Opinion Poll by AKO, 21–26 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.5% 21.3–28.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.0–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Progresívne Slovensko 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 37–42 37–42 34–44 34–46
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 27 24–29 24–30 22–31 21–32
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 16 15–18 14–19 13–19 13–20
Slovenská národná strana 15 16 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
SME RODINA 11 16 14–18 13–18 12–18 12–20
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 14 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 12 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–16
MOST–HÍD 11 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 0–14
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Progresívne Slovensko 0 0 0 0 0 0
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 3% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 97%  
36 0.8% 96%  
37 41% 95%  
38 12% 54% Median
39 6% 43%  
40 7% 36%  
41 16% 29%  
42 9% 13%  
43 1.1% 4%  
44 2% 3%  
45 1.0% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
22 2% 99.5%  
23 1.3% 97%  
24 6% 96%  
25 22% 89%  
26 17% 67%  
27 8% 50% Median
28 21% 43%  
29 13% 22%  
30 7% 9%  
31 1.3% 3%  
32 1.2% 1.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 4% 99.8%  
14 2% 96%  
15 30% 93%  
16 38% 64% Median
17 15% 26% Last Result
18 4% 11%  
19 6% 8%  
20 1.1% 1.5%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 9% 98%  
14 15% 89%  
15 8% 74% Last Result
16 26% 66% Median
17 29% 41%  
18 8% 11%  
19 2% 3%  
20 1.5% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100% Last Result
12 4% 99.9%  
13 3% 96%  
14 14% 92%  
15 11% 78%  
16 21% 67% Median
17 20% 46%  
18 24% 26%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.1%  
12 12% 93%  
13 13% 81%  
14 26% 68% Last Result, Median
15 38% 42%  
16 1.4% 4%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 100%  
10 3% 99.3%  
11 11% 96%  
12 40% 85% Median
13 12% 45%  
14 16% 32%  
15 16% 17%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 0.5% 99.2%  
9 24% 98.8%  
10 59% 75% Median
11 13% 15% Last Result
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.3% 1.0%  
14 0.4% 0.7%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0.5% 0.6%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 89 84 100% 82–87 81–88 80–89 78–91
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 71 2% 67–74 67–75 67–75 65–78
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 64 0% 62–69 61–69 61–70 58–72
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 55 0% 51–58 51–59 51–60 49–62
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 54 0% 52–58 51–59 51–60 49–62
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 0% 37–42 37–42 34–44 34–46

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.7%  
79 1.0% 99.4%  
80 2% 98%  
81 3% 96%  
82 15% 93%  
83 18% 78%  
84 12% 60% Median
85 5% 48%  
86 17% 43%  
87 20% 26%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 4% Last Result
90 1.3% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 0.7% 99.5%  
66 1.1% 98.8%  
67 11% 98%  
68 4% 87%  
69 19% 83%  
70 9% 64% Median
71 11% 56%  
72 28% 44%  
73 5% 16%  
74 6% 11%  
75 3% 5% Last Result
76 1.3% 2% Majority
77 0.4% 1.1%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.4%  
60 1.1% 98.8%  
61 4% 98%  
62 13% 93%  
63 17% 80%  
64 28% 64% Median
65 7% 35%  
66 9% 28%  
67 7% 19%  
68 2% 12%  
69 6% 10%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 1.0% 1.4%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.7%  
50 0.4% 99.4%  
51 10% 99.0%  
52 6% 89%  
53 23% 83%  
54 3% 61% Median
55 19% 57%  
56 11% 39%  
57 11% 27%  
58 10% 16%  
59 3% 6%  
60 2% 3% Last Result
61 0.4% 1.4%  
62 0.7% 1.0%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.4% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 1.3% 99.3%  
51 3% 98%  
52 8% 95%  
53 23% 86%  
54 23% 63% Median
55 13% 40%  
56 9% 28%  
57 7% 19%  
58 2% 12%  
59 5% 10%  
60 3% 5%  
61 0.4% 2%  
62 1.3% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 3% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 97%  
36 0.8% 96%  
37 41% 95%  
38 12% 54% Median
39 6% 43%  
40 7% 36%  
41 16% 29%  
42 9% 13%  
43 1.1% 4%  
44 2% 3%  
45 1.0% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations