Opinion Poll by Polis, 7–11 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 18.1% 16.7–19.7% 16.3–20.1% 16.0–20.5% 15.3–21.2%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.4–14.3% 9.9–14.9%
Za ľudí 0.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.3% 8.7–11.7% 8.5–12.0% 8.0–12.6%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 9.8% 8.8–11.1% 8.5–11.4% 8.2–11.7% 7.7–12.3%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 9.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.0% 7.9–11.3% 7.4–11.9%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.6% 5.2–9.2%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.2%
SME RODINA 6.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%
VLASŤ 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 32 28–34 26–38 26–38 25–38
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 23 21–24 20–25 19–27 16–28
Za ľudí 0 19 14–21 14–21 13–21 13–23
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 17 16–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 17 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–21
Slovenská národná strana 15 13 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 11 9–12 9–13 0–14 0–16
SME RODINA 11 10 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–12
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 8 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–11
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–9 0–10 0–12 0–13
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–12
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 1.4% 99.8%  
26 4% 98%  
27 2% 95%  
28 4% 92%  
29 17% 88%  
30 3% 71%  
31 3% 68%  
32 38% 65% Median
33 16% 28%  
34 2% 12%  
35 0.4% 10%  
36 2% 9%  
37 0.3% 7%  
38 7% 7%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 1.4% 100%  
17 0.2% 98.6%  
18 0.5% 98%  
19 3% 98%  
20 4% 95%  
21 14% 92%  
22 12% 77%  
23 55% 66% Median
24 4% 11%  
25 3% 7%  
26 0.8% 5%  
27 2% 4%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 3% 100%  
14 11% 97%  
15 1.0% 86%  
16 11% 85%  
17 11% 74%  
18 9% 63%  
19 14% 53% Median
20 24% 39%  
21 13% 15%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.8%  
14 7% 99.4%  
15 2% 93%  
16 16% 91%  
17 40% 75% Last Result, Median
18 6% 35%  
19 14% 29%  
20 11% 15%  
21 4% 4%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 2% 100%  
13 5% 98%  
14 7% 94%  
15 23% 87%  
16 5% 64%  
17 19% 59% Median
18 7% 40%  
19 29% 33%  
20 2% 4%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 6% 99.1%  
11 7% 93%  
12 28% 86%  
13 38% 58% Median
14 17% 20%  
15 1.1% 3% Last Result
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.1% 97%  
9 14% 97%  
10 26% 82%  
11 27% 56% Median
12 22% 29%  
13 3% 7%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.3% 1.0%  
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0% 82%  
4 0% 82%  
5 0% 82%  
6 0% 82%  
7 0% 82%  
8 0.2% 82%  
9 28% 81%  
10 32% 54% Median
11 19% 21% Last Result
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 6% 53% Median
9 20% 47%  
10 24% 27%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Median
1 0% 33%  
2 0% 33%  
3 0% 33%  
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 0% 33%  
7 0% 33%  
8 8% 33%  
9 20% 25%  
10 1.4% 5%  
11 0.2% 4% Last Result
12 3% 3%  
13 0.8% 0.9%  
14 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 46%  
2 0% 46%  
3 0% 46%  
4 0% 46%  
5 0% 46%  
6 0% 46%  
7 0% 46%  
8 2% 46%  
9 19% 44%  
10 24% 25%  
11 0.7% 2%  
12 0.8% 0.9%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 83 97% 77–90 76–91 75–93 72–96
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 81 81% 74–86 74–86 73–87 70–90
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita 60 80 69% 72–86 72–86 67–87 65–89
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 76 54% 64–86 64–86 64–86 63–87
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 74 35% 70–83 66–84 66–85 66–90
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 89 76 51% 67–80 66–84 65–84 60–84
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 73 9% 62–75 62–77 62–79 61–84
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 73 7% 66–75 66–77 65–78 64–84
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 67 2% 62–75 59–75 55–75 55–77
Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 57 0% 50–65 49–65 46–65 44–67
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 54 0% 44–57 44–61 42–61 39–61
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 49 0% 43–59 43–59 41–59 40–59
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 47 0% 41–53 41–54 41–57 39–58
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 45 0% 39–47 39–51 38–51 36–52
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 39 0% 31–49 31–49 30–49 30–49
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 41 0% 32–44 32–48 31–48 28–48
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 32 0% 28–34 26–38 26–38 25–38

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.0% 99.9%  
73 0% 98.9%  
74 0% 98.8%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 6% 97% Majority
77 1.4% 91%  
78 0.1% 89%  
79 0.2% 89%  
80 2% 89%  
81 14% 87%  
82 23% 73% Median
83 11% 50%  
84 5% 40%  
85 3% 35%  
86 15% 31%  
87 2% 16%  
88 2% 14%  
89 2% 12%  
90 5% 10%  
91 0.3% 5%  
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 1.1%  
95 0% 1.0%  
96 0.9% 0.9%  
97 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.5%  
72 1.2% 99.4%  
73 2% 98%  
74 10% 96%  
75 5% 86%  
76 6% 81% Majority
77 2% 74%  
78 3% 72%  
79 2% 69%  
80 4% 67%  
81 15% 63%  
82 27% 49% Median
83 0.6% 22%  
84 5% 21%  
85 0.6% 16%  
86 13% 16%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 1.1%  
89 0% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 2% 100%  
66 0% 98%  
67 1.2% 98%  
68 0% 97%  
69 0.1% 97%  
70 0.1% 97%  
71 0.2% 97%  
72 13% 97%  
73 11% 83%  
74 3% 72%  
75 0.5% 70%  
76 7% 69% Majority
77 3% 62%  
78 0.4% 59%  
79 2% 58%  
80 7% 56%  
81 2% 50%  
82 23% 47% Median
83 2% 24%  
84 3% 23%  
85 2% 19%  
86 13% 17%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.1% 2%  
89 1.4% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.6%  
64 10% 99.1%  
65 4% 89%  
66 0.3% 84%  
67 1.4% 84%  
68 0.9% 83%  
69 3% 82%  
70 2% 79%  
71 0.9% 77%  
72 18% 76%  
73 2% 59%  
74 2% 57%  
75 0.7% 55%  
76 8% 54% Majority
77 0.6% 46%  
78 1.0% 46%  
79 0.5% 45%  
80 4% 44%  
81 2% 41%  
82 22% 39% Median
83 0.3% 16%  
84 2% 16%  
85 0.1% 14%  
86 12% 14%  
87 1.4% 1.4%  
88 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 6% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 94%  
68 2% 93%  
69 0% 91%  
70 1.5% 91%  
71 14% 90%  
72 1.2% 76% Median
73 21% 75%  
74 5% 54%  
75 14% 49%  
76 5% 35% Majority
77 3% 29%  
78 2% 26%  
79 1.3% 24%  
80 4% 23%  
81 0.8% 19%  
82 0.8% 18%  
83 12% 17%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 4%  
86 0.1% 2%  
87 0.3% 2%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.6% 0.7%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.3%  
62 1.1% 99.2%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 2% 96%  
67 12% 95%  
68 0.8% 83%  
69 0.8% 82%  
70 4% 81%  
71 1.3% 77%  
72 2% 76%  
73 3% 74%  
74 5% 71%  
75 14% 65%  
76 5% 51% Majority
77 21% 46%  
78 1.2% 25% Median
79 14% 24%  
80 1.5% 10%  
81 0% 9%  
82 2% 9%  
83 0.3% 7%  
84 6% 6%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 1.4% 99.9%  
62 11% 98%  
63 0.4% 88%  
64 2% 87%  
65 2% 85%  
66 7% 83%  
67 4% 76%  
68 3% 72%  
69 0.8% 69%  
70 4% 68%  
71 4% 64%  
72 2% 60% Median
73 32% 59%  
74 4% 26%  
75 13% 22%  
76 3% 9% Majority
77 2% 6%  
78 1.4% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 0.2% 1.4%  
81 0.5% 1.2%  
82 0% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.6%  
85 0% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.4%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 2% 99.7%  
65 3% 98%  
66 6% 95%  
67 0.6% 89%  
68 5% 88%  
69 2% 83%  
70 3% 81%  
71 14% 78%  
72 5% 64% Median
73 22% 59%  
74 13% 38%  
75 17% 24%  
76 1.4% 7% Majority
77 3% 6%  
78 0.2% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.3% 2%  
81 0.1% 1.3%  
82 0.3% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 2% 99.8%  
56 0% 97%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.3% 97%  
59 3% 97%  
60 0.9% 94%  
61 2% 93%  
62 14% 90%  
63 1.0% 76%  
64 13% 75%  
65 4% 62%  
66 6% 58%  
67 4% 52%  
68 3% 48%  
69 2% 46%  
70 1.1% 44%  
71 3% 43%  
72 1.4% 40% Median
73 21% 38%  
74 2% 17%  
75 12% 15%  
76 0.4% 2% Majority
77 2% 2%  
78 0% 0.4%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 2% 100%  
45 0% 98%  
46 0.1% 98%  
47 0.1% 97%  
48 0.5% 97%  
49 3% 97%  
50 11% 94%  
51 0.7% 83%  
52 6% 82%  
53 3% 76%  
54 7% 73%  
55 14% 66%  
56 1.5% 53%  
57 2% 51%  
58 5% 50%  
59 0.5% 45%  
60 4% 45%  
61 3% 41% Median
62 21% 38%  
63 0.5% 17%  
64 4% 17%  
65 12% 13%  
66 0.1% 0.6%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0% 0.3%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.9% 99.8%  
40 0.4% 98.9%  
41 0.2% 98.5%  
42 0.9% 98%  
43 0.1% 97%  
44 11% 97%  
45 2% 87%  
46 0.6% 85%  
47 2% 85%  
48 2% 82%  
49 7% 80%  
50 2% 73%  
51 1.3% 71%  
52 15% 70%  
53 4% 55%  
54 23% 51%  
55 5% 27% Median
56 3% 22%  
57 13% 20%  
58 0.4% 7%  
59 0.4% 7%  
60 0.1% 6%  
61 6% 6%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.3% 99.7%  
41 3% 99.4%  
42 0.1% 97%  
43 13% 97%  
44 2% 84%  
45 10% 82%  
46 7% 72%  
47 12% 65%  
48 3% 54%  
49 2% 51%  
50 0.9% 49%  
51 3% 48%  
52 3% 45%  
53 0.3% 42%  
54 2% 42%  
55 0.4% 39% Median
56 25% 39%  
57 0.5% 14%  
58 0.2% 13%  
59 13% 13%  
60 0.1% 0.5%  
61 0.3% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 2% 99.4%  
41 12% 98%  
42 2% 86%  
43 0.4% 83%  
44 0.3% 83%  
45 30% 83% Median
46 0.4% 53%  
47 19% 52%  
48 2% 33%  
49 2% 31%  
50 1.2% 29%  
51 9% 28%  
52 2% 19%  
53 11% 17%  
54 3% 6%  
55 0.2% 3%  
56 0.3% 3%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 2% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 98%  
38 2% 98%  
39 7% 95%  
40 2% 89%  
41 13% 87%  
42 4% 74%  
43 4% 70%  
44 11% 66%  
45 33% 56% Median
46 0.5% 23%  
47 13% 22%  
48 0.6% 10%  
49 2% 9%  
50 0.2% 7%  
51 7% 7%  
52 0.4% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.9%  
31 11% 97%  
32 0.1% 87%  
33 0.3% 86%  
34 10% 86%  
35 8% 76%  
36 1.2% 68%  
37 3% 67%  
38 14% 64%  
39 1.2% 50%  
40 2% 49%  
41 3% 47%  
42 2% 44%  
43 3% 41%  
44 0.3% 38% Median
45 23% 38%  
46 1.2% 15%  
47 0.6% 13%  
48 0.2% 13%  
49 12% 13%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 1.4% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 98%  
30 0.3% 98%  
31 0.2% 98%  
32 11% 97%  
33 2% 87%  
34 2% 85%  
35 0.4% 84%  
36 7% 83%  
37 0.9% 76%  
38 2% 76%  
39 7% 73%  
40 16% 67%  
41 22% 51%  
42 3% 28% Median
43 13% 25%  
44 4% 12%  
45 1.4% 8%  
46 0.1% 6%  
47 0.3% 6%  
48 6% 6%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 1.4% 99.8%  
26 4% 98%  
27 2% 95%  
28 4% 92%  
29 17% 88%  
30 3% 71%  
31 3% 68%  
32 38% 65% Median
33 16% 28%  
34 2% 12%  
35 0.4% 10%  
36 2% 9%  
37 0.3% 7%  
38 7% 7%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations