Vooruit
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 15.5% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.6% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
13.5–14.5% | 15% | 96% | Last Result |
14.5–15.5% | 31% | 81% | |
15.5–16.5% | 31% | 50% | Median |
16.5–17.5% | 15% | 19% | |
17.5–18.5% | 4% | 5% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 18 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
16 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
17 | 7% | 98.5% | |
18 | 22% | 91% | Last Result |
19 | 19% | 69% | |
20 | 19% | 50% | Median |
21 | 11% | 31% | |
22 | 8% | 20% | |
23 | 10% | 12% | |
24 | 1.1% | 2% | |
25 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
26 | 0% | 0% |