Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 11–17 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
28.3% |
21.7% |
20.1–23.4% |
19.7–23.9% |
19.3–24.3% |
18.5–25.2% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
0.0% |
13.3% |
12.1–14.8% |
11.7–15.2% |
11.4–15.6% |
10.8–16.3% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
10.6% |
9.5–11.9% |
9.1–12.3% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.3% |
SME RODINA |
6.6% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.3–9.5% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.9% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
11.0% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Slovenská národná strana |
8.6% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Za ľudí |
0.0% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.4–7.9% |
5.2–8.2% |
4.8–8.8% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
12.1% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.7% |
MOST–HÍD |
6.5% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
4.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Dobrá voľba |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
34 |
6% |
97% |
|
35 |
4% |
91% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
37 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
38 |
11% |
44% |
|
39 |
9% |
33% |
|
40 |
11% |
24% |
|
41 |
3% |
12% |
|
42 |
7% |
9% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
21 |
10% |
96% |
|
22 |
10% |
86% |
|
23 |
48% |
76% |
Median |
24 |
11% |
28% |
|
25 |
11% |
17% |
|
26 |
3% |
6% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
7% |
97% |
|
17 |
57% |
91% |
Median |
18 |
5% |
34% |
|
19 |
3% |
28% |
|
20 |
11% |
25% |
|
21 |
3% |
14% |
|
22 |
10% |
11% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
12% |
97% |
Last Result |
12 |
16% |
85% |
|
13 |
21% |
69% |
Median |
14 |
42% |
49% |
|
15 |
2% |
7% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
11% |
98% |
|
11 |
46% |
88% |
Median |
12 |
9% |
41% |
|
13 |
24% |
32% |
|
14 |
5% |
8% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
5% |
97% |
|
11 |
12% |
92% |
|
12 |
15% |
80% |
|
13 |
53% |
65% |
Median |
14 |
11% |
12% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
91% |
|
2 |
0% |
91% |
|
3 |
0% |
91% |
|
4 |
0% |
91% |
|
5 |
0% |
91% |
|
6 |
0% |
91% |
|
7 |
0% |
91% |
|
8 |
0% |
91% |
|
9 |
3% |
91% |
|
10 |
8% |
88% |
|
11 |
5% |
80% |
|
12 |
16% |
75% |
|
13 |
45% |
59% |
Median |
14 |
8% |
14% |
|
15 |
5% |
6% |
Last Result |
16 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
5% |
94% |
|
11 |
19% |
89% |
|
12 |
60% |
70% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
10% |
|
14 |
3% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
0% |
98% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
9 |
11% |
98% |
|
10 |
47% |
87% |
Median |
11 |
15% |
40% |
|
12 |
9% |
25% |
|
13 |
14% |
16% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
9 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
60 |
83 |
98% |
78–88 |
78–88 |
76–88 |
71–90 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD |
60 |
83 |
98% |
78–88 |
78–88 |
76–88 |
71–90 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
83 |
97% |
78–88 |
77–88 |
75–88 |
71–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita |
49 |
83 |
97% |
78–88 |
77–88 |
75–88 |
71–89 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
89 |
81 |
89% |
75–83 |
75–84 |
75–87 |
71–92 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
69 |
2% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
63–75 |
58–79 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD |
49 |
69 |
1.5% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
63–75 |
58–78 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
38 |
69 |
0.6% |
67–74 |
65–75 |
63–75 |
58–76 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita |
38 |
69 |
0.5% |
67–74 |
65–75 |
63–75 |
58–75 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
75 |
64 |
0% |
55–65 |
53–66 |
53–68 |
53–73 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita |
21 |
56 |
0% |
54–63 |
53–63 |
52–63 |
47–65 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita |
38 |
58 |
0% |
55–62 |
53–62 |
51–62 |
45–63 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
60 |
51 |
0% |
47–53 |
46–55 |
46–55 |
43–58 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
75 |
50 |
0% |
44–53 |
40–55 |
40–55 |
40–61 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
64 |
50 |
0% |
44–52 |
40–53 |
40–55 |
40–61 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita |
21 |
45 |
0% |
43–50 |
42–50 |
41–50 |
33–52 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
49 |
37 |
0% |
35–41 |
34–42 |
33–42 |
32–46 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
78 |
7% |
96% |
|
79 |
2% |
89% |
|
80 |
6% |
87% |
|
81 |
2% |
81% |
|
82 |
12% |
78% |
Median |
83 |
42% |
66% |
|
84 |
4% |
24% |
|
85 |
5% |
19% |
|
86 |
1.5% |
14% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
88 |
9% |
12% |
|
89 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
78 |
7% |
96% |
|
79 |
2% |
89% |
|
80 |
6% |
87% |
|
81 |
3% |
81% |
|
82 |
12% |
78% |
Median |
83 |
42% |
66% |
|
84 |
4% |
24% |
|
85 |
5% |
19% |
|
86 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
88 |
9% |
11% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
78 |
7% |
95% |
|
79 |
2% |
88% |
|
80 |
7% |
85% |
|
81 |
3% |
79% |
|
82 |
12% |
76% |
Median |
83 |
42% |
64% |
|
84 |
4% |
22% |
|
85 |
5% |
18% |
|
86 |
1.3% |
13% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
88 |
9% |
11% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
78 |
7% |
95% |
|
79 |
2% |
87% |
|
80 |
7% |
85% |
|
81 |
3% |
79% |
|
82 |
12% |
76% |
Median |
83 |
42% |
64% |
|
84 |
4% |
21% |
|
85 |
5% |
18% |
|
86 |
1.3% |
12% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
88 |
9% |
10% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
75 |
9% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
89% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
87% |
|
78 |
3% |
82% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
78% |
|
80 |
11% |
77% |
Median |
81 |
45% |
67% |
|
82 |
5% |
22% |
|
83 |
10% |
17% |
|
84 |
2% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
10% |
93% |
|
68 |
5% |
83% |
|
69 |
45% |
78% |
Median |
70 |
11% |
33% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
23% |
|
72 |
3% |
22% |
|
73 |
5% |
18% |
|
74 |
2% |
13% |
|
75 |
9% |
11% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
10% |
93% |
|
68 |
5% |
83% |
|
69 |
45% |
78% |
Median |
70 |
11% |
33% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
22% |
|
72 |
3% |
21% |
|
73 |
5% |
18% |
|
74 |
2% |
13% |
|
75 |
9% |
11% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
94% |
|
67 |
10% |
92% |
|
68 |
5% |
82% |
|
69 |
45% |
76% |
Median |
70 |
11% |
31% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
20% |
|
72 |
3% |
20% |
|
73 |
5% |
16% |
|
74 |
2% |
11% |
|
75 |
9% |
9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
94% |
|
67 |
10% |
91% |
|
68 |
5% |
81% |
|
69 |
45% |
76% |
Median |
70 |
11% |
31% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
20% |
|
72 |
3% |
19% |
|
73 |
5% |
16% |
|
74 |
2% |
11% |
|
75 |
9% |
9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
9% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
59 |
3% |
88% |
|
60 |
6% |
85% |
|
61 |
2% |
79% |
|
62 |
4% |
76% |
|
63 |
17% |
72% |
Median |
64 |
44% |
56% |
|
65 |
4% |
12% |
|
66 |
4% |
8% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
53 |
6% |
97% |
|
54 |
2% |
90% |
|
55 |
4% |
88% |
|
56 |
47% |
85% |
Median |
57 |
10% |
38% |
|
58 |
5% |
28% |
|
59 |
7% |
23% |
|
60 |
2% |
16% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
62 |
3% |
13% |
|
63 |
9% |
10% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
55 |
8% |
93% |
|
56 |
3% |
85% |
|
57 |
19% |
82% |
|
58 |
42% |
63% |
Median |
59 |
3% |
22% |
|
60 |
7% |
19% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
62 |
11% |
12% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
6% |
98% |
|
47 |
4% |
92% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
49 |
4% |
88% |
|
50 |
4% |
84% |
Median |
51 |
52% |
80% |
|
52 |
4% |
27% |
|
53 |
16% |
24% |
|
54 |
2% |
8% |
|
55 |
4% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
42 |
0% |
91% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
44 |
2% |
91% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
47 |
3% |
87% |
|
48 |
5% |
84% |
|
49 |
3% |
79% |
|
50 |
47% |
76% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
29% |
|
52 |
9% |
20% |
|
53 |
5% |
11% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
55 |
3% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
9% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
91% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
91% |
|
44 |
2% |
90% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
46 |
2% |
87% |
|
47 |
3% |
86% |
|
48 |
5% |
82% |
|
49 |
3% |
77% |
|
50 |
48% |
74% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
27% |
|
52 |
9% |
18% |
|
53 |
4% |
9% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
55 |
3% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
97% |
|
43 |
8% |
94% |
|
44 |
14% |
86% |
|
45 |
44% |
72% |
Median |
46 |
9% |
28% |
|
47 |
3% |
19% |
|
48 |
2% |
17% |
|
49 |
3% |
15% |
|
50 |
11% |
12% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
34 |
6% |
97% |
|
35 |
4% |
91% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
37 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
38 |
11% |
44% |
|
39 |
9% |
33% |
|
40 |
11% |
24% |
|
41 |
3% |
12% |
|
42 |
7% |
9% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1027
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.55%