Opinion Poll by Polis, 9–13 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
Za ľudí 0.0% 11.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–13.9%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.8%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.8%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
SME RODINA 6.6% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.4%
VLASŤ 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 34–45 34–45 33–46 32–52
Za ľudí 0 22 18–24 17–26 17–27 15–28
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 20 19–26 17–26 17–26 16–27
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 19 17–25 17–25 17–26 17–28
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 13 11–15 11–16 11–17 9–17
Slovenská národná strana 15 11 10–15 0–15 0–15 0–15
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 11 10–13 9–14 0–14 0–15
SME RODINA 11 10 0–12 0–12 0–12 0–13
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–9 0–9 0–9 0–10
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0.1% 99.8%  
32 0.7% 99.7%  
33 2% 99.0%  
34 29% 97%  
35 9% 68%  
36 18% 59% Median
37 5% 41%  
38 6% 37%  
39 6% 31%  
40 3% 25%  
41 2% 22%  
42 3% 20%  
43 0.2% 17%  
44 6% 17%  
45 8% 11%  
46 0.4% 3%  
47 0.1% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0% 2% Last Result
50 0% 1.5%  
51 0% 1.5%  
52 1.5% 1.5%  
53 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.7% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.3%  
17 8% 98.8%  
18 3% 91%  
19 4% 87%  
20 29% 84%  
21 4% 55%  
22 10% 50% Median
23 11% 40%  
24 22% 29%  
25 1.1% 7%  
26 2% 6%  
27 2% 4%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0.8% 99.9%  
17 4% 99.1%  
18 4% 95%  
19 29% 91%  
20 15% 62% Median
21 23% 47%  
22 4% 24%  
23 4% 21%  
24 5% 17%  
25 0.8% 12%  
26 9% 11%  
27 1.5% 2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 27% 99.6%  
18 17% 73%  
19 8% 56% Median
20 6% 48%  
21 15% 43%  
22 3% 28%  
23 10% 25%  
24 2% 15%  
25 10% 13%  
26 1.1% 3%  
27 1.5% 2%  
28 0.5% 0.5%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 1.0% 98.7%  
11 36% 98%  
12 8% 61%  
13 25% 54% Median
14 11% 28%  
15 10% 17%  
16 3% 7%  
17 3% 4% Last Result
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 3% 95%  
10 39% 92%  
11 10% 53% Median
12 13% 43%  
13 11% 30%  
14 2% 18%  
15 16% 17% Last Result
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 1.5% 96%  
10 40% 94%  
11 29% 54% Median
12 7% 26%  
13 11% 19%  
14 7% 8%  
15 0.7% 1.0%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100%  
1 0% 68%  
2 0% 68%  
3 0% 68%  
4 0% 68%  
5 0% 68%  
6 0% 68%  
7 0% 68%  
8 0% 68%  
9 1.0% 68%  
10 42% 67% Median
11 4% 25% Last Result
12 19% 21%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 10% 56% Median
10 33% 45%  
11 7% 12%  
12 2% 5%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 0% 30%  
5 0% 30%  
6 0% 30%  
7 0% 30%  
8 1.1% 30%  
9 27% 29%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 80 81% 71–87 69–87 69–89 67–93
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 80 81% 71–87 69–87 69–89 67–93
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 78 80% 70–84 69–86 69–89 66–92
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 78 80% 70–84 69–86 69–89 66–92
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 89 76 53% 72–84 70–84 69–84 64–93
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 74 45% 66–78 66–80 66–81 57–86
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 74 45% 66–78 66–80 66–81 57–86
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 69 17% 66–78 66–80 64–81 57–86
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 69 17% 66–78 66–80 64–81 57–86
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 58 0% 55–68 55–70 55–71 51–74
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 57 0% 53–64 53–66 50–69 44–69
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 55 0% 51–63 49–63 46–64 42–70
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 47 0% 42–54 42–55 40–58 38–59
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 52 0% 46–55 45–57 42–57 36–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 48 0% 44–55 42–57 40–57 36–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 45 0% 39–49 38–52 35–52 34–58
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 0% 34–45 34–45 33–46 32–52

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.3%  
69 8% 98.9%  
70 0.2% 91%  
71 2% 90%  
72 0.3% 89%  
73 6% 88%  
74 0.5% 82%  
75 0.8% 82%  
76 3% 81% Majority
77 4% 79%  
78 20% 75%  
79 4% 55%  
80 2% 51%  
81 4% 49%  
82 0.9% 45%  
83 2% 44%  
84 8% 42% Median
85 1.2% 35%  
86 3% 33%  
87 26% 31%  
88 0.5% 5%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.1% 1.3%  
92 0.7% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.3%  
69 8% 98.9%  
70 0.3% 91%  
71 2% 90%  
72 0.3% 88%  
73 6% 88%  
74 0.5% 82%  
75 0.8% 82%  
76 3% 81% Majority
77 4% 78%  
78 20% 75%  
79 4% 55%  
80 2% 51%  
81 4% 49%  
82 0.9% 45%  
83 2% 44%  
84 8% 42% Median
85 1.2% 35%  
86 3% 33%  
87 26% 31%  
88 0.5% 5%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.1% 1.2%  
92 0.7% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.5% 99.5%  
68 0.4% 98.9%  
69 8% 98.6%  
70 0.3% 90%  
71 2% 90%  
72 0.6% 88%  
73 6% 87%  
74 1.0% 81%  
75 0.5% 80%  
76 3% 80% Majority
77 4% 77%  
78 46% 73%  
79 4% 27%  
80 2% 23%  
81 5% 22%  
82 0.6% 16%  
83 2% 16%  
84 7% 14% Median
85 0.7% 7%  
86 3% 6%  
87 0.1% 3%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 0.8% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0% 1.1%  
92 0.6% 1.1%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.5% 99.4%  
68 0.4% 98.9%  
69 8% 98.5%  
70 0.3% 90%  
71 2% 90%  
72 0.6% 88%  
73 6% 87%  
74 1.0% 81%  
75 0.5% 80%  
76 3% 80% Majority
77 4% 77%  
78 46% 73%  
79 4% 27%  
80 2% 23%  
81 5% 22%  
82 0.6% 16%  
83 2% 16%  
84 7% 14% Median
85 0.6% 6%  
86 3% 6%  
87 0.1% 3%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 0.8% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0% 1.1%  
92 0.6% 1.1%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.0%  
66 0.1% 98.8%  
67 0.5% 98.7%  
68 0.6% 98%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 95%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 5% 92%  
73 30% 88%  
74 2% 57%  
75 2% 55%  
76 9% 53% Majority
77 7% 44% Median
78 0.7% 37%  
79 3% 36%  
80 2% 33%  
81 11% 32%  
82 1.3% 20%  
83 2% 19%  
84 15% 17%  
85 0.2% 2%  
86 0.1% 2%  
87 0.1% 2%  
88 0.1% 2%  
89 0.1% 2% Last Result
90 0.7% 1.5%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.6%  
93 0.5% 0.5%  
94 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.5% 100%  
58 0% 99.5%  
59 0.2% 99.4%  
60 0.7% 99.3%  
61 0.1% 98.5%  
62 0.1% 98%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 0.2% 98%  
66 15% 98%  
67 2% 83%  
68 1.4% 81%  
69 11% 80%  
70 2% 68%  
71 3% 67%  
72 0.7% 64%  
73 7% 63%  
74 9% 56% Median
75 2% 47%  
76 2% 45% Majority
77 30% 43%  
78 5% 12%  
79 0.7% 8%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 1.2%  
86 0.8% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.5% 100%  
58 0% 99.5%  
59 0.2% 99.4%  
60 0.7% 99.3%  
61 0.1% 98.5%  
62 0.1% 98%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 0.2% 98%  
66 15% 98%  
67 2% 83%  
68 1.4% 81%  
69 11% 79%  
70 2% 68%  
71 3% 67%  
72 0.7% 64%  
73 7% 63%  
74 9% 56% Median
75 2% 47%  
76 2% 45% Majority
77 30% 43%  
78 5% 12%  
79 0.6% 8%  
80 2% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 1.1%  
86 0.8% 0.9%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.4%  
59 0.3% 99.4%  
60 0.8% 99.1%  
61 0.1% 98%  
62 0.5% 98%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 0.2% 98%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 16% 97%  
67 2% 81%  
68 27% 79%  
69 12% 52%  
70 2% 40%  
71 3% 38%  
72 0.6% 35%  
73 7% 35%  
74 9% 27% Median
75 1.1% 18%  
76 2% 17% Majority
77 3% 15%  
78 5% 12%  
79 0.5% 7%  
80 3% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.2% 2%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 0% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 1.0%  
86 0.8% 0.9%  
87 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.4%  
59 0.4% 99.4%  
60 0.8% 99.0%  
61 0.1% 98%  
62 0.5% 98%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 0.2% 98%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 16% 97%  
67 2% 81%  
68 27% 79%  
69 12% 52%  
70 2% 40%  
71 3% 38%  
72 0.6% 35%  
73 7% 34%  
74 9% 27% Median
75 1.1% 18%  
76 2% 17% Majority
77 3% 15%  
78 5% 11%  
79 0.5% 7%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.2% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.5%  
84 0% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 1.0%  
86 0.8% 0.9%  
87 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.6%  
52 0.1% 99.1%  
53 0.2% 99.0%  
54 1.1% 98.8%  
55 15% 98%  
56 10% 83%  
57 0.9% 73%  
58 31% 72%  
59 8% 41%  
60 3% 33%  
61 1.3% 30%  
62 0.7% 29%  
63 2% 28% Median
64 7% 26%  
65 4% 18%  
66 0.2% 14%  
67 2% 14%  
68 5% 12%  
69 2% 8%  
70 3% 6%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.1% 1.4%  
73 0.2% 1.3%  
74 1.0% 1.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.6% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.3%  
46 0.1% 99.3%  
47 0.6% 99.1%  
48 0.4% 98%  
49 0.2% 98%  
50 1.3% 98%  
51 0.3% 97%  
52 1.2% 96%  
53 15% 95%  
54 3% 80%  
55 2% 77%  
56 1.3% 75%  
57 29% 74%  
58 14% 45%  
59 0.9% 31%  
60 4% 30%  
61 8% 26% Median
62 2% 18%  
63 4% 16%  
64 4% 11%  
65 1.2% 7%  
66 1.4% 6%  
67 0.6% 5%  
68 1.0% 4%  
69 3% 3%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.8%  
42 0.8% 99.8%  
43 0% 99.0%  
44 0.1% 98.9%  
45 0.3% 98.8%  
46 3% 98.6%  
47 0.3% 96%  
48 0.6% 96%  
49 0.6% 95%  
50 2% 94%  
51 4% 92%  
52 6% 88%  
53 1.0% 82%  
54 28% 81%  
55 9% 53%  
56 8% 44%  
57 10% 36% Median
58 1.1% 26%  
59 3% 25%  
60 1.3% 22%  
61 1.1% 21%  
62 3% 20%  
63 14% 17%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.1% 1.1%  
66 0% 0.9%  
67 0.3% 0.9%  
68 0% 0.6%  
69 0% 0.6%  
70 0.5% 0.6%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.7%  
39 1.4% 99.5%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 0.3% 97%  
42 15% 97%  
43 2% 82%  
44 7% 80%  
45 9% 73%  
46 3% 63%  
47 28% 60%  
48 1.4% 32%  
49 4% 31%  
50 2% 27% Median
51 9% 24%  
52 2% 16%  
53 2% 14%  
54 5% 12%  
55 2% 6%  
56 0.5% 5%  
57 1.4% 4%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.2% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.0%  
38 0.1% 99.0%  
39 0.3% 98.9%  
40 1.0% 98.7%  
41 0.1% 98%  
42 1.3% 98%  
43 0.6% 96%  
44 0.2% 96%  
45 1.0% 96%  
46 9% 95%  
47 6% 86% Median
48 0.6% 79%  
49 1.0% 79%  
50 5% 78%  
51 20% 72%  
52 5% 53%  
53 27% 48%  
54 3% 20%  
55 8% 18%  
56 0.4% 9%  
57 7% 9%  
58 0.3% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.7% 1.2%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.9% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.0%  
38 0.2% 99.0%  
39 0.4% 98.8%  
40 1.0% 98%  
41 0.1% 97%  
42 2% 97%  
43 0.7% 95%  
44 26% 94%  
45 1.0% 68%  
46 9% 67%  
47 7% 58% Median
48 1.4% 51%  
49 0.9% 50%  
50 4% 49%  
51 19% 44%  
52 5% 25%  
53 1.1% 20%  
54 3% 19%  
55 8% 16%  
56 0.3% 8%  
57 6% 7%  
58 0.1% 1.2%  
59 0.4% 1.1%  
60 0.7% 0.7%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.9%  
35 0.6% 98%  
36 0.2% 97%  
37 1.0% 97%  
38 2% 96%  
39 5% 94%  
40 1.4% 89%  
41 2% 88%  
42 2% 85%  
43 0.5% 83%  
44 33% 83%  
45 17% 50%  
46 3% 34% Median
47 3% 31%  
48 17% 27%  
49 2% 10%  
50 2% 8%  
51 0.4% 5%  
52 4% 5%  
53 0.2% 1.4%  
54 0.2% 1.2%  
55 0.3% 1.0%  
56 0.1% 0.7%  
57 0% 0.6%  
58 0.5% 0.6%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1% Last Result
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0.1% 99.8%  
32 0.7% 99.7%  
33 2% 99.0%  
34 29% 97%  
35 9% 68%  
36 18% 59% Median
37 5% 41%  
38 6% 37%  
39 6% 31%  
40 3% 25%  
41 2% 22%  
42 3% 20%  
43 0.2% 17%  
44 6% 17%  
45 8% 11%  
46 0.4% 3%  
47 0.1% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0% 2% Last Result
50 0% 1.5%  
51 0% 1.5%  
52 1.5% 1.5%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations