Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 4% 99.7%  
11.5–12.5% 18% 96%  
12.5–13.5% 35% 78% Last Result, Median
13.5–14.5% 29% 43%  
14.5–15.5% 11% 14%  
15.5–16.5% 2% 3%  
16.5–17.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 16 14–18 13–19 12–19 12–20
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–18 13–19 12–19 12–20
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13 11–16 11–16 11–16 11–17

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 4% 97%  
14 5% 94%  
15 8% 89%  
16 44% 81% Last Result, Median
17 23% 37%  
18 8% 14%  
19 5% 6%  
20 1.0% 1.3%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%