Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | FG | FF | SF | Lab | S-PBP | GP | RI | SD | I4C | I |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 February 2016 | General Election | 25.5% 49 |
24.3% 44 |
13.8% 23 |
6.6% 7 |
3.9% 6 |
2.7% 2 |
2.2% 0 |
3.0% 3 |
1.5% 4 |
15.9% 19 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 16–24% 24–44 |
20–34% 37–62 |
18–27% 34–42 |
3–7% 0–15 |
1–6% 0–10 |
6–12% 6–20 |
0–1% 0 |
1–6% 0–9 |
1–2% 1–4 |
8–15% 3–19 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Survation Sinn Féin |
15–19% 23–34 |
20–25% 36–47 |
23–28% 38–42 |
5–8% 4–15 |
4–7% 4–10 |
7–11% 9–20 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 3–6 |
1–2% 1–4 |
8–12% 6–17 |
| 30 January–1 February 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
18–22% 32–41 |
21–25% 40–49 |
23–28% 38–40 |
3–5% 0–7 |
1–3% 0–3 |
7–10% 7–16 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 2–4 |
1–3% 3–4 |
12–16% 16–21 |
| 25–30 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
19–24% 33–45 |
22–27% 41–53 |
22–27% 37–42 |
4–7% 1–12 |
1–2% 0–1 |
6–9% 6–12 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 3–8 |
1–2% 1–4 |
9–13% 7–18 |
| 24–30 January 2020 | Panelbase The Times |
17–22% 25–37 |
20–26% 34–49 |
19–24% 35–39 |
4–7% 1–11 |
4–7% 4–10 |
8–12% 10–22 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 4–12 |
1–2% 1–4 |
8–12% 5–16 |
| 1–25 January 2020 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
19–25% 27–46 |
24–30% 44–57 |
18–23% 34–38 |
5–8% 2–17 |
1–2% 0–1 |
8–12% 8–21 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 3–7 |
1–2% 0–3 |
8–11% 3–15 |
| 4–14 January 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
18–23% 33–44 |
29–35% 57–65 |
17–22% 34–38 |
3–5% 0–6 |
1–3% 0–3 |
6–9% 4–14 |
0–1% 0 |
1–2% 0–3 |
1–2% 1–3 |
8–11% 4–13 |
| 26 February 2016 | General Election | 25.5% 49 |
24.3% 44 |
13.8% 23 |
6.6% 7 |
3.9% 6 |
2.7% 2 |
2.2% 0 |
3.0% 3 |
1.5% 4 |
15.9% 19 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Dáil Éireann (95% confidence interval)
- FG: Fine Gael
- FF: Fianna Fáil
- SF: Sinn Féin
- Lab: Labour Party
- S-PBP: Solidarity–People Before Profit
- GP: Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
- RI: Renua Ireland
- SD: Social Democrats
- I4C: Independents 4 Change
- I: Independent
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 20.1% | 17.2–22.6% | 16.4–23.2% | 15.9–23.8% | 15.0–24.8% |
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 24.2% | 21.5–31.9% | 21.0–33.1% | 20.5–33.9% | 19.6–35.2% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 10.4% | 8.7–13.4% | 8.3–14.1% | 8.0–14.6% | 7.4–15.5% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 22.7% | 18.8–26.0% | 18.2–26.6% | 17.7–27.1% | 16.8–28.0% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7–6.5% | 3.5–6.9% | 3.2–7.2% | 2.9–7.9% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9–5.4% | 0.7–5.8% | 0.6–6.1% | 0.5–6.7% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1–4.9% | 0.9–5.4% | 0.7–5.8% | 0.5–6.5% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 8.5% | 6.7–10.6% | 6.3–11.1% | 6.0–11.5% | 5.5–12.3% |
| Renua Ireland | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 8% | 94% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 11% | 87% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 16% | 76% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 19% | 60% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 18% | 41% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 13% | 23% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 7% | 10% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 7% | 97% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 14% | 90% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 17% | 76% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 14% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 24.5–25.5% | 10% | 45% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 7% | 36% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 6% | 28% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 4% | 23% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 2% | 19% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 17% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 15% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 4% | 11% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 4% | 7% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 21% | 93% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 19% | 45% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 10% | 26% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 8% | 16% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 11% | 92% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 13% | 82% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 69% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 58% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 13% | 43% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 14% | 30% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 10% | 16% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 27% | 93% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 32% | 67% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 25% | 35% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 10% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 32% | 99.0% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 28% | 66% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 39% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 7% | 33% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 26% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 22% | 83% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 35% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 13% | 27% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 13% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 20% | 92% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 22% | 72% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 18% | 29% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 11% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Renua Ireland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renua Ireland page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 25% | 25% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 64% | 99.7% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 35% | 35% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 49 | 36 | 27–41 | 25–43 | 24–44 | 23–47 |
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 46 | 39–60 | 38–61 | 37–62 | 34–64 |
| Independent | 19 | 11 | 6–17 | 4–18 | 3–19 | 3–21 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 38 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 34–42 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 5 | 1–11 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–17 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 1 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 3 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–11 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 12 | 7–19 | 7–20 | 6–20 | 4–22 |
| Renua Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 0–4 |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 97% | |
| 26 | 4% | 95% | |
| 27 | 3% | 90% | |
| 28 | 3% | 87% | |
| 29 | 3% | 84% | |
| 30 | 4% | 81% | |
| 31 | 5% | 78% | |
| 32 | 4% | 72% | |
| 33 | 5% | 69% | |
| 34 | 3% | 64% | |
| 35 | 6% | 60% | |
| 36 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 49% | |
| 38 | 14% | 41% | |
| 39 | 7% | 27% | |
| 40 | 7% | 21% | |
| 41 | 5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 4% | 90% | |
| 41 | 6% | 86% | |
| 42 | 7% | 80% | |
| 43 | 8% | 73% | |
| 44 | 6% | 66% | Last Result |
| 45 | 7% | 60% | |
| 46 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 47 | 6% | 45% | |
| 48 | 5% | 39% | |
| 49 | 4% | 34% | |
| 50 | 4% | 30% | |
| 51 | 3% | 26% | |
| 52 | 2% | 23% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 54 | 2% | 20% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 59 | 3% | 16% | |
