Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 15–22 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.5%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
Za ľudí 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
VLASŤ 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 41 38–48 37–49 37–49 32–49
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 21 17–23 17–23 17–23 15–26
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 18 16–20 15–22 15–23 14–24
Za ľudí 0 16 13–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
SME RODINA 11 13 12–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 11 10–13 10–14 9–15 0–16
Slovenská národná strana 15 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 0–15
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 11 10–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 10 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0 0 0 0–10
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.8% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.2%  
34 0.3% 99.1%  
35 0.6% 98.8%  
36 0.4% 98%  
37 6% 98%  
38 3% 92%  
39 3% 89%  
40 21% 86%  
41 39% 65% Median
42 4% 26%  
43 5% 22%  
44 0.8% 17%  
45 2% 16%  
46 1.2% 14%  
47 2% 13%  
48 3% 11%  
49 8% 8% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 1.4% 99.3%  
17 8% 98%  
18 3% 90%  
19 17% 86%  
20 7% 69%  
21 36% 62% Median
22 8% 27%  
23 16% 18%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.5% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 2% 100% Last Result
15 4% 98%  
16 7% 94%  
17 21% 86%  
18 51% 65% Median
19 3% 14%  
20 2% 12%  
21 2% 9%  
22 3% 7%  
23 3% 4%  
24 0.7% 1.0%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.9%  
13 35% 98.6%  
14 3% 64%  
15 9% 60%  
16 12% 51% Median
17 17% 39%  
18 16% 22%  
19 3% 6%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.9% 1.1%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0.1% 99.8%  
10 4% 99.7%  
11 3% 96% Last Result
12 10% 92%  
13 38% 82% Median
14 27% 44%  
15 9% 17%  
16 4% 8%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 0% 99.4%  
9 4% 99.4%  
10 20% 96%  
11 43% 76% Median
12 6% 33%  
13 21% 27%  
14 2% 6%  
15 0.8% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 0% 99.2%  
9 0.7% 99.2%  
10 5% 98.5%  
11 17% 93%  
12 39% 76% Median
13 27% 37%  
14 4% 10%  
15 6% 6% Last Result
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0.8% 94%  
10 10% 93%  
11 45% 84% Median
12 29% 39%  
13 5% 9%  
14 3% 4%  
15 1.1% 1.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 0% 65%  
2 0% 65%  
3 0% 65%  
4 0% 65%  
5 0% 65%  
6 0% 65%  
7 0% 65%  
8 0% 65%  
9 11% 65%  
10 45% 55% Median
11 8% 10%  
12 0.4% 2%  
13 1.1% 1.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0.9% 2%  
10 1.3% 1.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
12 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0% 0.5%  
5 0% 0.5%  
6 0% 0.5%  
7 0% 0.5%  
8 0% 0.5%  
9 0.4% 0.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 84 99.2% 81–92 80–92 78–92 75–97
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 79 82% 72–82 72–83 72–85 70–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 79 82% 72–82 72–83 72–85 69–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 79 81% 72–82 72–83 71–84 67–87
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 79 80% 72–82 72–83 71–84 67–87
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 66 1.3% 63–74 61–74 60–74 57–77
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 66 0.5% 58–69 58–70 58–72 53–75
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 66 0.4% 58–69 58–70 58–72 53–75
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 66 0.2% 58–68 58–70 55–71 53–75
