Partij van de Arbeid van België
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.4% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.1–11.3% | 7.9–11.7% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
8.9% | 8.2–9.8% | 8.0–10.0% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 15% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 42% | 85% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 28% | 43% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 16% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
11 | 10–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 7–16 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 10 | 21% | 94% | |
| 11 | 32% | 73% | Median |
| 12 | 25% | 41% | |
| 13 | 6% | 16% | |
| 14 | 8% | 10% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |