Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 30 October–6 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
Za ľudí 0.0% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.6% 8.3–13.3%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–13.0%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
VLASŤ 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 34–40 33–42 32–43 31–45
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 22 20–24 20–25 18–26 17–30
Za ľudí 0 19 18–23 16–24 16–24 15–28
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 18 17–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
SME RODINA 11 13 10–14 10–15 10–17 0–20
Slovenská národná strana 15 12 11–16 10–16 10–16 0–16
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 10 9–12 0–13 0–14 0–14
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 9 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–16
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0.3% 99.7%  
32 4% 99.4%  
33 4% 96%  
34 12% 92%  
35 8% 80%  
36 3% 73%  
37 3% 70%  
38 46% 66% Median
39 4% 21%  
40 8% 17%  
41 4% 9%  
42 2% 5%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 1.2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.4%  
19 2% 97%  
20 7% 96%  
21 17% 89%  
22 38% 72% Median
23 18% 34%  
24 9% 16%  
25 3% 7%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.5% 1.3%  
28 0.1% 0.8%  
29 0% 0.6%  
30 0.4% 0.6%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.4% 100%  
15 1.0% 99.6%  
16 6% 98.7%  
17 1.1% 92%  
18 7% 91%  
19 42% 84% Median
20 23% 42%  
21 4% 19%  
22 4% 15%  
23 4% 12%  
24 5% 7%  
25 0.6% 2%  
26 0.7% 2%  
27 0.4% 1.1%  
28 0.7% 0.8%  
29 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.9% Last Result
15 2% 99.0%  
16 6% 97%  
17 5% 92%  
18 58% 87% Median
19 9% 28%  
20 8% 20%  
21 7% 12%  
22 3% 5%  
23 0.5% 3%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0% 99.1%  
9 0.2% 99.1%  
10 12% 99.0%  
11 10% 87% Last Result
12 16% 77%  
13 37% 60% Median
14 15% 23%  
15 4% 8%  
16 2% 4%  
17 1.1% 3%  
18 0.6% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.8%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0% 99.1%  
9 0.1% 99.1%  
10 6% 99.0%  
11 11% 93%  
12 39% 83% Median
13 12% 44%  
14 15% 31%  
15 3% 17% Last Result
16 13% 13%  
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 3% 92%  
10 39% 88% Median
11 31% 49%  
12 8% 18%  
13 6% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
18 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 0% 80%  
9 35% 80% Median
10 12% 45%  
11 7% 33%  
12 20% 26%  
13 4% 7%  
14 0.4% 2%  
15 0.1% 2%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0% 45%  
7 0% 45%  
8 0% 45%  
9 2% 45%  
10 32% 43%  
11 8% 11%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.5% 0.8%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 58% 100% Median
1 0% 42%  
2 0% 42%  
3 0% 42%  
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 0% 42%  
7 0% 42%  
8 0.2% 42%  
9 35% 42%  
10 4% 7%  
11 2% 2% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 0.5% 3%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 81 92% 76–86 75–89 74–91 71–96
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 82 92% 77–86 74–87 73–88 69–90
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 82 92% 76–85 73–86 72–88 69–90
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 78 55% 73–84 73–86 70–87 66–89
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 77 55% 73–84 73–85 70–86 66–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 69 3% 64–74 61–75 59–76 54–79
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 69 3% 64–74 60–75 58–76 54–79
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 64 1.3% 60–74 59–75 55–75 49–78
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 64 1.2% 60–74 59–75 55–75 49–77
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 63 0.6% 58–68 55–69 54–71 53–76
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 53 0.1% 50–63 49–64 49–66 44–67
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 55 0% 51–64 50–65 47–66 42–68
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 54 0% 47–59 45–59 43–60 42–63
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 51 0% 44–53 44–55 43–58 39–62
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 50 0% 46–54 43–56 43–57 42–60
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 47 0% 41–53 41–54 39–55 36–59
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 38 0% 34–40 33–42 32–43 31–45

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.3% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.7% 99.6%  
72 0.5% 98.9%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 0.8% 98%  
75 5% 97%  
76 13% 92% Majority
77 3% 79%  
78 5% 76%  
79 5% 71%  
80 0.8% 66%  
81 35% 65% Median
82 3% 31%  
83 3% 28%  
84 3% 25%  
85 3% 22%  
86 12% 20%  
87 2% 8%  
88 0.9% 6%  
89 1.0% 6% Last Result
90 0.3% 5%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.4% 2%  
93 0.2% 2%  
94 0.1% 2%  
95 0.4% 2%  
96 0.9% 1.3%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0.3% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 1.0% 99.7%  
70 0.6% 98.7%  
71 0.1% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 2% 98% Median
74 1.4% 95%  
75 2% 94%  
76 2% 92% Majority
77 1.3% 90%  
78 12% 89%  
79 4% 77%  
80 2% 73%  
81 1.4% 72%  
82 35% 70%  
83 6% 35%  
84 15% 29%  
85 3% 14%  
86 5% 11%  
87 3% 6%  
88 1.2% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.8% 1.2%  
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 1.0% 99.7%  
70 0.6% 98.6%  
71 0.1% 98%  
72 0.6% 98%  
73 3% 97% Median
74 1.4% 95%  
75 2% 93%  
76 2% 92% Majority
77 3% 90%  
78 12% 87%  
79 4% 75%  
80 1.5% 71%  
81 1.4% 69%  
82 35% 68%  
83 6% 33%  
84 15% 27%  
85 3% 12%  
86 5% 9%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.2% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.8% 1.2%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.3% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0% 99.6%  
63 0% 99.6%  
64 0% 99.6%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.1% 98.9%  
68 0.2% 98.9%  
69 1.1% 98.7%  
70 0.4% 98%  
71 0.5% 97%  
72 0.3% 97%  
73 37% 96% Median
74 2% 60%  
75 3% 58%  
76 3% 55% Majority
77 2% 52%  
78 13% 50%  
79 4% 38%  
80 1.4% 33%  
81 2% 32%  
82 2% 30%  
83 5% 28%  
84 15% 23%  
85 1.4% 8%  
86 4% 7%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.3% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0% 99.6%  
63 0% 99.6%  
64 0% 99.6%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.1% 98.9%  
68 0.2% 98.8%  
69 1.1% 98.6%  
70 0.4% 98%  
71 0.5% 97%  
72 0.5% 97%  
73 37% 96% Median
74 2% 59%  
75 3% 57%  
76 3% 55% Majority
77 4% 52%  
78 13% 48%  
79 4% 35%  
80 1.4% 31%  
81 2% 30%  
82 2% 27%  
83 5% 26%  
84 15% 21%  
85 1.4% 6%  
86 4% 5%  
87 0.6% 1.2%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100% Last Result
50 0% 99.7%  
51 0% 99.7%  
52 0% 99.7%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.9% 99.6%  
55 0.4% 98.7%  
56 0.1% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.4% 98%  
59 2% 98%  
60 0.3% 96% Median
61 1.0% 95%  
62 0.9% 94%  
63 2% 94%  
64 12% 92%  
65 3% 80%  
66 3% 78%  
67 3% 75%  
68 3% 72%  
69 35% 69%  
70 0.7% 34%  
71 5% 34%  
72 5% 29%  
73 3% 24%  
74 12% 21%  
75 5% 8%  
76 0.8% 3% Majority
77 0.5% 2%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.1%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100% Last Result
50 0% 99.7%  
51 0% 99.7%  
52 0% 99.7%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.9% 99.6%  
55 0.4% 98.6%  
56 0.1% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.6% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 0.6% 95% Median
61 1.0% 95%  
62 0.9% 94%  
63 2% 93%  
64 14% 91%  
65 3% 78%  
66 3% 75%  
67 3% 72%  
68 3% 69%  
69 34% 67%  
70 0.7% 32%  
71 5% 32%  
72 5% 26%  
73 3% 22%  
74 11% 19%  
75 5% 8%  
76 0.8% 3% Majority
77 0.5% 2%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.1%  
80 0% 0.4%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0% 99.4%  
51 0% 99.3%  
52 0.1% 99.3%  
53 0.1% 99.2%  
54 0.8% 99.2%  
55 0.9% 98%  
56 0.3% 97%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.4% 97%  
59 2% 97%  
60 33% 94% Median
61 2% 61%  
62 2% 59%  
63 2% 57%  
64 14% 55%  
65 3% 41%  
66 3% 38%  
67 3% 35%  
68 3% 32%  
69 2% 30%  
70 2% 28%  
71 4% 26%  
72 4% 23%  
73 2% 18%  
74 11% 17%  
75 4% 6%  
76 0.5% 1.3% Majority
77 0.2% 0.8%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0% 99.4%  
51 0% 99.3%  
52 0.1% 99.3%  
53 0.1% 99.2%  
54 0.8% 99.2%  
55 1.0% 98%  
56 0.3% 97%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.5% 97%  
59 2% 96%  
60 33% 94% Median
61 2% 61%  
62 2% 58%  
63 2% 56%  
64 15% 54%  
65 3% 39%  
66 3% 36%  
67 3% 33%  
68 2% 30%  
69 1.5% 27%  
70 2% 26%  
71 4% 24%  
72 4% 21%  
73 2% 16%  
74 9% 15%  
75 4% 5%  
76 0.5% 1.2% Majority
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.4% 99.7%  
54 3% 99.3%  
55 2% 96%  
56 0.8% 94%  
57 1.2% 93%  
58 12% 92%  
59 2% 80%  
60 7% 78%  
61 4% 72%  
62 4% 68%  
63 37% 64% Median
64 4% 27%  
65 3% 24%  
66 2% 21%  
67 3% 19%  
68 10% 16%  
69 0.8% 5%  
70 0.2% 4%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.2%  
74 0% 0.8%  
75 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
76 0.3% 0.6% Majority
77 0% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.3%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.7%  
45 0.2% 99.5%  
46 0.3% 99.3%  
47 0.4% 99.0%  
48 1.1% 98.6%  
49 3% 98%  
50 35% 94% Median
51 2% 59%  
52 2% 57%  
53 13% 55%  
54 2% 42%  
55 4% 40%  
56 2% 36%  
57 0.6% 34%  
58 2% 33%  
59 3% 31%  
60 6% 29%  
61 1.4% 23%  
62 2% 22%  
63 13% 20%  
64 2% 6%  
65 0.9% 4%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0% 99.7% Last Result
39 0% 99.7%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0% 99.6%  
42 0.8% 99.6%  
43 0.3% 98.9%  
44 0.7% 98.6%  
45 0% 98%  
46 0.3% 98%  
47 0.5% 98%  
48 0.1% 97%  
49 0.6% 97%  
50 2% 96%  
51 35% 95% Median
52 2% 59%  
53 2% 57%  
54 3% 55%  
55 3% 52%  
56 1.3% 49%  
57 1.4% 48%  
58 1.5% 46%  
59 10% 45%  
60 2% 35%  
61 1.4% 33%  
62 11% 32%  
63 2% 21%  
64 12% 19%  
65 5% 8%  
66 1.2% 3%  
67 0.1% 2%  
68 1.1% 1.5%  
69 0% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.5% 99.6%  
43 3% 99.2%  
44 0.3% 96%  
45 3% 96%  
46 2% 93%  
47 2% 91%  
48 13% 89%  
49 2% 77%  
50 3% 74% Median
51 5% 71%  
52 3% 66%  
53 3% 63%  
54 12% 60%  
55 2% 47%  
56 3% 45%  
57 4% 43%  
58 2% 38%  
59 34% 37%  
60 0.7% 3%  
61 0.6% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.3%  
63 0.1% 0.6%  
64 0% 0.5%  
65 0% 0.5%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.2% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.6%  
40 0.1% 99.4%  
41 0.2% 99.4%  
42 0.3% 99.1%  
43 4% 98.9%  
44 9% 95%  
45 2% 86%  
46 5% 84%  
47 6% 80%  
48 1.4% 73%  
49 3% 72%  
50 3% 68%  
51 37% 66% Median
52 19% 29%  
53 3% 11%  
54 2% 8%  
55 3% 6%  
56 0.7% 4%  
57 0.3% 3%  
58 0.4% 3%  
59 0.8% 2%  
60 0.2% 1.3% Last Result
61 0.3% 1.1%  
62 0.4% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0% 0.3%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 99.6%  
43 4% 98.9%  
44 0.7% 95%  
45 3% 94%  
46 2% 91%  
47 4% 89%  
48 14% 85%  
49 3% 70%  
50 37% 67% Median
51 5% 30%  
52 3% 25%  
53 3% 22%  
54 12% 19%  
55 1.2% 7%  
56 2% 6%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.4% 1.3%  
59 0.3% 0.9%  
60 0.4% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.6% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.4%  
38 0.3% 99.0%  
39 3% 98.8%  
40 0.7% 96%  
41 34% 95% Median
42 2% 61%  
43 2% 59%  
44 2% 57%  
45 0.4% 55%  
46 4% 55%  
47 3% 51%  
48 5% 47%  
49 4% 43%  
50 3% 39%  
51 13% 35%  
52 2% 23%  
53 15% 20%  
54 1.1% 6%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.5% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.1%  
58 0.1% 0.6%  
59 0.3% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0.3% 99.7%  
32 4% 99.4%  
33 4% 96%  
34 12% 92%  
35 8% 80%  
36 3% 73%  
37 3% 70%  
38 46% 66% Median
39 4% 21%  
40 8% 17%  
41 4% 9%  
42 2% 5%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 1.2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations