Vooruit

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 10.1% (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.1% 10.5–14.0% 10.1–14.5% 9.8–14.8% 9.2–15.5%
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 13.5% 12.4–14.7% 12.1–15.0% 11.9–15.3% 11.4–15.8%
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 14.7% 13.4–16.1% 13.0–16.6% 12.7–16.9% 12.1–17.6%
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 12.8% 11.9–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.4–14.3% 11.0–14.8%
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 13.7% 12.7–14.8% 12.5–15.1% 12.2–15.4% 11.8–15.9%
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 14.3% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.2–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 16.1% 14.2–18.2% 13.7–18.8% 13.3–19.3% 12.4–20.4%
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.5%
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 13.9–20.0%
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 16.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 15.2% 13.3–17.4% 12.8–18.0% 12.3–18.5% 11.5–19.6%
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 13.9–20.0%
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.0–16.7% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 15.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.2%
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.9% 12.5–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.8–16.2% 11.2–16.9%
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 9.8–15.2%
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.2% 10.4–14.5% 9.9–15.2%
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 13.0% 11.4–15.0% 11.0–15.5% 10.6–16.0% 9.8–16.9%
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.5% 11.2–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.8% 10.0–15.5%
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.3%
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.9% 6.8–11.5%
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 1.3% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 10% 98.6% Last Result
10.5–11.5% 24% 89%  
11.5–12.5% 25% 65% Median
12.5–13.5% 22% 40%  
13.5–14.5% 14% 18%  
14.5–15.5% 4% 4%  
15.5–16.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15 13–18 12–19 11–19 11–20
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 17 16–19 15–19 14–20 14–20
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 14 13–16 12–17 11–18 11–19
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–19
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 19 17–20 16–21 15–22 14–24
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 16 14–18 14–18 14–19 13–19
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 17 16–19 15–19 15–19 14–19
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 15–19 15–19 14–20 14–23
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 20 18–25 17–25 16–25 15–27
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–25
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 23 19–25 19–25 19–25 18–27
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–25
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 19 17–24 16–25 15–25 14–25
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–25
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22 19–25 19–25 19–26 18–27
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 15–25
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–24
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 15–19 15–20 14–21 14–23
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–19
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–18 14–19 14–19 13–20
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–19
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 14–19 14–19 14–20 14–22
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 15–20 15–20 14–21 14–23
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 15 14–19 14–20 13–20 11–22
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–19
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		          
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 10–14 9–14 8–14 8–15
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 9–13 8–13 7–14 6–14
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10 8–11 7–12 6–12 4–14

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 3% 100%  
12 3% 97% Last Result
13 9% 94%  
14 25% 84%  
15 12% 59% Median
16 20% 47%  
17 12% 27%  
18 8% 14%  
19 6% 7%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%