Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 23.9% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.2%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.2%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9% 22.0–27.4% 21.2–28.3%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.1% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 1.2% 99.9%  
22.5–23.5% 6% 98.7%  
23.5–24.5% 17% 93% Last Result
24.5–25.5% 27% 76%  
25.5–26.5% 26% 50% Median
26.5–27.5% 16% 23%  
27.5–28.5% 6% 7%  
28.5–29.5% 1.4% 2%  
29.5–30.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 31 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 34 31–36 31–37 30–38 28–39
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
34 31–36 31–37 30–38 28–39
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
32 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–38
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
36 33–39 32–39 32–40 30–42

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.4%  
30 3% 98.8%  
31 15% 96% Last Result
32 14% 81%  
33 11% 67%  
34 12% 56% Median
35 19% 44%  
36 17% 25%  
37 5% 8%  
38 1.2% 3%  
39 1.5% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%