Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

Voting Intentions

Last result: 23.9% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	26.7%	25.0–28.6%	24.5–29.1%	24.1–29.5%	23.2–30.4%
11–17 September 2024	Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM	26.7%	25.0–28.6%	24.5–29.1%	24.1–29.5%	23.2–30.4%

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
20.5–21.5%	0%	100%
21.5–22.5%	0.1%	100%
22.5–23.5%	0.9%	99.9%
23.5–24.5%	5%	99.0%	Last Result
24.5–25.5%	14%	94%
25.5–26.5%	25%	80%
26.5–27.5%	27%	55%	Median
27.5–28.5%	18%	28%
28.5–29.5%	8%	10%
29.5–30.5%	2%	2%
30.5–31.5%	0.4%	0.4%
31.5–32.5%	0%	0%

Last result: 31 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	36	33–39	32–39	32–40	31–41
11–17 September 2024	Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM	36	33–39	32–39	32–40	31–41

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
30	0.3%	100%
31	2%	99.6%	Last Result
32	4%	98%
33	5%	94%
34	8%	89%
35	18%	81%
36	28%	63%	Median
37	12%	36%
38	12%	23%
39	7%	11%
40	3%	4%
41	1.1%	1.5%
42	0.3%	0.4%
43	0.1%	0.1%
44	0%	0%