Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 1–9 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 22.7% 26.6% 24.8–28.4% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.4% 23.1–30.3%
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 23.9% 22.3% 20.7–24.0% 20.2–24.5% 19.8–25.0% 19.1–25.8%
Vooruit 13.8% 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.8% 10.9–15.1% 10.4–15.8%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 13.0% 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
Partij van de Arbeid van België 8.3% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.8–12.8%
Groen 7.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Anders 8.3% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Team Fouad Ahidar 0.3% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 31 35 32–38 32–39 31–39 30–41
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 31 30 27–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
Vooruit 18 17 14–18 12–18 12–19 11–20
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 16 16 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Partij van de Arbeid van België 9 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 7–17
Groen 9 9 6–11 5–11 5–11 4–12
Anders 9 6 5–9 4–10 3–11 2–12
Team Fouad Ahidar 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 1.1% 99.9%  
31 2% 98.8% Last Result
32 7% 97%  
33 5% 89%  
34 11% 84%  
35 24% 73% Median
36 27% 49%  
37 11% 22%  
38 4% 11%  
39 4% 6%  
40 1.3% 2%  
41 1.1% 1.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 2% 99.9%  
25 3% 98%  
26 3% 95%  
27 5% 92%  
28 8% 87%  
29 23% 78%  
30 20% 55% Median
31 20% 36% Last Result
32 10% 16%  
33 3% 6%  
34 2% 3%  
35 0.7% 0.9%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  

Vooruit

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 3% 98%  
13 2% 95%  
14 12% 92%  
15 11% 81%  
16 15% 70%  
17 38% 54% Median
18 11% 16% Last Result
19 3% 4%  
20 1.1% 1.4%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.3% 100%  
12 6% 98.7%  
13 9% 92%  
14 12% 83%  
15 17% 71%  
16 34% 54% Last Result, Median
17 16% 20%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 0.3% 99.4%  
9 0.9% 99.0% Last Result
10 23% 98%  
11 21% 75%  
12 14% 54% Median
13 14% 39%  
14 21% 25%  
15 2% 4%  
16 1.1% 2%  
17 0.7% 0.7%  
18 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.4% 99.8%  
5 6% 99.4%  
6 8% 93%  
7 10% 85%  
8 19% 75%  
9 39% 56% Last Result, Median
10 7% 17%  
11 9% 10%  
12 1.2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Anders

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Anders page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.1% 100%  
3 3% 98.9%  
4 1.4% 96%  
5 19% 95%  
6 36% 76% Median
7 12% 40%  
8 9% 28%  
9 8% 18% Last Result
10 6% 10%  
11 3% 4%  
12 1.3% 1.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Team Fouad Ahidar

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team Fouad Ahidar page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 38% 51% Last Result, Median
2 10% 13%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0.2% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 78 81 100% 77–83 76–84 75–85 73–86
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders 74 68 97% 64–71 63–72 62–73 61–74
Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 62 65 86% 62–68 61–69 60–70 58–71
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 65 61 32% 58–64 57–65 56–66 54–67
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Anders 58 52 0% 49–56 48–57 47–58 45–59
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen 52 52 0% 48–55 48–56 47–57 45–59
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders 56 52 0% 48–55 47–56 46–57 45–58
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen – Anders 52 46 0% 43–50 42–51 41–52 39–53
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 47 45 0% 42–48 41–49 40–49 38–51
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen 43 40 0% 36–43 35–44 35–44 33–46
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders 43 38 0% 35–41 34–42 33–43 31–45
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Anders 40 36 0% 33–40 32–40 31–41 30–43
Vooruit – Groen – Anders 36 31 0% 28–34 27–35 26–36 25–38
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 34 31 0% 28–34 27–35 27–35 25–36
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen – Anders 34 30 0% 27–34 26–35 25–35 24–37
Vooruit – Anders 27 23 0% 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–29
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders 25 22 0% 19–25 18–26 18–27 16–28

Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 0.8% 99.4%  
75 2% 98.6%  
76 3% 97%  
77 7% 94%  
78 10% 87% Last Result
79 12% 77%  
80 14% 65%  
81 22% 51% Median
82 14% 29%  
83 8% 15%  
84 5% 7%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.7% 1.1%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.7% 99.5%  
62 2% 98.8%  
63 3% 97% Majority
64 5% 94%  
65 9% 90%  
66 14% 81%  
67 14% 66%  
68 15% 53%  
69 16% 38% Median
70 9% 22%  
71 4% 13%  
72 4% 8%  
73 3% 4%  
74 1.3% 2% Last Result
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 1.3% 99.5%  
60 2% 98%  
61 4% 96%  
62 6% 92% Last Result
63 10% 86% Majority
64 17% 76%  
65 17% 59% Median
66 17% 42%  
67 10% 25%  
68 9% 15%  
69 3% 6%  
70 2% 3%  
71 1.0% 1.3%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.3% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.6%  
55 1.1% 99.0%  
56 2% 98%  
57 5% 96%  
58 8% 90%  
59 10% 82%  
60 13% 72%  
61 16% 59%  
62 10% 42%  
63 15% 32% Median, Majority
64 9% 17%  
65 4% 8% Last Result
66 2% 4%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 0.9% 99.5%  
47 2% 98.6%  
48 3% 97%  
49 6% 94%  
50 9% 88%  
51 12% 78%  
52 19% 66%  
53 15% 47% Median
54 13% 32%  
55 8% 20%  
56 4% 12%  
57 4% 8%  
58 3% 4% Last Result
59 0.7% 1.0%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.7%  
46 1.5% 99.1%  
47 3% 98%  
48 7% 95%  
49 8% 88%  
50 13% 80%  
51 13% 67%  
52 18% 54% Last Result
53 11% 36%  
54 10% 25% Median
55 8% 15%  
56 3% 7%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.6% 1.2%  
59 0.4% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.7% 99.5%  
46 2% 98.8%  
47 4% 97%  
48 5% 93%  
49 10% 88%  
50 9% 77%  
51 12% 68%  
52 21% 56% Median
53 14% 35%  
54 9% 21%  
55 6% 13%  
56 4% 7% Last Result
57 1.4% 3%  
58 0.8% 1.3%  
59 0.4% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.4% 99.9%  
40 0.7% 99.5%  
41 2% 98.8%  
42 4% 97%  
43 6% 93%  
44 10% 87%  
45 15% 77%  
46 15% 62%  
47 12% 47%  
48 15% 35% Median
49 9% 20%  
50 5% 12%  
51 4% 7%  
52 2% 3% Last Result
53 1.1% 1.4%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 0.8% 99.4%  
40 3% 98.6%  
41 5% 96%  
42 5% 90%  
43 13% 85%  
44 13% 72%  
45 14% 59%  
46 20% 45% Median
47 15% 25% Last Result
48 4% 10%  
49 4% 6%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.5% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.6% 99.8%  
34 1.4% 99.2%  
35 3% 98%  
36 7% 94%  
37 7% 88%  
38 11% 81%  
39 17% 70%  
40 12% 53%  
41 16% 41%  
42 10% 25% Median
43 10% 15% Last Result
44 3% 5%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.8%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.4% 99.8%  
32 1.1% 99.4%  
33 2% 98%  
34 5% 96%  
35 6% 91%  
36 13% 85%  
37 14% 71%  
38 14% 57%  
39 14% 43% Median
40 14% 29%  
41 6% 15%  
42 4% 9%  
43 2% 4% Last Result
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.8% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.6%  
31 2% 98.8%  
32 3% 97%  
33 8% 94%  
34 8% 86%  
35 17% 78%  
36 12% 61% Median
37 17% 49%  
38 13% 32%  
39 8% 19%  
40 6% 11% Last Result
41 3% 5%  
42 1.3% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.6%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Groen – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 0.9% 99.6%  
26 3% 98.8%  
27 3% 96%  
28 7% 93%  
29 11% 86%  
30 15% 75%  
31 14% 60%  
32 20% 46% Median
33 9% 26%  
34 7% 17%  
35 5% 10%  
36 3% 5% Last Result
37 1.1% 2%  
38 0.5% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.4% 99.7%  
26 1.4% 99.3%  
27 5% 98%  
28 4% 93%  
29 8% 89%  
30 18% 81%  
31 14% 63%  
32 13% 49%  
33 16% 35% Median
34 12% 19% Last Result
35 5% 7%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 0.6% 99.5%  
25 2% 99.0%  
26 3% 97%  
27 8% 94%  
28 10% 86%  
29 12% 76%  
30 18% 64%  
31 15% 45% Median
32 11% 31%  
33 8% 19%  
34 7% 12% Last Result
35 3% 5%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.8%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Vooruit – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 99.6%  
18 2% 98%  
19 4% 96%  
20 8% 92%  
21 11% 84%  
22 18% 74%  
23 22% 56% Median
24 13% 34%  
25 9% 20%  
26 5% 11%  
27 2% 6% Last Result
28 3% 4%  
29 0.9% 1.1%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.5%  
18 5% 98%  
19 7% 92%  
20 12% 86%  
21 17% 74%  
22 20% 58% Median
23 15% 37%  
24 8% 22%  
25 7% 14% Last Result
26 3% 6%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.8% 1.1%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations