Opinion Poll by Red C for The Sunday Business Post, 14–21 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 25.5% | 30.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Fianna Fáil | 24.3% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| Independent | 15.9% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.6% |
| Sinn Féin | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2.7% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Labour Party | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Social Democrats | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Independents 4 Change | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael | 49 | 65 | 57–68 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 51–71 |
| Fianna Fáil | 44 | 47 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 39–53 | 37–54 |
| Independent | 19 | 12 | 8–16 | 8–16 | 7–16 | 5–16 |
| Sinn Féin | 23 | 16 | 13–22 | 12–23 | 11–24 | 10–27 |
| Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 2 | 6 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| Labour Party | 7 | 6 | 4–9 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 1–14 |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | 6 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Social Democrats | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 0–4 |
| Independents 4 Change | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Fine Gael
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fine Gael page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 2% | 94% | |
| 57 | 2% | 91% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 3% | 82% | |
| 60 | 4% | 79% | |
| 61 | 5% | 75% | |
| 62 | 4% | 69% | |
| 63 | 10% | 65% | |
| 64 | 3% | 56% | |
| 65 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 66 | 17% | 42% | |
| 67 | 14% | 25% | |
| 68 | 2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fianna Fáil page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 3% | 92% | |
| 42 | 3% | 89% | |
| 43 | 3% | 86% | |
| 44 | 8% | 83% | Last Result |
| 45 | 13% | 75% | |
| 46 | 6% | 62% | |
| 47 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 48 | 11% | 44% | |
| 49 | 7% | 33% | |
| 50 | 10% | 26% | |
| 51 | 6% | 16% | |
| 52 | 4% | 10% | |
| 53 | 5% | 7% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Independent
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independent page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 5% | 95% | |
| 9 | 11% | 90% | |
| 10 | 12% | 79% | |
| 11 | 10% | 66% | |
| 12 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 22% | 49% | |
| 14 | 6% | 27% | |
| 15 | 7% | 21% | |
| 16 | 14% | 14% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sinn Féin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinn Féin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 4% | 96% | |
| 13 | 10% | 92% | |
| 14 | 9% | 82% | |
| 15 | 19% | 73% | |
| 16 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 6% | 45% | |
| 18 | 8% | 39% | |
| 19 | 5% | 31% | |
| 20 | 8% | 26% | |
| 21 | 3% | 18% | |
| 22 | 8% | 15% | |
| 23 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party/Comhaontas Glas page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 26% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 7 | 11% | 50% | |
| 8 | 16% | 39% | |
| 9 | 8% | 23% | |
| 10 | 5% | 14% | |
| 11 | 5% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 7% | 97% | |
| 4 | 16% | 90% | |
| 5 | 14% | 74% | |
| 6 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 26% | 44% | Last Result |
| 8 | 4% | 18% | |
| 9 | 5% | 13% | |
| 10 | 2% | 8% | |
| 11 | 3% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Solidarity–People Before Profit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Solidarity–People Before Profit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 11% | 37% | |
| 2 | 17% | 25% | |
| 3 | 5% | 8% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Social Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Social Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 90% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Independents 4 Change
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Independents 4 Change page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 3 | 17% | 94% | |
| 4 | 60% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 17% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil | 93 | 111 | 100% | 104–116 | 102–117 | 100–117 | 96–118 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party – Social Democrats | 61 | 81 | 55% | 72–85 | 70–87 | 69–87 | 67–90 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party | 58 | 78 | 23% | 69–82 | 68–84 | 66–84 | 64–87 |
| Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 51 | 72 | 0.2% | 63–75 | 62–76 | 61–77 | 59–79 |
| Fine Gael – Labour Party | 56 | 71 | 0.2% | 63–75 | 60–76 | 58–76 | 56–79 |
| Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin | 67 | 64 | 0% | 58–70 | 55–71 | 55–72 | 53–75 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party – Social Democrats | 56 | 63 | 0% | 57–69 | 55–71 | 53–72 | 52–74 |
| Fine Gael | 49 | 65 | 0% | 57–68 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 51–71 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party | 53 | 60 | 0% | 54–66 | 52–68 | 50–69 | 49–71 |
| Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas | 46 | 54 | 0% | 48–60 | 46–62 | 45–62 | 43–64 |
| Fianna Fáil – Labour Party | 51 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 46–59 | 45–60 | 43–63 |
Fine Gael – Fianna Fáil
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 102 | 3% | 96% | |
| 103 | 2% | 92% | |
| 104 | 4% | 90% | |
| 105 | 4% | 86% | |
| 106 | 6% | 82% | |
| 107 | 5% | 76% | |
| 108 | 5% | 71% | |
| 109 | 6% | 66% | |
| 110 | 5% | 60% | |
| 111 | 8% | 54% | |
| 112 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 113 | 8% | 34% | |
| 114 | 4% | 26% | |
| 115 | 9% | 22% | |
| 116 | 8% | 13% | |
| 117 | 3% | 6% | |
| 118 | 2% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 83% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 81% | |
| 76 | 5% | 80% | |
| 77 | 4% | 74% | |
| 78 | 6% | 70% | |
| 79 | 4% | 64% | |
| 80 | 5% | 60% | Median |
| 81 | 10% | 55% | Majority |
| 82 | 12% | 44% | |
| 83 | 9% | 32% | |
| 84 | 12% | 23% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | |
| 86 | 2% | 9% | |
| 87 | 4% | 6% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 6% | 90% | |
| 71 | 2% | 83% | |
| 72 | 2% | 81% | |
| 73 | 5% | 80% | |
| 74 | 3% | 74% | |
| 75 | 7% | 71% | |
| 76 | 3% | 64% | |
| 77 | 5% | 60% | Median |
| 78 | 12% | 55% | |
| 79 | 11% | 43% | |
| 80 | 10% | 33% | |
| 81 | 11% | 23% | Majority |
| 82 | 3% | 11% | |
| 83 | 3% | 9% | |
| 84 | 4% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 89% | |
| 65 | 4% | 85% | |
| 66 | 2% | 80% | |
| 67 | 2% | 78% | |
| 68 | 5% | 76% | |
| 69 | 2% | 71% | |
| 70 | 5% | 69% | |
| 71 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 72 | 15% | 54% | |
| 73 | 9% | 39% | |
| 74 | 13% | 30% | |
| 75 | 11% | 17% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 4% | 91% | |
| 64 | 4% | 86% | |
| 65 | 5% | 82% | |
| 66 | 6% | 77% | |
| 67 | 4% | 71% | |
| 68 | 5% | 67% | |
| 69 | 3% | 62% | |
| 70 | 5% | 59% | |
| 71 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 47% | |
| 73 | 14% | 36% | |
| 74 | 11% | 22% | |
| 75 | 5% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Sinn Féin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 2% | 93% | |
| 58 | 2% | 91% | |
| 59 | 4% | 89% | |
| 60 | 13% | 85% | |
| 61 | 6% | 72% | |
| 62 | 4% | 66% | |
| 63 | 9% | 62% | Median |
| 64 | 8% | 53% | |
| 65 | 12% | 45% | |
| 66 | 9% | 33% | |
| 67 | 6% | 24% | Last Result |
| 68 | 6% | 18% | |
| 69 | 2% | 12% | |
| 70 | 4% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party – Social Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 57 | 3% | 92% | |
| 58 | 3% | 89% | |
| 59 | 6% | 86% | |
| 60 | 11% | 80% | |
| 61 | 4% | 70% | |
| 62 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 54% | |
| 64 | 7% | 47% | |
| 65 | 12% | 40% | |
| 66 | 6% | 28% | |
| 67 | 6% | 21% | |
| 68 | 5% | 16% | |
| 69 | 3% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Fine Gael
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 2% | 94% | |
| 57 | 2% | 91% | |
| 58 | 7% | 89% | |
| 59 | 3% | 82% | |
| 60 | 4% | 79% | |
| 61 | 5% | 75% | |
| 62 | 4% | 69% | |
| 63 | 10% | 65% | |
| 64 | 3% | 56% | |
| 65 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 66 | 17% | 42% | |
| 67 | 14% | 25% | |
| 68 | 2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | Last Result |
| 54 | 3% | 92% | |
| 55 | 3% | 89% | |
| 56 | 6% | 86% | |
| 57 | 10% | 81% | |
| 58 | 4% | 70% | |
| 59 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 60 | 8% | 54% | |
| 61 | 5% | 46% | |
| 62 | 12% | 40% | |
| 63 | 6% | 28% | |
| 64 | 5% | 22% | |
| 65 | 6% | 17% | |
| 66 | 4% | 11% | |
| 67 | 2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Green Party/Comhaontas Glas
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 47 | 2% | 94% | |
| 48 | 2% | 92% | |
| 49 | 3% | 90% | |
| 50 | 4% | 87% | |
| 51 | 12% | 82% | |
| 52 | 9% | 71% | |
| 53 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 54 | 7% | 51% | |
| 55 | 13% | 44% | |
| 56 | 6% | 31% | |
| 57 | 4% | 26% | |
| 58 | 5% | 21% | |
| 59 | 4% | 16% | |
| 60 | 2% | 12% | |
| 61 | 2% | 9% | |
| 62 | 5% | 7% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fianna Fáil – Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 95% | |
| 47 | 3% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 91% | |
| 49 | 5% | 87% | |
| 50 | 6% | 82% | |
| 51 | 10% | 76% | Last Result |
| 52 | 12% | 66% | |
| 53 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 54 | 11% | 49% | |
| 55 | 10% | 37% | |
| 56 | 9% | 27% | |
| 57 | 7% | 18% | |
| 58 | 5% | 11% | |
| 59 | 2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Red C
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Business Post
- Fieldwork period: 14–21 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,575
- Error estimate: 0.78%