Opinion Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes for The Sunday Times, 12 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 31.0% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.5–33.5% | 28.0–34.0% | 27.1–34.9% |
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 24.0% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.7–26.4% | 21.3–26.8% | 20.5–27.7% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 24.0% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.7–26.4% | 21.3–26.8% | 20.5–27.7% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.3–9.2% | 6.1–9.5% | 5.6–10.1% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.2% | 1.1–3.6% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.2% | 1.1–3.6% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Renua Ireland | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 49 | 64 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–69 | 54–70 |
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 45 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 | 36–53 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 40 | 39–42 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 36–44 |
| Independent | 19 | 4 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–11 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 3 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Renua Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 88% | |
| 62 | 10% | 84% | |
| 63 | 6% | 74% | |
| 64 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 65 | 14% | 43% | |
| 66 | 10% | 30% | |
| 67 | 5% | 19% | |
| 68 | 6% | 14% | |
| 69 | 6% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 10% | 95% | |
| 41 | 5% | 84% | |
| 42 | 6% | 79% | |
| 43 | 14% | 73% | |
| 44 | 5% | 58% | Last Result |
| 45 | 18% | 53% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 36% | |
| 47 | 10% | 27% | |
| 48 | 4% | 17% | |
| 49 | 5% | 12% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 7% | 98% | |
| 39 | 24% | 91% | |
| 40 | 28% | 67% | Median |
| 41 | 21% | 39% | |
| 42 | 17% | 19% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 37% | 92% | |
| 4 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 29% | |
| 6 | 5% | 17% | |
| 7 | 7% | 11% | |
| 8 | 2% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | |
| 1 | 9% | 79% | |
| 2 | 16% | 70% | |
| 3 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 4 | 23% | 44% | |
| 5 | 10% | 21% | |
| 6 | 6% | 11% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 8 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 56% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 30% | 38% | |
| 3 | 5% | 7% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 8% | 11% | |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | |
| 1 | 57% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 7% | |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 64% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 20% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Renua Ireland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renua Ireland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil | 93 | 109 | 100% | 105–111 | 104–112 | 103–114 | 100–114 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 84 | 93% | 81–89 | 80–91 | 79–92 | 77–94 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 58 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 57–75 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 61 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 62–73 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 57–74 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 64 | 0% | 59–69 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 54–71 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 64 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–69 | 54–70 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 56 | 48 | 0% | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–56 | 38–58 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 53 | 48 | 0% | 43–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–57 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 48 | 0% | 43–52 | 41–53 | 39–54 | 38–57 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 45 | 0% | 40–49 | 40–51 | 38–52 | 36–54 |
Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 5% | 95% | |
| 106 | 9% | 90% | |
| 107 | 11% | 81% | |
| 108 | 12% | 70% | |
| 109 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 110 | 12% | 30% | |
| 111 | 9% | 19% | |
| 112 | 5% | 10% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 2% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 96% | |
| 81 | 12% | 93% | Majority |
| 82 | 11% | 81% | |
| 83 | 9% | 69% | |
| 84 | 14% | 60% | |
| 85 | 8% | 46% | Median |
| 86 | 12% | 38% | |
| 87 | 9% | 27% | |
| 88 | 4% | 18% | |
| 89 | 5% | 14% | |
| 90 | 3% | 9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 59 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 5% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 89% | |
| 64 | 4% | 85% | |
| 65 | 6% | 80% | |
| 66 | 15% | 74% | |
| 67 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 68 | 13% | 48% | |
| 69 | 9% | 35% | |
| 70 | 12% | 26% | |
| 71 | 7% | 14% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 6% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 89% | |
| 65 | 5% | 84% | |
| 66 | 7% | 79% | |
| 67 | 16% | 71% | |
| 68 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 45% | |
| 70 | 12% | 33% | |
| 71 | 8% | 21% | |
| 72 | 8% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 5% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 89% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 6% | 79% | |
| 66 | 14% | 73% | |
| 67 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 68 | 13% | 47% | |
| 69 | 11% | 34% | |
| 70 | 11% | 24% | |
| 71 | 8% | 13% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 88% | |
| 62 | 10% | 85% | |
| 63 | 6% | 75% | |
| 64 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 44% | |
| 66 | 11% | 31% | |
| 67 | 5% | 21% | |
| 68 | 5% | 15% | |
| 69 | 7% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 3% | 88% | |
| 62 | 10% | 84% | |
| 63 | 6% | 74% | |
| 64 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 65 | 14% | 43% | |
| 66 | 10% | 30% | |
| 67 | 5% | 19% | |
| 68 | 6% | 14% | |
| 69 | 6% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 7% | 94% | |
| 44 | 3% | 87% | |
| 45 | 7% | 84% | |
| 46 | 9% | 77% | |
| 47 | 8% | 68% | |
| 48 | 10% | 60% | |
| 49 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 50 | 12% | 37% | |
| 51 | 5% | 25% | |
| 52 | 8% | 20% | |
| 53 | 5% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 57 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 3% | 94% | |
| 43 | 7% | 92% | |
| 44 | 5% | 85% | |
| 45 | 10% | 79% | |
| 46 | 6% | 70% | |
| 47 | 12% | 64% | |
| 48 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 41% | |
| 50 | 3% | 24% | |
| 51 | 9% | 22% | |
| 52 | 5% | 13% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 3% | 94% | |
| 43 | 7% | 91% | |
| 44 | 6% | 84% | |
| 45 | 10% | 78% | |
| 46 | 6% | 68% | |
| 47 | 12% | 63% | |
| 48 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 40% | |
| 50 | 3% | 23% | |
| 51 | 8% | 21% | Last Result |
| 52 | 5% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 11% | 96% | |
| 41 | 4% | 85% | |
| 42 | 7% | 81% | |
| 43 | 14% | 74% | |
| 44 | 6% | 60% | |
| 45 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 37% | Last Result |
| 47 | 10% | 28% | |
| 48 | 5% | 18% | |
| 49 | 6% | 13% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Behaviour and Attitudes
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Times
- Fieldwork period: 12 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 930
- Simulations done: 1,048,575
- Error estimate: 3.51%