Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 15–22 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) |
22.4% |
23.4% |
21.8–25.2% |
21.3–25.7% |
20.9–26.2% |
20.1–27.0% |
Vlaams Belang (ID) |
19.1% |
22.2% |
20.6–24.0% |
20.2–24.5% |
19.8–24.9% |
19.0–25.8% |
Vooruit (S&D) |
10.2% |
14.2% |
12.9–15.7% |
12.5–16.1% |
12.2–16.5% |
11.6–17.2% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
14.5% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.5–13.4% |
9.0–14.1% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
16.0% |
9.8% |
8.7–11.1% |
8.4–11.5% |
8.1–11.8% |
7.6–12.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
5.0% |
8.9% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.3–10.9% |
6.8–11.5% |
Groen (Greens/EFA) |
12.4% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.7% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.9–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
96% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vlaams Belang (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98.7% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Groen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Vlaams Belang (ID) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2–4 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
2 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Vooruit (S&D) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
2 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Vlaams Belang (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98.7% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 15–22 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%