Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 1–7 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.3–24.4% 18.6–25.3%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 12.1% 10.8–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
SME RODINA 6.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Za ľudí 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 35–41 33–42 32–42 31–45
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 24 22–26 21–27 21–28 20–30
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 20 18–24 18–25 17–25 17–26
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 14 11–15 11–16 10–17 9–18
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 11 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Slovenská národná strana 15 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–16
SME RODINA 11 11 10–13 9–13 9–14 0–14
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 11 9–13 9–13 0–14 0–14
Za ľudí 0 0 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 2% 99.9%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.8% 95%  
34 1.4% 94%  
35 4% 93%  
36 5% 89%  
37 10% 85%  
38 31% 75% Median
39 20% 44%  
40 9% 24%  
41 8% 15%  
42 5% 7%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 0.8% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.1% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.6%  
21 5% 99.0%  
22 6% 94%  
23 12% 88%  
24 44% 76% Median
25 18% 32%  
26 6% 14%  
27 4% 8%  
28 2% 4%  
29 1.1% 2%  
30 0.7% 1.1%  
31 0.2% 0.3%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 4% 99.6%  
18 7% 96%  
19 12% 89%  
20 29% 77% Median
21 7% 48%  
22 14% 41%  
23 12% 27%  
24 6% 14%  
25 7% 8%  
26 0.7% 1.1%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.4%  
11 8% 96%  
12 19% 88%  
13 9% 68%  
14 40% 59% Median
15 11% 20%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0.7% 99.8%  
10 13% 99.1%  
11 40% 86% Median
12 22% 46%  
13 11% 24%  
14 10% 14%  
15 2% 4%  
16 0.9% 1.3%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.1% 99.6%  
9 4% 99.5%  
10 11% 95%  
11 16% 84%  
12 37% 69% Median
13 20% 32%  
14 9% 12%  
15 2% 3% Last Result
16 0.6% 1.0%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.2% 98%  
9 5% 98%  
10 22% 92%  
11 35% 71% Last Result, Median
12 20% 36%  
13 13% 16%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.3% 0.5%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 1.4% 97%  
9 16% 96%  
10 23% 80%  
11 37% 56% Median
12 9% 20%  
13 7% 10%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0% 41%  
7 0% 41%  
8 1.4% 41%  
9 16% 39%  
10 16% 23%  
11 5% 7%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0% 43%  
7 0% 43%  
8 0.8% 43%  
9 33% 42%  
10 7% 9%  
11 2% 2% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0% 0.4%  
5 0% 0.4%  
6 0% 0.4%  
7 0% 0.4%  
8 0% 0.4%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 89 81 93% 77–89 73–91 73–91 71–92
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 80 79% 72–84 71–87 71–87 68–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD 60 80 79% 72–84 71–86 71–87 68–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 74 43% 70–82 69–82 68–84 64–85
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí 49 74 42% 70–82 69–82 68–84 64–85
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 69 6% 61–73 59–77 59–77 58–79
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD 49 69 6% 61–73 59–77 59–77 58–79
