Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 4.0% (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.6–5.3% 2.4–5.6% 2.1–6.1%
11–13 February 2020 AKO 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
3–6 February 2020 AKO 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
24–31 January 2020 MVK 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.6–6.0% 3.2–6.5%
23–30 January 2020 Polis 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 4.0% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
15–17 January 2020 AKO 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
10–15 January 2020 Polis 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.1%
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
7–11 December 2019 Polis 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
19–25 November 2019 AKO 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
9–13 November 2019 Polis 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.4%
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
7–10 October 2019 AKO 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
18–25 September 2019 AKO 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
26–29 August 2019 AKO 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
12 August 2019 MVK 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
11–18 June 2019 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
28–31 May 2019 AKO 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
8–10 May 2019 AKO 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
1–2 April 2019 AKO 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
8–12 February 2019 AKO 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
27–28 November 2018 AKO 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
13–15 November 2018 AKO 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
3–8 October 2018 AKO 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
15–17 August 2018 AKO 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
18–21 June 2018 AKO 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
16–21 May 2018 AKO 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
20–24 April 2018 AKO 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
4–7 April 2018 AKO 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
21–26 February 2018 AKO 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 5% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 35% 95%  
3.5–4.5% 41% 61% Last Result, Median
4.5–5.5% 18% 20%  
5.5–6.5% 3% 3%  
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–11
11–13 February 2020 AKO 0 0 0 0 0–10
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
3–6 February 2020 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
24–31 January 2020 MVK 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–12
23–30 January 2020 Polis 0 0 0 0 0–9
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
15–17 January 2020 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
10–15 January 2020 Polis 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–9 0–9
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 0 0 0 0 0
7–11 December 2019 Polis 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–12
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–10 0–12
19–25 November 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
9–13 November 2019 Polis 0 0 0 0 0
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0–8
7–10 October 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
18–25 September 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0–8
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0
26–29 August 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
12 August 2019 MVK 0 0 0 0 0–8
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0–9
11–18 June 2019 Polis          
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–8 0–9
28–31 May 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
8–10 May 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–9
1–2 April 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS          
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0
8–12 February 2019 AKO 0 0 0 0 0–8
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0–8
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0–8
27–28 November 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
13–15 November 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0–8
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–8 0–9
3–8 October 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
15–17 August 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10
18–21 June 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10
16–21 May 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0 0 0
20–24 April 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
4–7 April 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
21–26 February 2018 AKO 0 0 0 0 0–8
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 0 0 0–8 0–8 0–9

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0% 9%  
9 5% 9%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.6%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%