Vooruit

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14.6% 13.3–15.8% 12.9–16.1% 12.6–16.5% 11.9–17.1%
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 14.8% 13.8–15.8% 13.5–16.0% 13.3–16.3% 12.9–16.8%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.4%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.2% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 2% 99.8%  
12.5–13.5% 12% 98%  
13.5–14.5% 34% 86% Last Result
14.5–15.5% 37% 52% Median
15.5–16.5% 13% 15%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 2%  
17.5–18.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 18 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18 17–21 17–21 16–22 15–23
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 18 18–21 18–21 17–21 17–23
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 17–20 16–21 15–22 14–23
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20 17–23 17–23 16–23 16–24
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 17–21 16–22 16–23 15–23

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 0.3% 99.8%  
15 2% 99.5%  
16 2% 98%  
17 17% 95%  
18 40% 78% Last Result, Median
19 16% 39%  
20 12% 22%  
21 7% 10%  
22 2% 3%  
23 1.0% 1.0%  
24 0% 0%