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 63 0.5% 59–69 59–71 58–73 53–75
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí 38 63 0.5% 59–69 59–70 57–73 53–75
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 61 0% 57–66 55–67 53–67 50–69
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí 21 52 0% 49–60 48–60 47–63 45–65
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 54 0% 49–59 48–60 47–60 44–63
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí 38 49 0% 45–57 44–58 44–59 40–63
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 50 0% 47–54 45–56 43–56 42–58
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 49 0% 45–53 43–53 41–54 38–56
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí 21 38 0% 35–46 34–48 34–48 32–51
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 0% 35–41 33–42 32–42 31–45

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 2% 99.4%  
73 3% 98%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 0.7% 94%  
76 3% 93% Majority
77 2% 90%  
78 3% 88%  
79 6% 85%  
80 4% 80%  
81 30% 75% Median
82 8% 45%  
83 5% 37%  
84 8% 32%  
85 2% 24%  
86 4% 23%  
87 3% 19%  
88 2% 16%  
89 7% 14% Last Result
90 0.7% 7%  
91 6% 6%  
92 0.1% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 0.5% 99.0%  
71 6% 98.5% Median
72 4% 93%  
73 3% 88%  
74 4% 85%  
75 2% 81%  
76 5% 79% Majority
77 3% 74%  
78 14% 71%  
79 3% 56%  
80 22% 54%  
81 7% 32%  
82 11% 25%  
83 3% 14%  
84 3% 11%  
85 2% 7%  
86 0.3% 5%  
87 3% 5%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 99.5%  
70 0.5% 98.9%  
71 6% 98% Median
72 4% 92%  
73 3% 88%  
74 4% 85%  
75 3% 81%  
76 5% 79% Majority
77 3% 74%  
78 14% 71%  
79 3% 56%  
80 22% 53%  
81 7% 32%  
82 11% 25%  
83 3% 13%  
84 3% 10%  
85 2% 7%  
86 0.3% 5%  
87 3% 5%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 0.4% 99.2%  
66 0.2% 98.8%  
67 0.4% 98.6%  
68 1.0% 98%  
69 5% 97%  
70 2% 92%  
71 25% 90% Median
72 9% 65%  
73 5% 56%  
74 4% 51%  
75 4% 47%  
76 5% 43% Majority
77 3% 37%  
78 14% 35%  
79 2% 21%  
80 3% 19%  
81 4% 16%  
82 8% 12%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.9% 1.2%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – SME RODINA – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 0.4% 99.1%  
66 0.3% 98.8%  
67 0.4% 98%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 5% 97%  
70 2% 92%  
71 25% 90% Median
72 9% 64%  
73 5% 55%  
74 4% 51%  
75 4% 46%  
76 5% 42% Majority
77 3% 37%  
78 14% 34%  
79 2% 21%  
80 3% 19%  
81 4% 16%  
82 8% 12%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.9% 1.2%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 99.6%  
58 0.1% 99.5%  
59 6% 99.4%  
60 0.7% 94% Median
61 7% 93%  
62 2% 86%  
63 3% 84%  
64 4% 81%  
65 2% 77%  
66 8% 76%  
67 5% 68%  
68 8% 63%  
69 30% 55%  
70 4% 25%  
71 6% 20%  
72 3% 15%  
73 2% 12%  
74 3% 10%  
75 0.7% 7%  
76 0.7% 6% Majority
77 3% 5%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 99.6%  
58 0.1% 99.5%  
59 6% 99.4%  
60 0.7% 93% Median
61 7% 93%  
62 2% 86%  
63 3% 84%  
64 4% 81%  
65 2% 77%  
66 8% 75%  
67 5% 68%  
68 8% 63%  
69 30% 55%  
70 4% 25%  
71 6% 20%  
72 3% 14%  
73 2% 12%  
74 3% 9%  
75 0.7% 6%  
76 0.6% 6% Majority
77 3% 5%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.6%  
54 0.1% 99.4%  
55 0.2% 99.2%  
56 0.5% 99.1%  
57 1.0% 98.6%  
58 0.4% 98%  
59 12% 97%  
60 19% 85% Median
61 10% 66%  
62 4% 56%  
63 5% 51%  
64 4% 46%  
65 3% 42%  
66 8% 39%  
67 4% 32%  
68 7% 27%  
69 12% 21%  
