Opinion Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes for The Sunday Times, 31 January–12 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 29.9% | 27.8–31.7% | 27.3–32.2% | 26.8–32.7% | 25.9–33.7% |
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 25.9% | 23.9–27.6% | 23.4–28.2% | 23.0–28.7% | 22.1–29.6% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.3–19.5% | 15.8–20.0% | 15.5–20.4% | 14.7–21.3% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 11.8% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.1–13.7% | 9.8–14.0% | 9.2–14.8% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.4% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Renua Ireland | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 49 | 60 | 51–63 | 48–64 | 48–64 | 45–66 |
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 46 | 41–51 | 38–53 | 37–54 | 35–57 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 33 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 28–38 |
| Independent | 19 | 13 | 8–17 | 7–17 | 6–17 | 4–18 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–11 | 0–14 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Renua Ireland | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 95% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 2% | 92% | |
| 52 | 3% | 90% | |
| 53 | 3% | 87% | |
| 54 | 3% | 84% | |
| 55 | 4% | 81% | |
| 56 | 5% | 77% | |
| 57 | 9% | 72% | |
| 58 | 7% | 64% | |
| 59 | 3% | 57% | |
| 60 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 42% | |
| 62 | 18% | 35% | |
| 63 | 7% | 16% | |
| 64 | 7% | 10% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 41 | 3% | 90% | |
| 42 | 5% | 87% | |
| 43 | 19% | 82% | |
| 44 | 8% | 64% | Last Result |
| 45 | 2% | 56% | |
| 46 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 42% | |
| 48 | 14% | 40% | |
| 49 | 3% | 25% | |
| 50 | 4% | 22% | |
| 51 | 10% | 18% | |
| 52 | 3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 23% | 98% | |
| 32 | 14% | 74% | |
| 33 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 34 | 13% | 47% | |
| 35 | 18% | 34% | |
| 36 | 11% | 16% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 96% | |
| 8 | 6% | 93% | |
| 9 | 4% | 86% | |
| 10 | 6% | 82% | |
| 11 | 15% | 76% | |
| 12 | 6% | 60% | |
| 13 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 14 | 3% | 49% | |
| 15 | 7% | 46% | |
| 16 | 25% | 39% | |
| 17 | 14% | 14% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 12% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 42% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 45% | |
| 4 | 11% | 40% | |
| 5 | 3% | 30% | |
| 6 | 3% | 26% | |
| 7 | 12% | 23% | Last Result |
| 8 | 3% | 12% | |
| 9 | 4% | 9% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 68% | |
| 2 | 46% | 59% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 12% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 5% | 6% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 49% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 50% | 50% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | |
| 1 | 61% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 7% | |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Renua Ireland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renua Ireland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 63% | Median |
| 2 | 9% | 15% | |
| 3 | 5% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil | 93 | 105 | 100% | 98–112 | 97–112 | 94–113 | 91–115 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 79 | 40% | 74–86 | 73–88 | 72–89 | 70–92 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 61 | 64 | 0% | 57–67 | 55–70 | 55–71 | 52–75 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 58 | 64 | 0% | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 | 52–74 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 63 | 0% | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–70 | 52–74 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 60 | 0% | 52–64 | 48–64 | 48–65 | 45–66 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 60 | 0% | 51–63 | 48–64 | 48–64 | 45–66 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats | 56 | 50 | 0% | 46–58 | 43–59 | 42–60 | 40–62 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 53 | 49 | 0% | 45–57 | 42–58 | 41–60 | 39–62 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 49 | 0% | 44–57 | 42–58 | 41–60 | 39–62 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 46 | 0% | 41–51 | 38–53 | 37–54 | 35–58 |
Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 94 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 97 | 3% | 95% | |
| 98 | 3% | 93% | |
| 99 | 6% | 90% | |
| 100 | 6% | 83% | |
| 101 | 6% | 78% | |
| 102 | 2% | 72% | |
| 103 | 11% | 70% | |
| 104 | 6% | 59% | |
| 105 | 19% | 53% | |
| 106 | 9% | 34% | Median |
| 107 | 3% | 25% | |
| 108 | 4% | 22% | |
| 109 | 4% | 18% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 111 | 4% | 14% | |
| 112 | 8% | 10% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 21% | 92% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 76 | 4% | 70% | |
| 77 | 5% | 66% | |
| 78 | 10% | 62% | |
| 79 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 44% | |
| 81 | 9% | 40% | Majority |
| 82 | 7% | 31% | |
| 83 | 6% | 24% | |
| 84 | 3% | 18% | |
| 85 | 2% | 15% | |
| 86 | 6% | 14% | |
| 87 | 2% | 7% | |
| 88 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 89 | 3% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 6% | 98% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 57 | 3% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 88% | |
| 59 | 4% | 85% | |
| 60 | 6% | 81% | |
| 61 | 9% | 75% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 63 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 64 | 3% | 53% | |
| 65 | 20% | 50% | |
| 66 | 13% | 30% | |
| 67 | 7% | 17% | |
| 68 | 3% | 10% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 7% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 2% | 88% | |
| 58 | 4% | 86% | Last Result |
| 59 | 5% | 82% | |
| 60 | 3% | 77% | |
| 61 | 8% | 74% | |
| 62 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 63 | 5% | 56% | |
| 64 | 20% | 50% | |
| 65 | 11% | 30% | |
| 66 | 7% | 19% | |
| 67 | 6% | 12% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 7% | 97% | |
| 56 | 3% | 90% | Last Result |
| 57 | 2% | 88% | |
| 58 | 5% | 85% | |
| 59 | 4% | 81% | |
| 60 | 3% | 77% | |
| 61 | 8% | 73% | |
| 62 | 10% | 65% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 55% | |
| 64 | 20% | 49% | |
| 65 | 12% | 29% | |
| 66 | 6% | 17% | |
| 67 | 6% | 11% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 51 | 2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 52 | 3% | 90% | |
| 53 | 3% | 87% | |
| 54 | 3% | 84% | |
| 55 | 3% | 81% | |
| 56 | 5% | 78% | |
| 57 | 9% | 73% | |
| 58 | 6% | 64% | |
| 59 | 3% | 58% | |
| 60 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 42% | |
| 62 | 19% | 36% | |
| 63 | 6% | 17% | |
| 64 | 9% | 11% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 95% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 2% | 92% | |
| 52 | 3% | 90% | |
| 53 | 3% | 87% | |
| 54 | 3% | 84% | |
| 55 | 4% | 81% | |
| 56 | 5% | 77% | |
| 57 | 9% | 72% | |
| 58 | 7% | 64% | |
| 59 | 3% | 57% | |
| 60 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 42% | |
| 62 | 18% | 35% | |
| 63 | 7% | 16% | |
| 64 | 7% | 10% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 2% | 92% | |
| 46 | 18% | 90% | |
| 47 | 8% | 72% | |
| 48 | 3% | 64% | |
| 49 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 50 | 14% | 54% | |
| 51 | 3% | 40% | |
| 52 | 6% | 37% | |
| 53 | 5% | 32% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 27% | |
| 55 | 2% | 25% | |
| 56 | 6% | 23% | Last Result |
| 57 | 6% | 17% | |
| 58 | 6% | 12% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 3% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 94% | |
| 44 | 2% | 92% | |
| 45 | 18% | 90% | |
| 46 | 7% | 72% | |
| 47 | 4% | 65% | |
| 48 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 9% | 54% | |
| 50 | 7% | 45% | |
| 51 | 3% | 38% | |
| 52 | 6% | 36% | |
| 53 | 4% | 29% | Last Result |
| 54 | 2% | 25% | |
| 55 | 6% | 23% | |
| 56 | 4% | 18% | |
| 57 | 4% | 13% | |
| 58 | 5% | 9% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 94% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 16% | 88% | |
| 46 | 7% | 72% | |
| 47 | 4% | 65% | |
| 48 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 9% | 54% | |
| 50 | 7% | 45% | |
| 51 | 3% | 38% | Last Result |
| 52 | 6% | 35% | |
| 53 | 4% | 29% | |
| 54 | 3% | 25% | |
| 55 | 6% | 23% | |
| 56 | 4% | 17% | |
| 57 | 4% | 13% | |
| 58 | 5% | 9% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 41 | 3% | 90% | |
| 42 | 3% | 88% | |
| 43 | 20% | 85% | |
| 44 | 8% | 64% | |
| 45 | 2% | 56% | |
| 46 | 11% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 47 | 3% | 43% | |
| 48 | 14% | 40% | |
| 49 | 4% | 26% | |
| 50 | 4% | 22% | |
| 51 | 10% | 19% | |
| 52 | 3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Behaviour and Attitudes
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Times
- Fieldwork period: 31 January–12 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 904
- Simulations done: 1,048,575
- Error estimate: 1.95%