Vlaams Belang

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 22.7% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23.6% 21.5–26.6% 21.1–27.2% 20.7–27.7% 20.1–28.7%
9 March–5 April 2026 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 22.2% 21.0–23.5% 20.7–23.8% 20.4–24.1% 19.9–24.7%
2–9 March 2026 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.2% 22.0–29.1%
1–9 December 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 23.9% 22.2–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.5%
16–23 September 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 20.5% 19.5–21.7% 19.2–22.0% 18.9–22.3% 18.4–22.8%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 25.7% 24.0–27.5% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 23.5% 21.8–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.2% 20.2–27.1%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 23.2% 21.6–25.0% 21.1–25.5% 20.7–25.9% 19.9–26.8%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vlaams Belang.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 2% 99.9%  
20.5–21.5% 10% 98%  
21.5–22.5% 21% 88%  
22.5–23.5% 18% 68% Last Result
23.5–24.5% 13% 50% Median
24.5–25.5% 14% 37%  
25.5–26.5% 13% 23%  
26.5–27.5% 7% 10%  
27.5–28.5% 2% 3%  
28.5–29.5% 0.6% 0.6%  
29.5–30.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 31 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 31 28–35 27–36 27–37 26–38
9 March–5 April 2026 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 29 27–31 27–32 26–32 26–33
2–9 March 2026 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 33 31–36 30–37 30–37 28–39
1–9 December 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 31 29–34 28–35 27–36 26–36
16–23 September 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 36 32–38 32–39 31–39 30–41
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 30 27–32 26–33 25–34 25–35
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 27 26–30 25–30 25–31 24–31
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 34 31–36 31–37 30–37 29–40
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 31 28–34 27–34 26–35 25–36
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 31 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vlaams Belang.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 1.3% 99.8%  
27 4% 98.6%  
28 8% 94%  
29 14% 86%  
30 15% 72%  
31 13% 57% Last Result, Median
32 10% 44%  
33 8% 33%  
34 6% 25%  
35 11% 19%  
36 5% 8%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.5% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%