Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 15.4% (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.4% 11.0–13.9% 10.6–14.4% 10.2–14.8% 9.6–15.6%
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 12.5% 11.5–13.6% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.2% 10.5–14.8%
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.1%
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.1–12.1% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.1%
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 12.3% 11.4–13.3% 11.1–13.6% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.3%
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 11.3% 10.4–12.3% 10.1–12.6% 9.9–12.8% 9.5–13.3%
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.9% 9.3–14.5%
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 11.5% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 14.0% 12.2–16.0% 11.8–16.6% 11.3–17.1% 10.6–18.1%
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 9.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 9.5% 8.0–11.4% 7.6–11.9% 7.3–12.4% 6.6–13.3%
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.8–11.9% 8.5–12.3% 8.0–12.9%
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 8.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 9.0–14.1%
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.7% 9.6–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.4% 11.2–13.8% 10.8–14.3% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 13.0% 11.4–15.0% 11.0–15.5% 10.6–16.0% 9.8–16.9%
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.8% 10.5–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–14.0% 9.3–14.7%
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 11.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.9% 9.2–14.6%
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.9% 9.3–14.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.4% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 4% 99.6%  
10.5–11.5% 17% 95%  
11.5–12.5% 32% 79% Median
12.5–13.5% 30% 47%  
13.5–14.5% 13% 17%  
14.5–15.5% 3% 4% Last Result
15.5–16.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 11–19
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 14 14–17 13–17 12–17 11–18
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–17
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–17 14–18 13–19 11–20
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 9–15
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 14 13–16 12–17 12–17 12–17
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 11–16
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–15 11–17 11–17 11–18
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 15 14–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 17 14–19 14–20 13–20 11–23
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 11–19
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–14 11–14 10–15 9–16
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 11–16 11–17 11–17 11–18
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 11 9–14 8–14 6–14 5–16
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 10–12 9–13 9–14 7–14
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 10–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–14 10–15 10–16 10–16
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 12–20
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 10–13 10–14 9–14 9–16
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–18 14–19 13–20 12–20
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–14 10–15 10–16 9–16
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 15 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		          
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 12–16 11–16 10–17

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 4% 99.9%  
12 9% 96%  
13 5% 88%  
14 35% 82% Median
15 18% 48%  
16 9% 30%  
17 17% 21%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.4% 2% Last Result
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%