Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.5% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
13.7% | 12.8–14.6% | 12.5–14.9% | 12.3–15.2% | 11.9–15.7% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.3–14.5% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 16% | 97% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 34% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 31% | 46% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 13% | 16% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–18 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 12–19 | 12–20 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 5% | 95% | |
| 15 | 7% | 90% | |
| 16 | 44% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 17 | 25% | 39% | |
| 18 | 7% | 13% | |
| 19 | 5% | 7% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |