Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 23.9% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9% 22.0–27.4% 21.2–28.3%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9% 22.0–27.4% 21.2–28.3%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0.1% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.9% 99.9%  
21.5–22.5% 5% 99.0%  
22.5–23.5% 15% 94%  
23.5–24.5% 27% 79% Last Result
24.5–25.5% 27% 52% Median
25.5–26.5% 17% 25%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 8%  
27.5–28.5% 2% 2%  
28.5–29.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 31 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 32 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
32 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
36 33–39 32–39 32–40 31–41

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 0.8% 99.6%  
29 3% 98.8%  
30 8% 96%  
31 23% 87% Last Result
32 18% 64% Median
33 13% 47%  
34 13% 34%  
35 12% 21%  
36 6% 9%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.7% 0.9%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%