Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.8% | 9.5–14.5% | 9.0–14.9% | 8.6–15.3% | 8.0–16.1% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 10.0% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.8% | 8.2–12.1% | 7.6–12.8% |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
13.3% | 12.2–14.5% | 11.9–14.8% | 11.7–15.1% | 11.2–15.7% |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
9.5% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 11.9% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.2–13.8% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.3–14.9% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.3% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.4–14.8% |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
9.9% | 9.0–10.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.5–11.5% | 8.1–12.0% |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 10.9% | 9.6–12.3% | 9.3–12.7% | 9.0–13.1% | 8.4–13.8% |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
12.6% | 11.6–13.8% | 11.3–14.1% | 11.1–14.4% | 10.6–15.0% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 15.0% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.8–17.5% | 12.1–18.3% |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 9% | 98% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 13% | 89% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 77% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 12% | 68% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 25% | 55% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 21% | 30% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 24–30 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–28 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–14 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–10 October 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | |||||
| 30 September–6 October 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 23–29 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–23 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 12–18 September 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 August–12 September 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 15–21 August 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–19 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23 July–4 August 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 22–29 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15–22 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 11–17 July 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
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| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |