Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 6–14 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) |
22.4% |
24.9% |
23.2–26.7% |
22.7–27.2% |
22.3–27.7% |
21.5–28.5% |
Vlaams Belang (ID) |
19.1% |
22.6% |
21.0–24.4% |
20.5–24.9% |
20.1–25.3% |
19.4–26.2% |
Vooruit (S&D) |
10.2% |
14.8% |
13.4–16.3% |
13.0–16.7% |
12.7–17.1% |
12.1–17.9% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
14.5% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.5% |
8.8–11.9% |
8.5–12.3% |
8.0–12.9% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
16.0% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
7.9–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
5.0% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.8% |
7.2–10.1% |
7.0–10.4% |
6.5–11.1% |
Groen (Greens/EFA) |
12.4% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
8% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vlaams Belang (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98.6% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Groen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Vlaams Belang (ID) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2–4 |
Vooruit (S&D) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP) |
2 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE) |
2 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Vlaams Belang (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
98.6% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid van België (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 6–14 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1008
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.05%