Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 19–25 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
28.3% |
20.3% |
18.8–22.0% |
18.4–22.5% |
18.0–22.9% |
17.3–23.7% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
0.0% |
15.7% |
14.4–17.3% |
14.0–17.7% |
13.6–18.1% |
13.0–18.9% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
12.6% |
11.4–14.0% |
11.0–14.4% |
10.7–14.8% |
10.1–15.5% |
Slovenská národná strana |
8.6% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
12.1% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.3% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.3–9.5% |
SME RODINA |
6.6% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.9% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Za ľudí |
0.0% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
11.0% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.1% |
MOST–HÍD |
6.5% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.4% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.1–6.4% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
4.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
31 |
4% |
93% |
|
32 |
4% |
89% |
|
33 |
8% |
84% |
|
34 |
8% |
76% |
|
35 |
8% |
68% |
|
36 |
8% |
60% |
|
37 |
21% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
16% |
31% |
|
39 |
7% |
16% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
4% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
24 |
21% |
95% |
|
25 |
10% |
73% |
|
26 |
13% |
64% |
|
27 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
28 |
9% |
38% |
|
29 |
10% |
29% |
|
30 |
7% |
19% |
|
31 |
6% |
12% |
|
32 |
3% |
6% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
19 |
5% |
96% |
|
20 |
14% |
90% |
|
21 |
29% |
76% |
Median |
22 |
13% |
48% |
|
23 |
11% |
34% |
|
24 |
6% |
23% |
|
25 |
13% |
17% |
|
26 |
3% |
5% |
|
27 |
2% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
11 |
11% |
94% |
|
12 |
23% |
83% |
|
13 |
33% |
60% |
Median |
14 |
15% |
27% |
|
15 |
8% |
13% |
Last Result |
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
8% |
98% |
|
11 |
9% |
90% |
|
12 |
24% |
81% |
|
13 |
36% |
57% |
Median |
14 |
13% |
21% |
|
15 |
4% |
8% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
7% |
98% |
|
11 |
26% |
91% |
Last Result |
12 |
35% |
64% |
Median |
13 |
11% |
30% |
|
14 |
8% |
18% |
|
15 |
6% |
10% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
24% |
97% |
|
11 |
30% |
73% |
Median |
12 |
17% |
42% |
|
13 |
12% |
25% |
|
14 |
8% |
13% |
|
15 |
3% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
63% |
|
2 |
0% |
63% |
|
3 |
0% |
63% |
|
4 |
0% |
63% |
|
5 |
0% |
63% |
|
6 |
0% |
63% |
|
7 |
0% |
63% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
63% |
|
9 |
43% |
62% |
Median |
10 |
10% |
19% |
|
11 |
6% |
9% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
76% |
|
2 |
0% |
76% |
|
3 |
0% |
76% |
|
4 |
0% |
76% |
|
5 |
0% |
76% |
|
6 |
0% |
76% |
|
7 |
0% |
76% |
|
8 |
2% |
76% |
|
9 |
20% |
73% |
|
10 |
24% |
53% |
Median |
11 |
22% |
29% |
|
12 |
6% |
7% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
73% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
27% |
|
2 |
0% |
27% |
|
3 |
0% |
27% |
|
4 |
0% |
27% |
|
5 |
0% |
27% |
|
6 |
0% |
27% |
|
7 |
0% |
27% |
|
8 |
6% |
27% |
|
9 |
14% |
21% |
|
10 |
5% |
7% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
12 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
89 |
83 |
92% |
77–89 |
73–90 |
73–92 |
71–95 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
60 |
79 |
82% |
74–85 |
72–88 |
71–88 |
69–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD |
60 |
79 |
82% |
74–85 |
72–88 |
71–88 |
69–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
79 |
66% |
70–82 |
68–83 |
63–85 |
62–86 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
49 |
79 |
66% |
70–82 |
68–83 |
63–84 |
62–86 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
67 |
7% |
61–73 |
60–77 |
58–77 |
55–79 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD |
49 |
67 |
7% |
61–73 |
60–77 |
58–77 |
55–79 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
38 |
65 |
0.2% |
59–71 |
55–72 |
52–73 |
50–74 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
38 |
65 |
0.2% |
59–71 |
55–72 |
52–73 |
49–74 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
75 |
62 |
0% |
55–66 |
52–67 |
52–68 |
52–70 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
21 |
56 |
0% |
51–64 |
50–65 |
49–66 |
48–70 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
75 |
50 |
0% |
46–57 |
45–60 |
43–62 |
43–65 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
38 |
53 |
0% |
46–59 |
43–60 |
41–61 |
38–62 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
64 |
49 |
0% |
44–53 |
41–54 |
41–56 |
41–57 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
60 |
49 |
0% |
42–52 |
40–54 |
40–54 |
38–57 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí |
21 |
46 |
0% |
39–52 |
38–52 |
37–53 |
36–56 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
49 |
37 |
0% |
31–39 |
29–41 |
29–41 |
28–44 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
73 |
5% |
98% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
92% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
91% |
|
78 |
4% |
87% |
|
79 |
6% |
83% |
|
80 |
5% |
77% |
|
81 |
8% |
71% |
|
82 |
5% |
64% |
|
83 |
18% |
59% |
Median |
84 |
5% |
41% |
|
85 |
11% |
36% |
|
86 |
5% |
25% |
|
87 |
3% |
20% |
|
88 |
6% |
17% |
|
89 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
90 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
92 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
3% |
95% |
|
74 |
6% |
91% |
|
75 |
3% |
85% |
|
76 |
5% |
82% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
77% |
|
78 |
4% |
72% |
|
79 |
25% |
68% |
|
80 |
7% |
43% |
|
81 |
7% |
37% |
|
82 |
10% |
30% |
Median |
83 |
4% |
20% |
|
84 |
4% |
15% |
|
85 |
3% |
11% |
|
86 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
88 |
5% |
7% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
3% |
94% |
|
74 |
6% |
91% |
|
75 |
3% |
85% |
|
76 |
6% |
82% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
76% |
|
78 |
4% |
71% |
|
79 |
25% |
67% |
|
80 |
7% |
42% |
|
81 |
7% |
36% |
|
82 |
10% |
29% |
Median |
83 |
4% |
18% |
|
84 |
4% |
14% |
|
85 |
2% |
10% |
|
86 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
88 |
5% |
7% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
2% |
89% |
|
72 |
4% |
87% |
|
73 |
5% |
83% |
|
74 |
7% |
78% |
|
75 |
5% |
71% |
|
76 |
5% |
66% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
61% |
|
78 |
3% |
56% |
|
79 |
22% |
53% |
|
80 |
12% |
32% |
|
81 |
5% |
20% |
|
82 |
7% |
15% |
Median |
83 |
3% |
8% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
2% |
89% |
|
72 |
4% |
87% |
|
73 |
5% |
83% |
|
74 |
7% |
78% |
|
75 |
5% |
71% |
|
76 |
6% |
66% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
60% |
|
78 |
3% |
55% |
|
79 |
22% |
52% |
|
80 |
12% |
31% |
|
81 |
5% |
19% |
|
82 |
7% |
14% |
Median |
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
61 |
5% |
95% |
|
62 |
6% |
90% |
|
63 |
3% |
83% |
|
64 |
5% |
80% |
|
65 |
11% |
75% |
|
66 |
5% |
64% |
|
67 |
18% |
59% |
|
68 |
5% |
41% |
|
69 |
8% |
36% |
|
70 |
5% |
29% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
23% |
|
72 |
4% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
13% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
7% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
7% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
61 |
5% |
94% |
|
62 |
7% |
89% |
|
63 |
3% |
83% |
|
64 |
6% |
80% |
|
65 |
11% |
74% |
|
66 |
5% |
63% |
|
67 |
18% |
58% |
|
68 |
5% |
40% |
|
69 |
8% |
35% |
|
70 |
5% |
28% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
22% |
|
72 |
4% |
16% |
|
73 |
4% |
13% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
7% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
7% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
58 |
2% |
92% |
|
59 |
4% |
90% |
|
60 |
4% |
86% |
|
61 |
5% |
83% |
|
62 |
7% |
77% |
|
63 |
4% |
70% |
|
64 |
6% |
66% |
|
65 |
12% |
61% |
|
66 |
4% |
49% |
|
67 |
18% |
45% |
|
68 |
2% |
27% |
|
69 |
11% |
25% |
|
70 |
3% |
14% |
Median |
71 |
5% |
11% |
|
72 |
3% |
6% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
58 |
2% |
92% |
|
59 |
4% |
90% |
|
60 |
4% |
86% |
|
61 |
5% |
82% |
|
62 |
7% |
77% |
|
63 |
4% |
70% |
|
64 |
6% |
66% |
|
65 |
12% |
60% |
|
66 |
4% |
48% |
|
67 |
18% |
44% |
|
68 |
2% |
26% |
|
69 |
11% |
24% |
|
70 |
3% |
13% |
Median |
71 |
5% |
10% |
|
72 |
3% |
5% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
54 |
3% |
93% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
56 |
3% |
89% |
|
57 |
5% |
86% |
|
58 |
6% |
80% |
|
59 |
7% |
74% |
|
60 |
5% |
67% |
|
61 |
7% |
62% |
|
62 |
23% |
55% |
Median |
63 |
13% |
32% |
|
64 |
4% |
19% |
|
65 |
4% |
15% |
|
66 |
4% |
10% |
|
67 |
4% |
7% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
5% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
92% |
|
52 |
5% |
88% |
|
53 |
5% |
83% |
|
54 |
7% |
78% |
|
55 |
5% |
71% |
|
56 |
21% |
66% |
|
57 |
2% |
44% |
|
58 |
4% |
42% |
|
59 |
11% |
38% |
|
60 |
5% |
27% |
Median |
61 |
5% |
23% |
|
62 |
6% |
18% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
64 |
4% |
11% |
|
65 |
3% |
8% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
45 |
4% |
96% |
|
46 |
4% |
93% |
|
47 |
7% |
88% |
|
48 |
4% |
82% |
|
49 |
14% |
77% |
|
50 |
21% |
63% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
42% |
|
52 |
5% |
33% |
|
53 |
2% |
28% |
|
54 |
4% |
25% |
|
55 |
5% |
21% |
|
56 |
4% |
17% |
|
57 |
2% |
12% |
|
58 |
2% |
10% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
60 |
4% |
7% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
41 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
45 |
3% |
94% |
|
46 |
4% |
91% |
|
47 |
2% |
88% |
|
48 |
5% |
86% |
|
49 |
3% |
81% |
|
50 |
3% |
78% |
|
51 |
10% |
75% |
|
52 |
5% |
65% |
|
53 |
11% |
60% |
|
54 |
6% |
49% |
|
55 |
3% |
43% |
|
56 |
1.5% |
40% |
|
57 |
18% |
38% |
|
58 |
9% |
20% |
|
59 |
5% |
11% |
Median |
60 |
3% |
7% |
|
61 |
3% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
43 |
3% |
94% |
|
44 |
3% |
91% |
|
45 |
6% |
88% |
|
46 |
7% |
82% |
|
47 |
11% |
75% |
|
48 |
5% |
65% |
|
49 |
11% |
60% |
|
50 |
22% |
48% |
Median |
51 |
11% |
26% |
|
52 |
4% |
15% |
|
53 |
3% |
10% |
|
54 |
3% |
7% |
|
55 |
2% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
42 |
5% |
93% |
|
43 |
4% |
88% |
|
44 |
3% |
85% |
|
45 |
4% |
82% |
|
46 |
9% |
78% |
|
47 |
5% |
69% |
|
48 |
7% |
64% |
|
49 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
50 |
12% |
34% |
|
51 |
3% |
21% |
|
52 |
11% |
18% |
|
53 |
2% |
7% |
|
54 |
4% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
7% |
95% |
|
40 |
2% |
87% |
|
41 |
5% |
85% |
|
42 |
7% |
80% |
|
43 |
6% |
74% |
|
44 |
3% |
68% |
|
45 |
8% |
65% |
|
46 |
19% |
57% |
|
47 |
4% |
38% |
|
48 |
11% |
34% |
|
49 |
6% |
23% |
Median |
50 |
5% |
17% |
|
51 |
2% |
12% |
|
52 |
6% |
10% |
|
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
31 |
4% |
93% |
|
32 |
4% |
89% |
|
33 |
8% |
84% |
|
34 |
8% |
76% |
|
35 |
8% |
68% |
|
36 |
8% |
60% |
|
37 |
21% |
53% |
Median |
38 |
16% |
31% |
|
39 |
7% |
16% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
4% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1023
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.09%