Opinion Poll by MVK, 12 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 20.7% 19.1–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.3–23.3% 17.6–24.2%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Za ľudí 0.0% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 33–40 33–41 32–42 31–44
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 24 22–26 21–27 20–28 19–29
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 17 14–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Slovenská národná strana 15 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 11–20
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 15 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Za ľudí 0 14 12–16 12–17 11–18 11–19
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 12 10–14 10–15 10–15 9–17
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 10 0–12 0–12 0–12 0–14
SME RODINA 11 10 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0 0 0–8 0–10
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–8

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100%  
31 1.4% 99.6%  
32 2% 98%  
33 25% 97%  
34 8% 72%  
35 8% 64%  
36 16% 56% Median
37 8% 40%  
38 7% 32%  
39 15% 25%  
40 3% 10%  
41 3% 8%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.5% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.9% 99.7%  
20 1.5% 98.8%  
21 6% 97%  
22 22% 91%  
23 19% 69%  
24 17% 50% Median
25 18% 34%  
26 6% 16%  
27 7% 10%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.7% 1.1%  
30 0.1% 0.4%  
31 0.2% 0.3%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.5% 99.7%  
14 9% 98%  
15 7% 89%  
16 24% 82%  
17 11% 58% Median
18 25% 46%  
19 11% 21%  
20 7% 10%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 0.9%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.8%  
13 14% 97%  
14 11% 83%  
15 31% 72% Last Result, Median
16 21% 41%  
17 14% 20%  
18 3% 6%  
19 1.0% 3%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.8%  
12 4% 98%  
13 21% 94%  
14 20% 73% Last Result
15 20% 53% Median
16 24% 33%  
17 7% 10%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.2% 1.3%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 4% 99.8%  
12 10% 96%  
13 30% 87%  
14 30% 56% Median
15 6% 26%  
16 12% 20%  
17 4% 8%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 9% 98%  
11 15% 89%  
12 28% 74% Median
13 26% 46%  
14 11% 20%  
15 7% 9%  
16 1.1% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 0% 85%  
9 28% 85%  
10 22% 57% Median
11 18% 34%  
12 15% 17%  
13 0.7% 1.3%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 0% 77%  
8 0% 77%  
9 18% 77%  
10 38% 59% Median
11 15% 21% Last Result
12 4% 6%  
13 1.2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.4%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 1.1% 3%  
9 1.0% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.6%  
11 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
12 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0% 0.9%  
5 0% 0.9%  
6 0% 0.9%  
7 0% 0.9%  
8 0.4% 0.9%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 85 98.7% 79–88 78–88 76–90 73–92
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 85 98% 79–88 78–88 76–90 72–92
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 85 98% 79–88 77–88 76–89 71–91
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 85 97% 79–88 77–88 75–89 70–91
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 76 58% 71–82 69–83 68–83 66–86
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 76 57% 71–82 69–83 68–83 66–85
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 76 56% 71–81 69–83 68–83 65–84
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 76 56% 71–81 69–83 68–83 65–84
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA 89 74 27% 68–79 67–81 67–82 64–84
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 63 0% 58–69 57–69 55–70 53–71
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 59 0% 54–64 52–65 52–66 49–69
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 59 0% 53–63 52–64 50–65 48–68
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 51 0% 48–56 48–58 46–58 44–62
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 51 0% 48–55 47–57 46–58 44–61
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 47 0% 40–51 39–51 38–52 35–55
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 44 0% 39–49 38–50 36–52 35–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 0% 33–40 33–41 32–42 31–44

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.3% 99.1%  
76 2% 98.7% Majority
77 1.1% 97%  
78 1.1% 95%  
79 6% 94%  
80 5% 88%  
81 6% 83%  
82 4% 78%  
83 12% 73%  
84 7% 61%  
85 16% 54%  
86 20% 38%  
87 2% 18% Median
88 11% 16%  
89 1.1% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.8% 1.4%  
92 0.1% 0.6%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 0.4% 99.3%  
75 0.4% 98.8%  
76 2% 98% Majority
77 1.2% 96%  
78 1.1% 95%  
79 6% 94%  
80 5% 88%  
81 6% 83%  
82 5% 77%  
83 12% 73%  
84 7% 60%  
85 16% 54%  
86 20% 38%  
87 2% 18% Median
88 11% 15%  
89 1.1% 4%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.8% 1.3%  
92 0.1% 0.6%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.7%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.5%  