| 60 | 6% | 13% | |
| 61 | 3% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 96% | |
| 5 | 2% | 95% | |
| 6 | 3% | 92% | |
| 7 | 6% | 89% | |
| 8 | 7% | 83% | |
| 9 | 6% | 76% | |
| 10 | 14% | 70% | |
| 11 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 49% | |
| 13 | 9% | 43% | |
| 14 | 4% | 34% | |
| 15 | 6% | 30% | |
| 16 | 5% | 24% | |
| 17 | 10% | 19% | |
| 18 | 6% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 10% | 91% | |
| 37 | 24% | 81% | |
| 38 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 39% | |
| 40 | 14% | 26% | |
| 41 | 9% | 12% | |
| 42 | 3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 92% | |
| 2 | 11% | 81% | |
| 3 | 5% | 70% | |
| 4 | 14% | 65% | |
| 5 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 38% | |
| 7 | 6% | 29% | Last Result |
| 8 | 5% | 23% | |
| 9 | 4% | 19% | |
| 10 | 3% | 15% | |
| 11 | 2% | 12% | |
| 12 | 2% | 10% | |
| 13 | 2% | 7% | |
| 14 | 2% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 2 | 1.3% | 38% | |
| 3 | 4% | 37% | |
| 4 | 2% | 33% | |
| 5 | 3% | 31% | |
| 6 | 3% | 27% | Last Result |
| 7 | 9% | 24% | |
| 8 | 4% | 15% | |
| 9 | 5% | 11% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 90% | |
| 2 | 5% | 87% | |
| 3 | 47% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 13% | 36% | |
| 5 | 3% | 22% | |
| 6 | 4% | 19% | |
| 7 | 4% | 16% | |
| 8 | 3% | 11% | |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 7 | 8% | 97% | |
| 8 | 7% | 90% | |
| 9 | 5% | 82% | |
| 10 | 8% | 77% | |
| 11 | 18% | 68% | |
| 12 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 44% | |
| 14 | 4% | 40% | |
| 15 | 4% | 36% | |
| 16 | 5% | 32% | |
| 17 | 4% | 27% | |
| 18 | 7% | 23% | |
| 19 | 10% | 16% | |
| 20 | 4% | 6% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Renua Ireland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renua Ireland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 9% | 98% | |
| 2 | 13% | 89% | |
| 3 | 66% | 76% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 10% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil | 93 | 83 | 61% | 68–98 | 66–99 | 64–101 | 61–106 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 84 | 80% | 78–97 | 76–98 | 74–99 | 71–101 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 56 | 70 | 5% | 60–77 | 59–80 | 58–83 | 56–87 |
| Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Solidarity–People Before Profit – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 41 | 61 | 4% | 50–77 | 49–80 | 48–81 | 44–84 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 53 | 65 | 2% | 56–74 | 55–77 | 55–79 | 52–83 |
| Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Solidarity–People Before Profit – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 38 | 57 | 0.4% | 49–72 | 48–76 | 46–78 | 43–80 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 59 | 0% | 53–71 | 51–72 | 50–74 | 48–76 |
| Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 35 | 60 | 0% | 48–70 | 48–72 | 46–74 | 43–77 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 61 | 56 | 0% | 49–65 | 49–67 | 48–70 | 45–75 |
| Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 32 | 56 | 0% | 48–65 | 47–68 | 45–70 | 42–73 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 58 | 52 | 0% | 48–60 | 47–63 | 46–66 | 44–71 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 52 | 0% | 44–62 | 43–64 | 41–65 | 38–68 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 48 | 0% | 42–53 | 40–55 | 39–56 | 37–59 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 40 | 0% | 34–48 | 32–50 | 31–53 | 29–57 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 36 | 0% | 27–41 | 25–43 | 24–44 | 23–47 |
Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 3% | 92% | |
| 69 | 2% | 88% | |
| 70 | 2% | 86% | |
| 71 | 3% | 84% | |
| 72 | 4% | 81% | |
| 73 | 2% | 77% | |
| 74 | 2% | 75% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 73% | |
| 76 | 2% | 71% | |
| 77 | 2% | 70% | |
| 78 | 2% | 68% | |
