Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 24.8% (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 21.0% 19.3–22.5% 18.8–23.0% 18.4–23.4% 17.6–24.2%
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 21.4% 20.1–22.8% 19.8–23.2% 19.4–23.5% 18.9–24.2%
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 20.9% 19.3–22.6% 18.9–23.1% 18.5–23.5% 17.7–24.3%
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.9%
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.7–22.7% 18.3–23.1% 17.6–23.9%
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 22.7% 21.5–23.9% 21.2–24.3% 20.9–24.6% 20.4–25.2%
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 18.9% 17.8–20.1% 17.5–20.5% 17.2–20.8% 16.7–21.4%
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.7% 18.8–25.5%
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 22.0% 19.7–23.0% 19.3–23.5% 18.9–24.0% 18.1–24.8%
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 20.3% 18.3–22.6% 17.7–23.3% 17.2–23.8% 16.3–25.0%
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.8–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.3–24.5% 18.6–25.3%
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.6% 20.0–23.4% 19.5–23.8% 19.2–24.3% 18.4–25.1%
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 21.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 21.4% 19.2–23.9% 18.6–24.6% 18.1–25.2% 17.1–26.4%
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.7% 18.8–25.5%
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.5% 19.9–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.1–24.2% 18.3–25.0%
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.7–27.2% 22.3–27.7% 21.5–28.5%
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.2% 20.1–27.0%
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.1%
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.2% 19.6–22.9% 19.2–23.4% 18.8–23.9% 18.0–24.7%
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.8% 20.1–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.3–24.4% 18.6–25.3%
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 21.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19.9% 18.3–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.2% 20.6–23.9% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.9% 18.9–25.7%
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 23.2% 21.1–25.6% 20.5–26.2% 20.0–26.8% 19.1–27.9%
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 17.9–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.8–23.5%
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 20.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.7% 19.1–22.4% 18.6–22.9% 18.2–23.4% 17.5–24.2%
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.0–24.4% 19.6–24.8% 18.9–25.7%
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.6–25.0% 20.2–25.4% 19.4–26.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.4% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 3% 99.6%  
18.5–19.5% 11% 97%  
19.5–20.5% 23% 86%  
20.5–21.5% 31% 63% Median
21.5–22.5% 22% 32%  
22.5–23.5% 8% 10%  
23.5–24.5% 2% 2%  
24.5–25.5% 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 35 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 27 26–30 25–30 24–31 22–32
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 28 26–30 26–30 26–31 25–32
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 27 25–30 25–31 24–31 23–32
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 25–29 24–30 23–30 22–32
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 27 25–30 24–30 23–30 22–31
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 30 28–31 27–32 27–33 26–34
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 25 22–26 22–27 21–27 21–27
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 29 27–31 26–32 26–32 24–35
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 28 26–30 26–31 25–32 23–33
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 26 24–30 22–31 22–31 21–33
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 25–30 24–30 23–30 22–32
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 29 26–31 26–32 26–32 24–34
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 29 26–31 26–32 26–32 24–34
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 28 26–31 24–32 22–33 22–36
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 29 27–31 26–32 26–33 25–34
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 28 27–31 26–32 25–33 23–33
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 33 30–36 30–37 29–37 28–39
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 31 28–33 27–34 27–35 27–37
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 28 27–31 26–32 25–33 23–33
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 28 27–30 26–31 24–32 22–33
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 28 27–32 27–33 26–33 24–34
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 24–28 23–29 22–30 22–31
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 23–28 22–29 22–29 22–30
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 29 27–32 27–33 27–34 25–35
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 31 28–34 27–35 26–36 25–38
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 23–28 23–29 22–30 21–31
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		          
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 27 25–29 24–30 23–31 22–33
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 28 27–32 27–33 26–33 24–34
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 30 28–33 27–33 27–34 27–35

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 0.7% 99.5%  
24 2% 98.7%  
25 6% 97%  
26 20% 90%  
27 25% 70% Median
28 15% 45%  
29 10% 29%  
30 15% 19%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.8% 1.1%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0% Last Result