72 0.2% 99.4%  
73 0.2% 99.2%  
74 0.5% 99.0%  
75 0.4% 98.6%  
76 2% 98% Majority
77 1.4% 96%  
78 1.1% 94%  
79 7% 93%  
80 5% 87%  
81 6% 82%  
82 5% 76%  
83 13% 71%  
84 6% 59%  
85 16% 52%  
86 20% 36%  
87 2% 16% Median
88 11% 14%  
89 0.9% 3%  
90 1.4% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.1% 0.5%  
93 0.4% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.3% 99.3%  
73 0.2% 99.0%  
74 0.9% 98.8%  
75 0.4% 98%  
76 2% 97% Majority
77 1.5% 95%  
78 1.1% 94%  
79 7% 93%  
80 5% 86%  
81 6% 81%  
82 4% 75%  
83 13% 71%  
84 6% 59%  
85 16% 52%  
86 20% 36%  
87 2% 16% Median
88 11% 14%  
89 0.8% 3%  
90 1.4% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.1% 0.5%  
93 0.4% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 2% 98.8%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 3% 92%  
72 2% 89%  
73 7% 87%  
74 7% 80%  
75 15% 73%  
76 10% 58% Majority
77 22% 48% Median
78 2% 26%  
79 7% 24%  
80 4% 17%  
81 3% 13%  
82 3% 10%  
83 6% 7%  
84 0.5% 1.3%  
85 0.2% 0.8%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.4% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.1%  
68 2% 98.7%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 3% 92%  
72 2% 89%  
73 8% 87%  
74 7% 79%  
75 15% 73%  
76 10% 57% Majority
77 22% 47% Median
78 2% 25%  
79 7% 23%  
80 4% 17%  
81 2% 12%  
82 3% 10%  
83 6% 7%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.6% 98.9%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 96%  
70 3% 94%  
71 3% 91%  
72 2% 88%  
73 8% 86%  
74 7% 78%  
75 15% 71%  
76 10% 56% Majority
77 22% 46% Median
78 1.5% 24%  
79 7% 23%  
80 4% 16%  
81 2% 12%  
82 3% 10%  
83 6% 7%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.0%  
67 0.6% 98%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 96%  
70 3% 93%  
71 3% 90%  
72 2% 87%  
73 7% 85%  
74 7% 78%  
75 15% 71%  
76 10% 56% Majority
77 22% 46% Median
78 1.4% 24%  
79 6% 22%  
80 4% 16%  
81 2% 12%  
82 3% 9%  
83 6% 6%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 0% 99.7%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.5% 99.2%  
67 6% 98.7%  
68 3% 93%  
69 3% 90%  
70 4% 87%  
71 7% 83%  
72 2% 76%  
73 22% 74%  
74 10% 52%  
75 15% 42%  
76 7% 27% Median, Majority
77 7% 20%  
78 2% 13%  
79 3% 11%  
80 3% 8%  
81 2% 5%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.4% 1.2%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
90 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 2% 99.7%  
54 0.2% 98%  
55 2% 98%  
56 1.0% 96%  
57 3% 95%  
58 5% 92%  
59 3% 87%  
60 1.2% 84%  
61 6% 83%  
62 16% 77%  
63 12% 61%  
64 5% 49%  
65 16% 44% Median
66 2% 28%  
67 11% 26%  
68 2% 15%  
69 10% 13%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.4% 0.9%  
72 0.3% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.5%  
51 0.2% 99.3%  
52 8% 99.2%  
53 1.1% 91%  
54 1.5% 90%  
55 5% 89%  
56 5% 84%  
57 5% 79%  
58 6% 74%  
59 23% 68%  
60 19% 46%  
61 6% 27% Median
62 1.3% 21%  
63 5% 19%  
64 7% 15%  
65 3% 7%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.4%  
69 0.8% 1.1%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.7% 99.7%  
49 0.7% 99.0%  
50 2% 98%  
51 0.7% 96%  
52 2% 96%  
53 5% 94%  
54 2% 89%  
55 3% 87%  
56 1.4% 84%  
57 3% 83%  
58 13% 80%  
59 33% 66%  
60 5% 33% Median
61 9% 28%  
62 6% 20%  
63 9% 14%  
64 2% 5%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 1.4% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.3% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.3% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 1.0% 99.3%  
46 0.9% 98%  
47 1.2% 97%  
48 13% 96%  
49 16% 83%  
50 7% 67%  
51 17% 61% Median
52 10% 44%  
53 7% 34%  
54 9% 27%  
55 7% 18%  
56 4% 11%  
57 2% 7%  
58 3% 5%  
59 0.6% 2%  
60 0.3% 2%  
61 0.8% 2%  
62 0.3% 0.7%  
63 0.1% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.3% 100%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 1.2% 99.3%  
46 1.1% 98%  
47 2% 97%  
48 14% 95%  
49 16% 81%  
50 7% 65%  
51 17% 59% Median
52 10% 42%  
53 7% 32%  
54 9% 25%  
55 6% 16%  
56 4% 10%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 0.3% 1.1%  
61 0.5% 0.8%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0.6% 99.8%  
36 0.5% 99.2%  
37 0.7% 98.7%  
38 1.4% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 6% 95%  
41 4% 89%  
42 1.2% 86%  
43 2% 84%  
44 2% 83%  
45 1.3% 81%  
46 20% 80%  
47 24% 60%  
48 12% 36% Median
49 10% 24%  
50 4% 14%  
51 7% 10%  
52 1.2% 3%  
53 0.5% 2%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.2% 0.5%  
56 0% 0.3%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.8%  
34 0.1% 99.7%  
35 0.8% 99.6%  
36 2% 98.8%  
37 2% 97%  
38 5% 95%  
39 6% 90%  
40 1.1% 84%  
41 4% 83%  
42 3% 79%  
43 19% 76%  
44 15% 57%  
45 15% 41%  
46 4% 26% Median
47 6% 22%  
48 2% 16%  
49 9% 14%  
50 0.8% 5%  
51 1.3% 4%  
52 1.2% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100%  
31 1.4% 99.6%  
32 2% 98%  
33 25% 97%  
34 8% 72%  
35 8% 64%  
36 16% 56% Median
37 8% 40%  
38 7% 32%  
39 15% 25%  
40 3% 10%  
41 3% 8%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.5% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations