Opinion Poll by Red C for The Sunday Business Post, 27 October 2016
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 26.0% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.7–28.3% | 23.3–28.8% | 22.5–29.7% |
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.7% | 21.6–28.6% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Renua Ireland | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 53 | 49–54 | 47–55 | 45–57 | 45–57 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 53 | 44–56 | 42–57 | 41–59 | 38–61 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 26 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 20–32 | 18–33 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 11 | 11–13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| Independent | 19 | 3 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 3–12 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 7 | 3–8 | 2–10 | 1–11 | 0–15 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–8 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Renua Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 45 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 48 | 3% | 95% | |
| 49 | 2% | 92% | |
| 50 | 3% | 90% | |
| 51 | 9% | 87% | |
| 52 | 6% | 78% | |
| 53 | 44% | 72% | Median |
| 54 | 19% | 28% | |
| 55 | 4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 47 | 2% | 88% | |
| 48 | 3% | 86% | |
| 49 | 2% | 83% | Last Result |
| 50 | 2% | 80% | |
| 51 | 14% | 79% | |
| 52 | 2% | 65% | |
| 53 | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 23% | |
| 55 | 5% | 16% | |
| 56 | 6% | 12% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 22 | 3% | 96% | |
| 23 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 24 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 25 | 2% | 89% | |
| 26 | 50% | 86% | Median |
| 27 | 4% | 37% | |
| 28 | 8% | 33% | |
| 29 | 15% | 25% | |
| 30 | 6% | 11% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 83% | 98.7% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 16% | |
| 13 | 5% | 14% | |
| 14 | 2% | 8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 32% | |
| 5 | 4% | 27% | |
| 6 | 4% | 24% | |
| 7 | 3% | 19% | |
| 8 | 4% | 16% | |
| 9 | 10% | 12% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 4% | 96% | |
| 3 | 5% | 92% | |
| 4 | 10% | 87% | |
| 5 | 19% | 77% | |
| 6 | 3% | 58% | |
| 7 | 39% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 8 | 7% | 17% | |
| 9 | 3% | 10% | |
| 10 | 3% | 7% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 60% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 27% | 40% | |
| 5 | 8% | 13% | |
| 6 | 4% | 5% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 94% | |
| 2 | 85% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 87% | |
| 2 | 66% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Renua Ireland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renua Ireland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fianna Fáil – Fine Gael | 93 | 106 | 100% | 96–107 | 96–108 | 94–110 | 91–112 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 79 | 28% | 75–83 | 74–83 | 70–84 | 69–86 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 61 | 65 | 0% | 56–66 | 56–69 | 54–70 | 49–73 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 56 | 65 | 0% | 60–68 | 56–68 | 55–69 | 55–73 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 53 | 62 | 0% | 56–64 | 52–64 | 52–66 | 48–69 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 58 | 62 | 0% | 52–63 | 52–66 | 51–66 | 45–69 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 60 | 0% | 54–62 | 50–62 | 50–66 | 47–68 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 60 | 0% | 50–62 | 50–64 | 49–64 | 43–68 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 55 | 0% | 45–58 | 44–58 | 43–61 | 40–63 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 53 | 0% | 44–56 | 42–57 | 41–59 | 38–61 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 55 | 0% | 51–56 | 49–57 | 47–58 | 46–59 |
Fianna Fáil – Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 94 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 96 | 7% | 96% | |
| 97 | 2% | 89% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 101 | 3% | 85% | |
| 102 | 6% | 83% | |
| 103 | 2% | 77% | |
| 104 | 6% | 75% | |
| 105 | 14% | 69% | |
| 106 | 40% | 55% | Median |
| 107 | 8% | 15% | |
| 108 | 3% | 7% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 5% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 87% | |
| 77 | 7% | 84% | |
| 78 | 3% | 77% | |
| 79 | 43% | 74% | Median |
| 80 | 2% | 31% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 28% | Majority |
| 82 | 11% | 27% | |
| 83 | 13% | 16% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 56 | 10% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 58 | 2% | 85% | |
| 59 | 4% | 83% | |
| 60 | 2% | 80% | |
| 61 | 4% | 78% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 74% | |
| 63 | 7% | 69% | |
| 64 | 2% | 62% | |
| 65 | 42% | 60% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 19% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 69 | 5% | 8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 93% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 10% | 89% | |
| 62 | 4% | 78% | |
| 63 | 6% | 74% | |
| 64 | 6% | 68% | |
| 65 | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 23% | |
| 67 | 2% | 15% | |
| 68 | 9% | 13% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 95% | Last Result |
| 54 | 2% | 94% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 56 | 4% | 90% | |
| 57 | 7% | 86% | |
| 58 | 4% | 79% | |
| 59 | 3% | 75% | |
| 60 | 6% | 72% | |
| 61 | 12% | 66% | |
| 62 | 40% | 54% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 15% | |
| 64 | 8% | 12% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 8% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 88% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 55 | 2% | 83% | |
| 56 | 4% | 82% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 58 | 13% | 76% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 63% | |
| 60 | 2% | 60% | |
| 61 | 2% | 58% | |
| 62 | 45% | 56% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 11% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 66 | 7% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 95% | Last Result |
| 52 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 3% | 91% | |
| 55 | 5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 3% | 82% | |
| 57 | 7% | 79% | |
| 58 | 5% | 73% | |
| 59 | 13% | 67% | |
| 60 | 39% | 54% | Median |
| 61 | 3% | 15% | |
| 62 | 8% | 13% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 8% | 96% | |
| 51 | 2% | 88% | |
| 52 | 2% | 86% | |
| 53 | 2% | 84% | |
| 54 | 2% | 82% | |
| 55 | 3% | 80% | |
| 56 | 11% | 77% | Last Result |
| 57 | 2% | 66% | |
| 58 | 5% | 64% | |
| 59 | 3% | 59% | |
| 60 | 43% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 6% | 9% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 49 | 2% | 88% | |
| 50 | 4% | 85% | |
| 51 | 3% | 82% | Last Result |
| 52 | 3% | 79% | |
| 53 | 14% | 76% | |
| 54 | 2% | 62% | |
| 55 | 40% | 60% | Median |
| 56 | 5% | 21% | |
| 57 | 4% | 15% | |
| 58 | 7% | 12% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 47 | 2% | 88% | |
| 48 | 3% | 86% | |
| 49 | 2% | 83% | Last Result |
| 50 | 2% | 80% | |
| 51 | 14% | 79% | |
| 52 | 2% | 65% | |
| 53 | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 23% | |
| 55 | 5% | 16% | |
| 56 | 6% | 12% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 47 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 50 | 3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 3% | 91% | |
| 52 | 5% | 88% | |
| 53 | 8% | 83% | |
| 54 | 7% | 75% | |
| 55 | 42% | 68% | Median |
| 56 | 18% | 26% | |
| 57 | 4% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Red C
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Business Post
- Fieldwork period: 27 October 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 1.43%