| 79 | 2% | 66% | |
| 80 | 3% | 64% | |
| 81 | 5% | 61% | Majority |
| 82 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 83 | 5% | 52% | |
| 84 | 5% | 47% | |
| 85 | 5% | 43% | |
| 86 | 4% | 37% | |
| 87 | 3% | 33% | |
| 88 | 3% | 30% | |
| 89 | 2% | 27% | |
| 90 | 2% | 26% | |
| 91 | 2% | 23% | |
| 92 | 2% | 21% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 20% | Last Result |
| 94 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 96 | 4% | 16% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 98 | 6% | 11% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 2% | 93% | |
| 78 | 3% | 91% | |
| 79 | 3% | 88% | |
| 80 | 5% | 85% | |
| 81 | 7% | 80% | Majority |
| 82 | 7% | 73% | |
| 83 | 9% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 85 | 8% | 49% | |
| 86 | 6% | 41% | |
| 87 | 6% | 35% | |
| 88 | 4% | 30% | |
| 89 | 3% | 25% | |
| 90 | 2% | 22% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 96 | 4% | 14% | |
| 97 | 4% | 10% | |
| 98 | 4% | 6% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 3% | 92% | |
| 61 | 4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 4% | 85% | |
| 63 | 3% | 81% | |
| 64 | 3% | 78% | |
| 65 | 4% | 75% | |
| 66 | 5% | 71% | Median |
| 67 | 4% | 67% | |
| 68 | 4% | 63% | |
| 69 | 5% | 59% | |
| 70 | 7% | 54% | |
| 71 | 10% | 47% | |
| 72 | 6% | 37% | |
| 73 | 6% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 25% | |
| 75 | 6% | 21% | |
| 76 | 3% | 15% | |
| 77 | 2% | 12% | |
| 78 | 2% | 10% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 5% | Majority |
| 82 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Solidarity–People Before Profit – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 49 | 7% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 90% | |
| 51 | 3% | 89% | |
| 52 | 4% | 86% | |
| 53 | 2% | 82% | |
| 54 | 4% | 80% | |
| 55 | 3% | 76% | |
| 56 | 8% | 73% | |
| 57 | 5% | 65% | |
| 58 | 3% | 60% | |
| 59 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 54% | |
| 61 | 4% | 51% | |
| 62 | 4% | 47% | |
| 63 | 2% | 43% | |
| 64 | 2% | 42% | |
| 65 | 2% | 40% | |
| 66 | 2% | 38% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 68 | 2% | 35% | |
| 69 | 2% | 34% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 71 | 2% | 30% | |
| 72 | 3% | 28% | |
| 73 | 4% | 25% | |
| 74 | 4% | 22% | |
| 75 | 3% | 18% | |
| 76 | 3% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 12% | |
| 78 | 2% | 10% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 4% | Majority |
| 82 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 54 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 4% | 90% | |
| 58 | 4% | 86% | |
| 59 | 5% | 82% | |
| 60 | 4% | 77% | |
| 61 | 5% | 73% | |
| 62 | 4% | 68% | |
| 63 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 64 | 4% | 56% | |
| 65 | 3% | 53% | |
| 66 | 4% | 49% | |
| 67 | 4% | 45% | |
| 68 | 4% | 41% | |
| 69 | 3% | 37% | |
| 70 | 6% | 33% | |
| 71 | 7% | 28% | |
| 72 | 5% | 21% | |
| 73 | 3% | 16% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 2% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 2% | Majority |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Solidarity–People Before Profit – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 10% | 95% | |
| 50 | 3% | 85% | |
| 51 | 7% | 82% | |
| 52 | 4% | 75% | |
| 53 | 8% | 70% | |
| 54 | 5% | 63% | |
| 55 | 3% | 58% | |
| 56 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 4% | 52% | |
| 58 | 2% | 48% | |
| 59 | 4% | 46% | |
| 60 | 2% | 42% | |
| 61 | 3% | 40% | |
| 62 | 2% | 37% | |
| 63 | 3% | 35% | |
| 64 | 3% | 32% | |
| 65 | 2% | 30% | |
| 66 | 3% | 27% | |
| 67 | 2% | 24% | |
| 68 | 3% | 22% | |
| 69 | 3% | 19% | |
| 70 | 2% | 16% | |
| 71 | 2% | 13% | |
| 72 | 2% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 10% | |
| 74 | 2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 6% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 86% | |
| 55 | 7% | 79% | |
| 56 | 6% | 72% | |
| 57 | 6% | 66% | |
| 58 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 9% | 53% | |
| 60 | 5% | 44% | |
| 61 | 4% | 39% | |
| 62 | 4% | 35% | |
| 63 | 2% | 31% | |
| 64 | 2% | 29% | |
| 65 | 2% | 27% | |
| 66 | 2% | 24% | |
| 67 | 2% | 22% | |
| 68 | 3% | 20% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 70 | 3% | 16% | |
| 71 | 6% | 13% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 7% | 96% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 50 | 2% | 88% | |
| 51 | 3% | 86% | |
| 52 | 2% | 83% | |
| 53 | 4% | 81% | |
| 54 | 4% | 77% | |
| 55 | 6% | 73% | |
| 56 | 5% | 67% | |
| 57 | 5% | 63% | |
| 58 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 55% | |
| 60 | 4% | 52% | |
| 61 | 4% | 48% | |
| 62 | 5% | 44% | |
| 63 | 2% | 40% | |
| 64 | 3% | 37% | |
| 65 | 4% | 34% | |
| 66 | 6% | 30% | |
| 67 | 4% | 24% | |
| 68 | 5% | 20% | |
| 69 | 3% | 15% | |
| 70 | 2% | 12% | |
| 71 | 2% | 9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Social Democrats – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 8% | 96% | |
| 50 | 4% | 89% | |
| 51 | 3% | 84% | |
| 52 | 5% | 82% | |
| 53 | 9% | 77% | |
| 54 | 5% | 68% | |
| 55 | 7% | 63% | |
| 56 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 49% | |
| 58 | 5% | 42% | |
| 59 | 4% | 38% | |
| 60 | 7% | 34% | |
| 61 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 22% | |
| 63 | 5% | 18% | |
| 64 | 2% | 13% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 96% | |
| 48 | 9% | 94% | |
| 49 | 3% | 85% | |
| 50 | 6% | 82% | |
| 51 | 6% | 76% | |
| 52 | 7% | 71% | |
| 53 | 5% | 64% | |
| 54 | 5% | 59% | |
| 55 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 51% | |
| 57 | 5% | 47% | |
| 58 | 3% | 42% | |
| 59 | 8% | 39% | |
| 60 | 3% | 31% | |
| 61 | 5% | 28% | |
| 62 | 4% | 23% | |
| 63 | 4% | 19% | |
| 64 | 3% | 15% | |
| 65 | 2% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 10% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 96% | |
| 48 | 8% | 94% | |
| 49 | 11% | 86% | |
| 50 | 11% | 74% | |
| 51 | 7% | 63% | |
| 52 | 8% | 57% | |
| 53 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 39% | |
| 55 | 6% | 33% | |
| 56 | 6% | 26% | |
| 57 | 3% | 21% | |
| 58 | 3% | 17% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 14% | |
| 60 | 2% | 11% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 95% | |
| 44 | 3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 8% | 90% | |
| 46 | 5% | 82% | |
| 47 | 4% | 77% | |
| 48 | 5% | 72% | |
| 49 | 4% | 67% | |
| 50 | 6% | 64% | |
| 51 | 3% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 52 | 5% | 55% | |
| 53 | 7% | 50% | |
| 54 | 5% | 42% | |
| 55 | 3% | 38% | |
| 56 | 3% | 34% | |
| 57 | 3% | 31% | |
| 58 | 2% | 29% | |
| 59 | 4% | 26% | |
| 60 | 7% | 23% | |
| 61 | 3% | 15% | |
| 62 | 2% | 12% | |
| 63 | 4% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 95% | |
| 42 | 4% | 92% | |
| 43 | 3% | 89% | |
| 44 | 4% | 86% | |
| 45 | 5% | 81% | |
| 46 | 10% | 76% | |
| 47 | 8% | 66% | |
| 48 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 47% | |
| 50 | 7% | 31% | |
| 51 | 6% | 25% | Last Result |
| 52 | 6% | 19% | |
| 53 | 4% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 94% | |
| 34 | 4% | 91% | |
| 35 | 8% | 88% | |
| 36 | 4% | 80% | |
| 37 | 8% | 76% | |
| 38 | 10% | 68% | |
| 39 | 8% | 59% | |
| 40 | 9% | 51% | |
| 41 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 42 | 7% | 35% | |
| 43 | 5% | 28% | |
| 44 | 3% | 23% | |
| 45 | 3% | 20% | |
| 46 | 2% | 17% | |
| 47 | 4% | 15% | |
| 48 | 2% | 11% | |
| 49 | 2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 97% | |
| 26 | 4% | 95% | |
| 27 | 3% | 90% | |
| 28 | 3% | 87% | |
| 29 | 3% | 84% | |
| 30 | 4% | 81% | |
| 31 | 5% | 78% | |
| 32 | 4% | 72% | |
| 33 | 5% | 69% | |
| 34 | 3% | 64% | |
| 35 | 6% | 60% | |
| 36 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 49% | |
| 38 | 14% | 41% | |
| 39 | 7% | 27% | |
| 40 | 7% | 21% | |
| 41 | 5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 6
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 6,291,456
- Error estimate: 2.83%