Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 11–17 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 28.3% | 21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.7–23.9% | 19.3–24.3% | 18.5–25.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.1–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.6% | 10.8–16.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.5–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.4–13.3% |
| SME RODINA | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.3–9.5% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Za ľudí | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.8% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 12.1% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| MOST–HÍD | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Dobrá voľba | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 37 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 32–46 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 23 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 14 | 17 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 15–23 |
| SME RODINA | 11 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–16 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 17 | 13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 15 | 13 | 9–14 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Za ľudí | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 21 | 10 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 0–14 |
| MOST–HÍD | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 6% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 91% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 37 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 44% | |
| 39 | 9% | 33% | |
| 40 | 11% | 24% | |
| 41 | 3% | 12% | |
| 42 | 7% | 9% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 10% | 96% | |
| 22 | 10% | 86% | |
| 23 | 48% | 76% | Median |
| 24 | 11% | 28% | |
| 25 | 11% | 17% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 7% | 97% | |
| 17 | 57% | 91% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 34% | |
| 19 | 3% | 28% | |
| 20 | 11% | 25% | |
| 21 | 3% | 14% | |
| 22 | 10% | 11% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 12% | 97% | Last Result |
| 12 | 16% | 85% | |
| 13 | 21% | 69% | Median |
| 14 | 42% | 49% | |
| 15 | 2% | 7% | |
| 16 | 4% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 11% | 98% | |
| 11 | 46% | 88% | Median |
| 12 | 9% | 41% | |
| 13 | 24% | 32% | |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 5% | 97% | |
| 11 | 12% | 92% | |
| 12 | 15% | 80% | |
| 13 | 53% | 65% | Median |
| 14 | 11% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 3% | 91% | |
| 10 | 8% | 88% | |
| 11 | 5% | 80% | |
| 12 | 16% | 75% | |
| 13 | 45% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 14% | |
| 15 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 5% | 94% | |
| 11 | 19% | 89% | |
| 12 | 60% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 9 | 11% | 98% | |
| 10 | 47% | 87% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 40% | |
| 12 | 9% | 25% | |
| 13 | 14% | 16% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 60 | 83 | 98% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 76–88 | 71–90 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD | 60 | 83 | 98% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 76–88 | 71–90 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 49 | 83 | 97% | 78–88 | 77–88 | 75–88 | 71–89 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita | 49 | 83 | 97% | 78–88 | 77–88 | 75–88 | 71–89 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 89 | 81 | 89% | 75–83 | 75–84 | 75–87 | 71–92 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 49 | 69 | 2% | 67–75 | 66–75 | 63–75 | 58–79 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD | 49 | 69 | 1.5% | 67–75 | 66–75 | 63–75 | 58–78 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 38 | 69 | 0.6% | 67–74 | 65–75 | 63–75 | 58–76 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita | 38 | 69 | 0.5% | 67–74 | 65–75 | 63–75 | 58–75 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 75 | 64 | 0% | 55–65 | 53–66 | 53–68 | 53–73 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita | 21 | 56 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–63 | 52–63 | 47–65 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita | 38 | 58 | 0% | 55–62 | 53–62 | 51–62 | 45–63 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 60 | 51 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–55 | 46–55 | 43–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 75 | 50 | 0% | 44–53 | 40–55 | 40–55 | 40–61 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 64 | 50 | 0% | 44–52 | 40–53 | 40–55 | 40–61 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita | 21 | 45 | 0% | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–50 | 33–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 32–46 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 7% | 96% | |
| 79 | 2% | 89% | |
| 80 | 6% | 87% | |
| 81 | 2% | 81% | |
| 82 | 12% | 78% | Median |
| 83 | 42% | 66% | |
| 84 | 4% | 24% | |
| 85 | 5% | 19% | |
| 86 | 1.5% | 14% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 88 | 9% | 12% | |
| 89 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 7% | 96% | |
| 79 | 2% | 89% | |
| 80 | 6% | 87% | |
| 81 | 3% | 81% | |
| 82 | 12% | 78% | Median |
| 83 | 42% | 66% | |
| 84 | 4% | 24% | |
| 85 | 5% | 19% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 88 | 9% | 11% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 97% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 78 | 7% | 95% | |
| 79 | 2% | 88% | |
| 80 | 7% | 85% | |
| 81 | 3% | 79% | |
| 82 | 12% | 76% | Median |
| 83 | 42% | 64% | |
| 84 | 4% | 22% | |
| 85 | 5% | 18% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 88 | 9% | 11% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 97% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 78 | 7% | 95% | |
| 79 | 2% | 87% | |
| 80 | 7% | 85% | |
| 81 | 3% | 79% | |
| 82 | 12% | 76% | Median |
| 83 | 42% | 64% | |
| 84 | 4% | 21% | |
| 85 | 5% | 18% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 88 | 9% | 10% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 9% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 89% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 87% | |
| 78 | 3% | 82% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 80 | 11% | 77% | Median |
| 81 | 45% | 67% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 10% | 17% | |
| 84 | 2% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 10% | 93% | |
| 68 | 5% | 83% | |
| 69 | 45% | 78% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 33% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 72 | 3% | 22% | |
| 73 | 5% | 18% | |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 9% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 10% | 93% | |
| 68 | 5% | 83% | |
| 69 | 45% | 78% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 33% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 3% | 21% | |
| 73 | 5% | 18% | |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 9% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 10% | 92% | |
| 68 | 5% | 82% | |
| 69 | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 31% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 20% | |
| 73 | 5% | 16% | |
| 74 | 2% | 11% | |
| 75 | 9% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 10% | 91% | |
| 68 | 5% | 81% | |
| 69 | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 31% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 19% | |
| 73 | 5% | 16% | |
| 74 | 2% | 11% | |
| 75 | 9% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 59 | 3% | 88% | |
| 60 | 6% | 85% | |
| 61 | 2% | 79% | |
| 62 | 4% | 76% | |
| 63 | 17% | 72% | Median |
| 64 | 44% | 56% | |
| 65 | 4% | 12% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 90% | |
| 55 | 4% | 88% | |
| 56 | 47% | 85% | Median |
| 57 | 10% | 38% | |
| 58 | 5% | 28% | |
| 59 | 7% | 23% | |
| 60 | 2% | 16% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 62 | 3% | 13% | |
| 63 | 9% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 55 | 8% | 93% | |
| 56 | 3% | 85% | |
| 57 | 19% | 82% | |
| 58 | 42% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 22% | |
| 60 | 7% | 19% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 62 | 11% | 12% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 92% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 49 | 4% | 88% | |
| 50 | 4% | 84% | Median |
| 51 | 52% | 80% | |
| 52 | 4% | 27% | |
| 53 | 16% | 24% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 4% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 42 | 0% | 91% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 44 | 2% | 91% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 47 | 3% | 87% | |
| 48 | 5% | 84% | |
| 49 | 3% | 79% | |
| 50 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 29% | |
| 52 | 9% | 20% | |
| 53 | 5% | 11% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 3% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 44 | 2% | 90% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 46 | 2% | 87% | |
| 47 | 3% | 86% | |
| 48 | 5% | 82% | |
| 49 | 3% | 77% | |
| 50 | 48% | 74% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 27% | |
| 52 | 9% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 9% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 8% | 94% | |
| 44 | 14% | 86% | |
| 45 | 44% | 72% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 28% | |
| 47 | 3% | 19% | |
| 48 | 2% | 17% | |
| 49 | 3% | 15% | |
| 50 | 11% | 12% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 6% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 91% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 37 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 44% | |
| 39 | 9% | 33% | |
| 40 | 11% | 24% | |
| 41 | 3% | 12% | |
| 42 | 7% | 9% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1027
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.55%