Opinion Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes for The Sunday Times, 1–13 November 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 30.1% | 28.2–32.1% | 27.6–32.6% | 27.1–33.1% | 26.3–34.1% |
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 27.0% | 25.1–28.9% | 24.6–29.5% | 24.2–29.9% | 23.3–30.9% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 23.0% | 21.3–24.9% | 20.8–25.4% | 20.3–25.8% | 19.6–26.8% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.3–9.2% | 6.1–9.5% | 5.6–10.2% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.2–8.3% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 49 | 56 | 53–61 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 48–66 |
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 49 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 42 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 35–47 |
| Independent | 19 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 7 | 3–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–13 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 12% | 89% | |
| 55 | 20% | 77% | |
| 56 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 42% | |
| 58 | 9% | 35% | |
| 59 | 9% | 26% | |
| 60 | 4% | 17% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 2% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 6% | 97% | |
| 44 | 3% | 91% | Last Result |
| 45 | 6% | 88% | |
| 46 | 4% | 82% | |
| 47 | 7% | 77% | |
| 48 | 10% | 71% | |
| 49 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 46% | |
| 51 | 13% | 30% | |
| 52 | 7% | 16% | |
| 53 | 5% | 9% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 6% | 94% | |
| 38 | 8% | 88% | |
| 39 | 6% | 80% | |
| 40 | 11% | 75% | |
| 41 | 13% | 63% | |
| 42 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 8% | 38% | |
| 44 | 19% | 30% | |
| 45 | 8% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 80% | 94% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 14% | |
| 5 | 3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 6% | 93% | |
| 4 | 7% | 87% | |
| 5 | 18% | 80% | |
| 6 | 7% | 62% | |
| 7 | 33% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 8 | 12% | 21% | |
| 9 | 5% | 9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 24% | 38% | |
| 2 | 5% | 13% | |
| 3 | 7% | 9% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 78% | |
| 2 | 18% | 70% | |
| 3 | 52% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 19% | 47% | |
| 2 | 7% | 28% | |
| 3 | 3% | 21% | |
| 4 | 14% | 18% | Last Result |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil | 93 | 105 | 100% | 101–109 | 100–110 | 99–112 | 97–113 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 91 | 99.2% | 85–94 | 83–95 | 82–96 | 80–98 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 61 | 64 | 0% | 61–70 | 59–72 | 58–74 | 55–75 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 58 | 62 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–73 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 62 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–73 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 56 | 0% | 53–61 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 48–66 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 56 | 0% | 53–61 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 48–66 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 56 | 57 | 0% | 52–61 | 50–63 | 49–63 | 46–66 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 53 | 55 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–61 | 45–64 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 55 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–61 | 45–64 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 49 | 0% | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 97% | |
| 101 | 5% | 94% | |
| 102 | 5% | 88% | |
| 103 | 8% | 84% | |
| 104 | 15% | 75% | |
| 105 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 106 | 8% | 47% | |
| 107 | 12% | 38% | |
| 108 | 8% | 26% | |
| 109 | 10% | 18% | |
| 110 | 3% | 8% | |
| 111 | 2% | 5% | |
| 112 | 2% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 2% | 94% | |
| 85 | 3% | 92% | |
| 86 | 6% | 88% | |
| 87 | 5% | 82% | |
| 88 | 7% | 77% | |
| 89 | 11% | 70% | |
| 90 | 7% | 59% | |
| 91 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 92 | 18% | 44% | |
| 93 | 12% | 26% | |
| 94 | 8% | 14% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 3% | 94% | |
| 61 | 5% | 91% | Last Result |
| 62 | 9% | 86% | |
| 63 | 12% | 77% | |
| 64 | 16% | 65% | |
| 65 | 14% | 49% | |
| 66 | 8% | 35% | Median |
| 67 | 5% | 27% | |
| 68 | 8% | 22% | |
| 69 | 4% | 14% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 92% | |
| 60 | 11% | 89% | |
| 61 | 17% | 77% | |
| 62 | 12% | 60% | |
| 63 | 15% | 48% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 34% | |
| 65 | 8% | 27% | |
| 66 | 6% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 95% | |
| 59 | 3% | 92% | |
| 60 | 11% | 89% | |
| 61 | 17% | 77% | |
| 62 | 12% | 60% | |
| 63 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 34% | |
| 65 | 8% | 27% | |
| 66 | 6% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 12% | 89% | |
| 55 | 20% | 77% | |
| 56 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 42% | |
| 58 | 9% | 35% | |
| 59 | 9% | 26% | |
| 60 | 4% | 17% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 2% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 12% | 89% | |
| 55 | 20% | 77% | |
| 56 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 42% | |
| 58 | 9% | 35% | |
| 59 | 9% | 26% | |
| 60 | 4% | 17% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 2% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 94% | |
| 52 | 5% | 91% | |
| 53 | 7% | 86% | |
| 54 | 6% | 79% | |
| 55 | 8% | 73% | |
| 56 | 8% | 65% | Last Result |
| 57 | 11% | 58% | |
| 58 | 5% | 46% | |
| 59 | 12% | 41% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 29% | |
| 61 | 8% | 17% | |
| 62 | 3% | 9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 6% | 93% | |
| 51 | 6% | 87% | |
| 52 | 6% | 81% | |
| 53 | 10% | 75% | Last Result |
| 54 | 10% | 65% | |
| 55 | 5% | 55% | |
| 56 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 39% | |
| 58 | 14% | 26% | |
| 59 | 4% | 12% | |
| 60 | 4% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 6% | 93% | |
| 51 | 6% | 87% | Last Result |
| 52 | 6% | 81% | |
| 53 | 10% | 75% | |
| 54 | 10% | 65% | |
| 55 | 5% | 55% | |
| 56 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 39% | |
| 58 | 14% | 26% | |
| 59 | 4% | 12% | |
| 60 | 4% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 6% | 97% | |
| 44 | 3% | 91% | |
| 45 | 6% | 88% | |
| 46 | 4% | 82% | Last Result |
| 47 | 7% | 77% | |
| 48 | 10% | 71% | |
| 49 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 46% | |
| 51 | 13% | 30% | |
| 52 | 7% | 16% | |
| 53 | 5% | 9% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Behaviour and Attitudes
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Times
- Fieldwork period: 1–13 November 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 905
- Simulations done: 1,048,575
- Error estimate: 0.84%