70 4% 9%  
71 0.8% 5%  
72 1.0% 4%  
73 1.3% 3%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.3% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.5% Majority
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 0.1% 99.3%  
55 0.2% 99.2%  
56 0.5% 99.0%  
57 1.0% 98.5%  
58 0.5% 97%  
59 12% 97%  
60 20% 85% Median
61 10% 66%  
62 4% 55%  
63 5% 51%  
64 4% 46%  
65 3% 42%  
66 8% 39%  
67 4% 31%  
68 6% 27%  
69 11% 20%  
70 4% 9%  
71 0.8% 5%  
72 1.0% 4%  
73 1.3% 3%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.2% 0.7%  
76 0.2% 0.5% Majority
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.5%  
51 0.5% 99.3%  
52 0.3% 98.8%  
53 2% 98.5%  
54 1.2% 97%  
55 0.8% 96%  
56 4% 95%  
57 4% 91%  
58 2% 87%  
59 11% 85%  
60 9% 74%  
61 25% 65% Median
62 10% 40%  
63 6% 30%  
64 4% 24%  
65 6% 20%  
66 8% 14%  
67 5% 6%  
68 0.5% 1.3%  
69 0.4% 0.8%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.3% 99.5%  
46 0.3% 99.2%  
47 2% 98.9%  
48 5% 97%  
49 28% 92% Median
50 6% 64%  
51 3% 57%  
52 6% 54%  
53 7% 48%  
54 1.2% 41%  
55 4% 40%  
56 3% 36%  
57 6% 33%  
58 8% 27%  
59 4% 20%  
60 10% 15%  
61 1.2% 5%  
62 0.8% 4%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.2% 0.9%  
65 0.2% 0.7%  
66 0.3% 0.5%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 1.0% 99.8%  
45 0.4% 98.8%  
46 0.5% 98%  
47 2% 98%  
48 3% 96%  
49 13% 93%  
50 4% 79% Median
51 6% 75%  
52 8% 69%  
53 5% 60%  
54 9% 55%  
55 4% 46%  
56 6% 42%  
57 3% 36%  
58 8% 33%  
59 18% 25%  
60 5% 7%  
61 1.1% 2%  
62 0.4% 1.4%  
63 0.5% 1.0%  
64 0.3% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 0.1% 99.6%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 0.9% 99.2%  
43 0.4% 98%  
44 5% 98%  
45 4% 92%  
46 18% 89% Median
47 16% 70%  
48 3% 54%  
49 4% 51%  
50 1.0% 47%  
51 1.1% 46%  
52 6% 45%  
53 5% 39%  
54 5% 34%  
55 12% 30%  
56 8% 18%  
57 4% 10%  
58 1.4% 6%  
59 4% 5%  
60 0.3% 1.2%  
61 0.1% 0.9%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.4% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.8%  
40 0% 99.8%  
41 0.1% 99.7%  
42 0.4% 99.6%  
43 2% 99.3%  
44 1.4% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 5% 86%  
49 21% 81%  
50 24% 60% Median
51 8% 36%  
52 9% 28%  
53 4% 19%  
54 8% 15%  
55 1.0% 7%  
56 5% 6%  
57 1.0% 2%  
58 0.5% 0.9%  
59 0.1% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.3% 99.8%  
39 0.4% 99.5%  
40 0.2% 99.1%  
41 2% 98.9%  
42 2% 97%  
43 1.0% 96%  
44 2% 95%  
45 5% 93%  
46 2% 88%  
47 6% 86%  
48 6% 80%  
49 28% 74% Median
50 12% 46%  
51 14% 33%  
52 2% 20%  
53 15% 18%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.4% 1.1%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
61 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.8%  
32 0.7% 99.7%  
33 0.6% 99.0%  
34 8% 98%  
35 25% 91% Median
36 9% 66%  
37 3% 56%  
38 4% 53%  
39 4% 50%  
40 1.1% 45%  
41 2% 44%  
42 1.2% 42%  
43 4% 41%  
44 7% 36%  
45 5% 29%  
46 16% 24%  
47 2% 8%  
48 4% 6%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.4%  
51 0.4% 0.9%  
52 0.4% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 2% 99.9%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.8% 95%  
34 1.4% 94%  
35 4% 93%  
36 5% 89%  
37 10% 85%  
38 31% 75% Median
39 20% 44%  
40 9% 24%  
41 8% 15%  
42 5% 7%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 0.8% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.1% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations