Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 2–9 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–12.0% 8.6–12.4% 8.1–13.0%
Za ľudí 0.0% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 5.4% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.5%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
VLASŤ 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 34–44 32–44 31–44 30–44
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 22 20–27 20–27 19–27 18–27
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 20 18–21 17–22 17–22 15–24
Za ľudí 0 17 15–18 14–19 14–20 13–22
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 16 14–18 12–18 11–18 11–19
SME RODINA 11 13 11–15 11–15 11–15 10–16
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 12 10–13 0–13 0–13 0–14
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Slovenská národná strana 15 0 0–10 0–12 0–13 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–10
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0–10 0–12
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0–10
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 1.0% 98%  
32 3% 97%  
33 2% 94%  
34 6% 91%  
35 34% 86%  
36 3% 52% Median
37 4% 49%  
38 8% 45%  
39 1.5% 36%  
40 2% 35%  
41 21% 33%  
42 0.2% 12%  
43 0.1% 11%  
44 11% 11%  
45 0% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.9%  
18 0.6% 99.5%  
19 2% 98.9%  
20 26% 97%  
21 14% 71%  
22 7% 57% Median
23 15% 50%  
24 1.3% 35%  
25 8% 33%  
26 2% 25%  
27 23% 23%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.7%  
15 0.4% 99.6%  
16 0.6% 99.3%  
17 6% 98.7%  
18 7% 93%  
19 30% 86%  
20 11% 56% Median
21 39% 45%  
22 5% 6%  
23 1.0% 1.5%  
24 0.3% 0.5%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.8%  
14 7% 99.4%  
15 4% 92%  
16 5% 89%  
17 46% 84% Median
18 30% 38%  
19 4% 8%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.3% 1.1%  
22 0.4% 0.8%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 0.8% 95%  
13 2% 94%  
14 24% 92%  
15 13% 69%  
16 17% 56% Median
17 26% 39% Last Result
18 13% 14%  
19 0.5% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0.1% 99.8%  
10 0.4% 99.6%  
11 15% 99.2% Last Result
12 6% 85%  
13 53% 79% Median
14 14% 26%  
15 10% 12%  
16 1.4% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 2% 95%  
10 15% 93%  
11 18% 78%  
12 26% 59% Median
13 32% 33%  
14 0.4% 0.9%  
15 0.3% 0.5%  
16 0% 0.2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 0% 60%  
4 0% 60%  
5 0% 60%  
6 0% 60%  
7 0% 60%  
8 0% 60%  
9 12% 60% Median
10 30% 49%  
11 15% 19%  
12 2% 4%  
13 1.3% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Median
1 0% 44%  
2 0% 44%  
3 0% 44%  
4 0% 44%  
5 0% 44%  
6 0% 44%  
7 0% 44%  
8 0.1% 44%  
9 6% 44%  
10 28% 38%  
11 2% 10%  
12 3% 8%  
13 5% 5%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 3% 15%  
9 0.9% 12%  
10 10% 11%  
11 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 1.2% 5%  
10 1.5% 4%  
11 0.3% 2%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0.1% 2%  
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.5% 0.6%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 85 98.6% 81–92 80–94 77–94 74–94
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 84 96% 81–91 77–94 74–94 65–94
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 83 98% 80–89 78–90 76–90 67–93
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 83 95% 79–89 75–90 72–90 65–92
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 78 75% 71–81 69–82 69–84 67–88
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 72 15% 69–79 68–81 63–81 62–82
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 71 14% 68–78 63–81 61–81 54–82
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 70 4% 68–75 66–75 63–77 52–82
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 69 3% 67–75 63–75 59–77 52–80
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 62 0% 58–69 54–69 52–69 47–72
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 55 0% 50–58 48–60 46–63 45–68
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 55 0% 51–60 48–60 45–61 37–63
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 50 0% 46–58 43–58 43–58 41–58
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 49 0% 42–52 39–52 36–52 33–55
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 45 0% 38–47 35–50 35–52 34–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 44 0% 35–46 35–47 34–49 34–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 36 0% 34–44 32–44 31–44 30–44

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 1.1% 99.7%  
75 0.1% 98.6%  
76 0.2% 98.6% Majority
77 1.3% 98%  
78 0.8% 97%  
79 1.3% 96%  
80 1.1% 95%  
81 5% 94%  
82 22% 89%  
83 13% 67%  
84 4% 54%  
85 21% 50%  
86 6% 29%  
87 0.6% 23% Median
88 0.6% 22%  
89 3% 22%  
90 8% 18%  
91 0.5% 11%  
92 3% 10%  
93 0.4% 7%  
94 6% 7%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.8% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.2%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 0.1% 99.1%  
69 0.1% 99.1%  
70 0.1% 99.0%  
71 0.1% 98.9%  
72 0.5% 98.8%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 0.5% 96%  
76 0.2% 96% Majority
77 1.4% 96%  
78 0.9% 94%  
79 2% 93%  
80 1.4% 92%  
81 5% 90%  
82 21% 85%  
83 13% 64%  
84 4% 51%  
85 21% 48%  
86 5% 26%  
87 0.2% 21% Median
88 0.5% 21%  
89 3% 21%  
90 7% 18%  
91 0.4% 10%  
92 3% 10%  
93 0.2% 7%  
94 6% 7%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.6% 100%  
68 0% 99.4%  
69 0.1% 99.3%  
70 0% 99.3%  
71 0% 99.2%  
72 0.2% 99.2%  
73 0.2% 99.0%  
74 1.1% 98.9%  
75 0.1% 98%  
76 0.2% 98% Majority
77 0.9% 97%  
78 3% 97%  
79 2% 93%  
80 1.5% 91%  
81 6% 90%  
82 24% 84%  
83 13% 60%  
84 10% 47%  
85 21% 37%  
86 3% 15%  
87 0.5% 12% Median
88 0.2% 12%  
89 3% 11%  
90 7% 9%  
91 0.4% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.3%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.8% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.1%  
67 0.6% 99.1%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 0.1% 98%  
70 0.1% 98%  
71 0.1% 98%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.8% 97%  
74 1.2% 97%  
75 0.6% 95%  
76 0.2% 95% Majority
77 0.9% 95%  
78 3% 94%  
79 2% 90%  
80 2% 88%  
81 6% 86%  
82 24% 81%  
83 13% 57%  
84 10% 44%  
85 21% 34%  
86 2% 13%  
87 0.2% 11% Median
88 0.1% 11%  
89 2% 10%  
90 7% 8%  
91 0.4% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 0.3% 99.4%  
69 6% 99.1%  
70 0.3% 93%  
71 3% 92% Median
72 2% 89%  
73 3% 87%  
74 0.4% 85%  
75 10% 84%  
76 2% 75% Majority
77 6% 73%  
78 21% 67%  
79 1.0% 46%  
80 5% 45%  
81 34% 40%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.2% 3%  
84 0.9% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.1% 2%  
87 0.7% 1.5%  
88 0.7% 0.8%  
89 0% 0.2% Last Result
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.6%  
63 2% 98.9%  
64 0.2% 97%  
65 0.7% 97%  
66 0.9% 96%  
67 0.3% 95%  
68 2% 95%  
69 34% 93%  
70 5% 59%  
71 1.1% 53%  
72 20% 52%  
73 5% 32%  
74 1.5% 26% Median
75 10% 25%  
76 0.4% 15% Majority
77 3% 15%  
78 2% 12%  
79 3% 10%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 6% 7%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.8% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.1%  
56 0.1% 99.1%  
57 0.1% 99.0%  
58 0.1% 98.9%  
59 0.4% 98.8%  
60 0.6% 98%  
61 0.7% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 1.0% 96%  
64 0.5% 95%  
65 0.7% 94%  
66 1.1% 93%  
67 0.6% 92%  
68 2% 92%  
69 34% 90%  
70 5% 56%  
71 1.0% 51%  
72 20% 50%  
73 5% 29%  
74 0.7% 24% Median
75 9% 24%  
76 0.1% 14% Majority
77 3% 14%  
78 2% 12%  
79 3% 10%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 6% 7%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.6% 100%  
53 0% 99.4%  
54 0% 99.4%  
55 0% 99.4%  
56 0.1% 99.4%  
57 0.1% 99.3%  
58 0.1% 99.2%  
59 0.1% 99.1%  
60 0.1% 99.0%  
61 0.1% 98.9%  
62 0.2% 98.8%  
63 2% 98.7%  
64 0.3% 97%  
65 0.7% 97%  
66 1.0% 96%  
67 3% 95%  
68 3% 92%  
69 38% 89%  
70 5% 51%  
71 7% 46%  
72 20% 39%  
73 5% 18%  
74 1.4% 13% Median
75 7% 11%  
76 0.3% 4% Majority
77 2% 4%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.2%  
80 0.2% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.6%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.6% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.4%  
54 0.8% 99.3%  
55 0.1% 98.5%  
56 0.2% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.2% 98%  
59 0.4% 98%  
60 0.6% 97%  
61 0.7% 97%  
62 1.0% 96%  
63 1.0% 95%  
64 0.5% 94%  
65 0.8% 94%  
66 1.0% 93%  
67 3% 92%  
68 3% 89%  
69 38% 86%  
70 5% 48%  
71 7% 43%  
72 20% 36%  
73 5% 16%  
74 0.6% 11% Median
75 7% 10%  
76 0.1% 3% Majority
77 2% 3%  
78 0.4% 1.1%  
79 0.1% 0.7%  
80 0.2% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.5%  
48 0.1% 99.3%  
49 0.8% 99.2%  
50 0.1% 98%  
51 0.6% 98%  
52 2% 98%  
53 0.3% 96%  
54 2% 96%  
55 0.4% 94%  
56 1.0% 94%  
57 0.4% 93%  
58 4% 92%  
59 3% 88%  
60 5% 86%  
61 1.0% 80%  
62 31% 79%  
63 0.3% 48%  
64 7% 48%  
65 0.3% 41% Median
66 0.7% 40%  
67 3% 40%  
68 1.1% 37%  
69 35% 36%  
70 0.2% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.4%  
74 0.4% 0.4%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.5%  
47 0.2% 97%  
48 6% 97%  
49 0.3% 91% Median
50 10% 91%  
51 4% 80%  
52 1.1% 77%  
53 1.3% 76%  
54 22% 74%  
55 3% 53%  
56 3% 49%  
57 2% 46%  
58 36% 45%  
59 2% 8%  
60 2% 6%  
61 2% 5%  
62 0.2% 3%  
63 0.8% 3%  
64 0.2% 2%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.1% 0.7%  
67 0% 0.6%  
68 0.6% 0.6%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.6% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.3%  
39 0% 99.3%  
40 0.8% 99.3%  
41 0.1% 98%  
42 0.2% 98%  
43 0.1% 98%  
44 0.2% 98%  
45 2% 98%  
46 0.8% 96%  
47 0.2% 95%  
48 2% 95%  
49 0.4% 94%  
50 0.9% 93%  
51 14% 92%  
52 27% 78%  
53 0.8% 52%  
54 0.6% 51%  
55 8% 50%  
56 1.3% 42%  
57 3% 41%  
58 23% 38% Median
59 5% 15%  
60 7% 10%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.2% 0.9%  
63 0.2% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 1.2% 99.7%  
42 0.9% 98.5%  
43 3% 98%  
44 0.6% 95%  
45 4% 94%  
46 3% 90%  
47 3% 87%  
48 27% 85%  
49 8% 58% Median
50 10% 51%  
51 4% 40%  
52 0.7% 36%  
53 2% 36%  
54 22% 34%  
55 0.2% 12%  
56 0.6% 12%  
57 0.1% 11%  
58 11% 11%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1% Last Result
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.8%  
34 0.4% 99.3%  
35 1.3% 98.9%  
36 0.6% 98%  
37 0.8% 97%  
38 0.5% 96%  
39 0.9% 96%  
40 1.1% 95%  
41 0.3% 94%  
42 3% 93%  
43 2% 90%  
44 2% 88%  
45 0.7% 85%  
46 10% 85%  
47 3% 75%  
48 21% 72%  
49 12% 51% Median
50 0.3% 39%  
51 13% 39%  
52 24% 26%  
53 0.7% 2%  
54 0.1% 0.9%  
55 0.6% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.8%  
35 7% 98%  
36 0.5% 91% Median
37 0.2% 90%  
38 3% 90%  
39 1.3% 87%  
40 1.1% 86%  
41 21% 85%  
42 0.5% 64%  
43 0.8% 63%  
44 12% 63%  
45 31% 50%  
46 2% 19%  
47 8% 17%  
48 0.8% 9%  
49 2% 9%  
50 2% 7%  
51 0.4% 5%  
52 3% 4%  
53 0.7% 2%  
54 0.1% 0.9%  
55 0.1% 0.9%  
56 0% 0.8%  
57 0% 0.7%  
58 0% 0.7%  
59 0% 0.7%  
60 0.6% 0.6%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.6%  
35 13% 97%  
36 0.6% 84% Median
37 3% 84%  
38 3% 81%  
39 1.4% 78%  
40 2% 77%  
41 21% 74%  
42 1.0% 53%  
43 0.8% 52%  
44 15% 52%  
45 25% 37%  
46 2% 12%  
47 5% 10%  
48 0.8% 5%  
49 1.5% 4%  
50 1.3% 2%  
51 0.3% 1.1%  
52 0.1% 0.8%  
53 0.6% 0.7%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 1.0% 98%  
32 3% 97%  
33 2% 94%  
34 6% 91%  
35 34% 86%  
36 3% 52% Median
37 4% 49%  
38 8% 45%  
39 1.5% 36%  
40 2% 35%  
41 21% 33%  
42 0.2% 12%  
43 0.1% 11%  
44 11% 11%  
45 0% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations