Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14.0% 12.9–15.5% 12.6–16.0% 12.4–16.4% 11.9–17.3%
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT
13.7% 12.8–14.6% 12.5–14.9% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.7%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.9% 9.3–14.5%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.2% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 4% 99.8%  
12.5–13.5% 26% 96% Last Result
13.5–14.5% 39% 70% Median
14.5–15.5% 21% 31%  
15.5–16.5% 8% 10%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 2%  
17.5–18.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17 16–19 16–20 15–21 14–22
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
18 16–20 16–21 15–21 14–23
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT
17 16–18 16–19 15–19 14–20
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
14 12–16 11–16 11–16 11–18
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
16 14–18 14–19 12–19 12–20
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
13 11–16 11–16 11–16 11–17

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 0.7% 99.8%  
15 3% 99.1%  
16 30% 96% Last Result
17 33% 66% Median
18 11% 34%  
19 16% 23%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.9% 1.3%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%