Vooruit
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 14.6% | 13.3–15.8% | 12.9–16.1% | 12.6–16.5% | 11.9–17.1% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
14.8% | 13.8–15.8% | 13.5–16.0% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.8% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
12.5–13.5% | 12% | 98% | |
13.5–14.5% | 34% | 86% | Last Result |
14.5–15.5% | 37% | 52% | Median |
15.5–16.5% | 13% | 15% | |
16.5–17.5% | 2% | 2% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 18 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
18 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–23 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 16–24 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
14 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
16 | 2% | 98% | |
17 | 17% | 95% | |
18 | 40% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
19 | 16% | 39% | |
20 | 12% | 22% | |
21 | 7% | 10% | |
22 | 2% | 3% | |
23 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
24 | 0% | 0% |