Vooruit
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 14.2% | 12.6–15.5% | 12.1–15.8% | 11.7–16.1% | 11.1–16.7% |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
14.8% | 13.8–15.8% | 13.5–16.0% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.8% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
11.5–12.5% | 8% | 98% | |
12.5–13.5% | 19% | 90% | |
13.5–14.5% | 32% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
14.5–15.5% | 29% | 39% | |
15.5–16.5% | 9% | 9% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 18 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 | 12–22 |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 11–21 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
18 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–23 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 16–24 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
12 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
13 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
14 | 2% | 98% | |
15 | 4% | 96% | |
16 | 8% | 92% | |
17 | 24% | 85% | |
18 | 35% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
19 | 9% | 26% | |
20 | 10% | 17% | |
21 | 6% | 7% | |
22 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
24 | 0% | 0% |