
18 |
35 |
0% |
35 |
35 |
35 |
34–36 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
33 |
0% |
33 |
33 |
33–34 |
32–34 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
14 |
0% |
14 |
14 |
13–14 |
13–15 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
96% |
99.1% |
Median |
69 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
70 |
3% |
3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
68 |
95% |
98% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
95% |
99.4% |
Median |
67 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
3% |
98% |
|
65 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
66 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
94% |
98% |
Median |
64 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
65 |
3% |
3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
95% |
98% |
Median |
63 |
3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
57 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
58 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
52 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
44 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
47 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
44 |
95% |
96% |
Median |
45 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
44 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
98.8% |
99.2% |
Median |
42 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – BoerBurgerBeweging – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
38 |
95% |
99.1% |
Median |
39 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
40 |
3% |
3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
95% |
99.3% |
Median |
39 |
4% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
95% |
99.3% |
Median |
39 |
4% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
4% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
39 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
95% |
99.7% |
Median |
37 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
95% |
99.7% |
Median |
37 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
38 |
3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
36 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks–Partij van de Arbeid – BoerBurgerBeweging

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
36 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
96% |
99.0% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
94% |
96% |
Median |
15 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 6000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%