Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.1% (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.6% 7.2–11.0% 6.9–11.5% 6.7–11.9% 6.3–12.7%
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 7.7% 6.9–8.6% 6.6–8.9% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.6%
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 10.4% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.1%
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 7.6% 6.9–8.4% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.2–9.3%
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.9%
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 8.0% 6.7–9.6% 6.3–10.1% 6.0–10.5% 5.4–11.3%
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 9.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 12.1% 10.4–14.1% 9.9–14.7% 9.5–15.2% 8.8–16.2%
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.3% 7.1–11.9%
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.3% 9.2–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.6–12.4% 8.0–13.1%
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.8–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 14.4% 12.7–16.4% 12.2–16.9% 11.8–17.4% 11.0–18.4%
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.1% 7.7–12.7%
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 11.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.3% 9.2–11.7% 8.8–12.1% 8.6–12.4% 8.0–13.1%
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 2% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 18% 98%  
7.5–8.5% 31% 81%  
8.5–9.5% 19% 50% Median
9.5–10.5% 15% 31%  
10.5–11.5% 11% 16%  
11.5–12.5% 4% 5%  
12.5–13.5% 0.6% 0.7% Last Result
13.5–14.5% 0% 0.1%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10 8–14 7–15 7–15 5–17
23 April–3 May 2024 iVOX
Overlegcentrum van Vlaamse Verenigingen		 8 7–10 7–11 6–11 5–12
8–18 April 2024 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 12 11–15 11–15 11–16 9–17
11–18 March 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
22 January–8 February 2024 Kantar
Knack and Le Vif		 8 7–11 7–11 6–12 4–12
9–22 January 2024 iVOX
Vlaams & Neutraal Ziekenfonds		 8 7–10 6–11 6–11 5–11
8–22 January 2024 Kantar and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		 10 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–13
4–11 December 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8 5–9 4–10 4–11 2–11
23–28 November 2023 iVOX
Gazet van Antwerpen		 11 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
10 September–9 October 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 9 7–12 5–12 5–13 3–14
18–25 September 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
29 May–6 June 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9 8–11 7–12 7–12 5–13
20–27 March 2023 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 9–13 8–13 8–14 8–15
13–23 March 2023 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
16–29 January 2023 Kantar
La Libre Belgique and RTBf		 15 12–19 12–19 11–19 10–20
21–29 November 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 9–13 8–13 8–14 8–15
7–13 September 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 11–16 11–16 11–16 11–19
6–14 June 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 10–13 8–14 8–14 8–15
14–31 March 2022 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
15–22 March 2022 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 11–14 10–15 9–15 8–16
1–8 December 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–16
7–14 September 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–19
25 May–1 June 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–19
29 March–19 April 2021 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard and VRT		          
4–9 March 2021 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–19 14–19 14–19 12–19
2–8 December 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–19
2–8 October 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 11–16 11–16 11–16 11–18
28 August–1 September 2020 Dedicated
Soirmag		 19 15–20 15–22 14–24 13–25
10–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–14 11–15 10–15 8–16
9–28 April 2020 TNS and Universiteit Antwerpen
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		          
4–9 March 2020 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–16
29 November–6 December 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 11 11–14 10–15 9–15 8–16
2–10 September 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 17 16–19 15–19 15–20 13–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.4% 99.9%  
6 1.2% 99.5%  
7 5% 98%  
8 26% 93%  
9 10% 67%  
10 9% 56% Median
11 12% 47%  
12 20% 35%  
13 4% 15%  
14 5% 11%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%