Opinion Poll by AKO, 19–25 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
28.3% |
18.4% |
16.9–20.1% |
16.5–20.5% |
16.1–20.9% |
15.4–21.7% |
Za ľudí |
0.0% |
12.5% |
11.2–13.9% |
10.9–14.3% |
10.6–14.7% |
10.0–15.4% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
0.0% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.6% |
9.9–15.3% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
10.4% |
9.3–11.7% |
8.9–12.1% |
8.7–12.5% |
8.1–13.1% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
11.0% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
SME RODINA |
6.6% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.3% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.2–9.4% |
Slovenská národná strana |
8.6% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.7% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.9% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.7% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
12.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.6% |
MOST–HÍD |
6.5% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Dobrá voľba |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
4.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
VLASŤ |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
31 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
32 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
33 |
2% |
6% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
21 |
91% |
97% |
Median |
22 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
21 |
2% |
98% |
|
22 |
3% |
96% |
|
23 |
90% |
93% |
Median |
24 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
15 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
17 |
4% |
98% |
|
18 |
91% |
94% |
Median |
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
93% |
98.9% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
6% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
91% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
2% |
8% |
|
13 |
2% |
6% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0% |
97% |
|
7 |
0% |
97% |
|
8 |
0% |
97% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
11 |
2% |
95% |
|
12 |
90% |
93% |
Median |
13 |
2% |
3% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
11 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
12 |
2% |
4% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
11 |
92% |
97% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
5% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
60 |
89 |
100% |
89 |
89–93 |
88–98 |
83–98 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD |
60 |
89 |
100% |
89 |
89–93 |
88–98 |
83–98 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
89 |
100% |
89 |
89–92 |
87–98 |
83–98 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita |
49 |
89 |
100% |
89 |
89–92 |
87–98 |
83–98 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
49 |
78 |
97% |
78 |
78–81 |
74–82 |
71–86 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD |
49 |
78 |
97% |
78 |
78–81 |
74–82 |
71–86 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
38 |
78 |
97% |
78 |
78–81 |
74–82 |
70–86 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita |
38 |
78 |
97% |
78 |
78–81 |
74–82 |
70–86 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
89 |
72 |
3% |
72 |
69–72 |
68–76 |
64–79 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita |
38 |
67 |
0.3% |
67 |
67–70 |
65–71 |
60–74 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita |
21 |
66 |
0% |
66 |
66–67 |
61–70 |
56–73 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita |
21 |
55 |
0% |
55 |
55–56 |
52–59 |
47–61 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
75 |
54 |
0% |
54 |
52–54 |
51–58 |
45–61 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
60 |
42 |
0% |
42 |
42–45 |
42–50 |
39–51 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
75 |
43 |
0% |
43 |
40–43 |
35–46 |
34–48 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
64 |
43 |
0% |
43 |
40–43 |
35–45 |
34–48 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
49 |
31 |
0% |
31 |
31–33 |
30–35 |
27–38 |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
90 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
93 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
90 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
93 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
89 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
90 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
89 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
90 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
78 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
79 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
78 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
79 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
78 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
79 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
78 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
79 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
3% |
98% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
72 |
90% |
94% |
Median |
73 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
67 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
68 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
71 |
2% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
66 |
90% |
95% |
Median |
67 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
70 |
2% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
55 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
6% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
51 |
3% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
54 |
90% |
94% |
Median |
55 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
98.5% |
|
42 |
90% |
98% |
Median |
43 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
44 |
2% |
8% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
51 |
2% |
2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
40 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
43 |
91% |
94% |
Median |
44 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
40 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
43 |
91% |
94% |
Median |
44 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
31 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
32 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
33 |
2% |
6% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.16%