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 66 0.2% 58–68 58–70 55–71 53–75
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 54 0% 51–63 50–63 49–63 44–64
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 55 0% 46–58 46–60 46–63 44–66
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 53 0% 51–60 50–60 48–60 45–66
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 53 0% 51–59 50–60 47–60 45–61
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 55 0% 48–58 47–59 43–60 39–62
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 44 0% 36–47 36–48 34–50 32–52
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 41 0% 38–48 37–49 37–49 32–49

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.5% 99.2% Majority
77 0.6% 98.7%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 4% 95%  
81 2% 91%  
82 4% 89%  
83 7% 85%  
84 50% 78% Median
85 1.3% 28%  
86 3% 26%  
87 3% 24%  
88 2% 21%  
89 2% 19% Last Result
90 0.8% 17%  
91 5% 16%  
92 9% 11%  
93 0% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.1% 1.2%  
97 0.9% 1.2%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 99.2%  
72 9% 98%  
73 0.9% 90%  
74 4% 89%  
75 2% 85%  
76 5% 82% Majority
77 2% 78%  
78 7% 75%  
79 37% 68%  
80 14% 31%  
81 5% 17%  
82 5% 12% Median
83 4% 7%  
84 1.1% 4%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 0.5% 1.5%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 99.1%  
72 9% 98%  
73 0.9% 90%  
74 4% 89%  
75 3% 85%  
76 5% 82% Majority
77 2% 77%  
78 7% 75%  
79 37% 68%  
80 14% 31%  
81 5% 17%  
82 5% 12% Median
83 4% 7%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 0.5% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 0.2% 99.1%  
69 0.3% 98.9%  
70 0.6% 98.6%  
71 1.3% 98%  
72 9% 97%  
73 1.0% 88%  
74 4% 87%  
75 2% 83%  
76 5% 81% Majority
77 2% 76%  
78 7% 74%  
79 36% 67%  
80 14% 30%  
81 5% 16%  
82 5% 12% Median
83 3% 7%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 1.1% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.2%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 99.0%  
69 0.2% 98.8%  
70 0.6% 98.6%  
71 1.3% 98%  
72 9% 97%  
73 1.0% 88%  
74 4% 87%  
75 3% 83%  
76 5% 80% Majority
77 2% 75%  
78 7% 73%  
79 36% 66%  
80 14% 30%  
81 5% 16%  
82 5% 11% Median
83 3% 6%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 1.1% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.2%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 0.9% 99.6%  
58 0.2% 98.7%  
59 0.7% 98.5%  
60 0.7% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 2% 95%  
63 4% 93%  
64 2% 89%  
65 0.7% 87%  
66 46% 86% Median
67 14% 40%  
68 5% 26%  
69 3% 21%  
70 2% 19%  
71 1.1% 17%  
72 1.1% 16%  
73 3% 14%  
74 9% 11%  
75 1.2% 2% Last Result
76 0.1% 1.3% Majority
77 0.9% 1.2%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100% Last Result
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.9% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 98.8%  
55 0.6% 98.8%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 0% 98%  
58 9% 98%  
59 5% 89%  
60 0.8% 84%  
61 2% 83%  
62 2% 81%  
63 3% 79%  
64 3% 76%  
65 1.3% 74%  
66 50% 72%  
67 7% 22%  
68 4% 15%  
69 2% 11% Median
70 4% 9%  
71 2% 5%  
72 0.7% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.5% 1.3%  
75 0.3% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.5% Majority
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100% Last Result
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.9% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 98.8%  
55 0.6% 98.8%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 9% 98%  
59 5% 89%  
60 0.8% 84%  
61 2% 83%  
62 2% 81%  
63 3% 79%  
64 3% 76%  
65 1.3% 73%  
66 50% 72%  
67 7% 22%  
68 4% 14%  
69 2% 10% Median
70 4% 9%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.7% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.2%  
75 0.3% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.4% Majority
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.9% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 98.8%  
55 1.3% 98.7%  
56 0.6% 97%  
57 0.1% 97%  
58 9% 97%  
59 5% 88%  
60 0.8% 83%  
61 3% 82%  
62 2% 79%  
63 3% 77%  
64 3% 74%  
65 0.7% 72%  
66 50% 71%  
67 7% 21%  
68 4% 14%  
69 2% 10% Median
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.8%  
75 0.3% 0.6%  
76 0% 0.2% Majority
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.9% 99.6%  
54 0.1% 98.7%  
55 1.3% 98.6%  
56 0.6% 97%  
57 0.1% 97%  
58 9% 97%  
59 5% 88%  
60 0.8% 83%  
61 3% 82%  
62 2% 79%  
63 3% 77%  
64 3% 74%  
65 0.7% 71%  
66 50% 71%  
67 7% 20%  
68 4% 13%  
69 2% 9% Median
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.8%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0% 0.2% Majority
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.8% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.1%  
46 0.1% 98.9%  
47 0.2% 98.8%  
48 0.5% 98.6%  
49 2% 98%  
50 2% 96%  
51 5% 93%  
52 3% 88%  
53 9% 85%  
54 46% 75% Median
55 5% 29%  
56 4% 24%  
57 1.0% 20%  
58 2% 19%  
59 2% 17%  
60 1.1% 15% Last Result
61 0.2% 14%  
62 0.6% 14%  
63 12% 13%  
64 0.7% 0.9%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 1.1% 99.8%  
45 0.5% 98.7%  
46 9% 98%  
47 1.4% 90%  
48 4% 88%  
49 0.8% 84%  
50 2% 83%  
51 2% 81%  
52 0.9% 79%  
53 7% 78%  
54 12% 71%  
55 35% 59%  
56 7% 24%  
57 7% 18%  
58 3% 11% Median
59 0.9% 8%  
60 2% 7%  
61 1.4% 5%  
62 0.6% 3%  
63 0.6% 3%  
64 0.1% 2%  
65 0.2% 2%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.7%  
45 1.1% 99.6%  
46 0.3% 98.5%  
47 0.7% 98%  
48 0.8% 98%  
49 1.0% 97%  
50 4% 96%  
51 5% 92%  
52 5% 87%  
53 51% 82% Median
54 5% 31%  
55 4% 26%  
56 4% 22%  
57 1.1% 18%  
58 4% 17%  
59 2% 12%  
60 8% 10%  
61 0.6% 2%  
62 0.3% 2%  
63 0.1% 1.3%  
64 0.3% 1.2%  
65 0.2% 0.9%  
66 0.6% 0.7%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.7%  
45 1.1% 99.6%  
46 0.3% 98%  
47 0.8% 98%  
48 0.9% 97%  
49 1.2% 96%  
50 4% 95%  
51 5% 91%  
52 6% 86%  
53 51% 81% Median
54 5% 30%  
55 4% 24%  
56 5% 21%  
57 1.1% 16%  
58 4% 15%  
59 2% 10%  
60 8% 9%  
61 0.1% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.8% Last Result
39 0.9% 99.8%  
40 0% 98.9%  
41 0.1% 98.8%  
42 0.4% 98.8%  
43 1.2% 98%  
44 0.2% 97%  
45 0.3% 97%  
46 0.6% 97%  
47 1.4% 96%  
48 9% 95%  
49 5% 85%  
50 4% 81%  
51 2% 77%  
52 0.9% 74%  
53 16% 73%  
54 5% 58%  
55 36% 53%  
56 3% 17%  
57 4% 14%  
58 2% 10% Median
59 5% 9%  
60 3% 4%  
61 0.3% 1.2%  
62 0.6% 0.9%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 1.1% 99.9%  
33 0.8% 98.8%  
34 0.8% 98%  
35 1.1% 97%  
36 8% 96%  
37 2% 88%  
38 4% 86%  
39 2% 82%  
40 2% 79%  
41 12% 77%  
42 6% 65%  
43 2% 59%  
44 38% 58%  
45 3% 20%  
46 1.2% 16%  
47 8% 15% Median
48 3% 8%  
49 0.8% 5%  
50 3% 4%  
51 0.6% 1.1%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.4%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.3%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.8% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.2%  
34 0.3% 99.1%  
35 0.6% 98.8%  
36 0.4% 98%  
37 6% 98%  
38 3% 92%  
39 3% 89%  
40 21% 86%  
41 39% 65% Median
42 4% 26%  
43 5% 22%  
44 0.8% 17%  
45 2% 16%  
46 1.2% 14%  
47 2% 13%  
48 3% 11%  
49 8% 8% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations