Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 10–14 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.1%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 13.6% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.6%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Za ľudí 0.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.6%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 5.1% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
VLASŤ 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 34 31–39 30–39 30–39 28–42
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 25 22–28 22–29 21–30 20–32
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 18 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–25
Za ľudí 0 18 17–22 16–22 15–23 14–26
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 15 13–18 12–18 12–18 10–19
SME RODINA 11 13 12–15 10–15 9–16 9–18
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 10 10–13 0–14 0–14 0–15
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 11 0–13 0–13 0–13 0–15
Slovenská národná strana 15 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–11
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0–9 0–9
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.7%  
29 0.6% 99.1%  
30 4% 98%  
31 6% 95%  
32 4% 88%  
33 23% 84%  
34 18% 62% Median
35 6% 43%  
36 22% 38%  
37 0.8% 16%  
38 4% 15%  
39 10% 11%  
40 0.3% 1.4%  
41 0.1% 1.0%  
42 0.7% 0.9%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.3% 100%  
20 2% 99.7%  
21 2% 98%  
22 9% 96%  
23 3% 87%  
24 27% 84%  
25 25% 57% Median
26 7% 32%  
27 2% 25%  
28 17% 23%  
29 3% 6%  
30 0.7% 3%  
31 1.1% 2%  
32 1.0% 1.0%  
33 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.3%  
17 12% 97%  
18 36% 85% Median
19 9% 49%  
20 6% 41%  
21 2% 35%  
22 27% 33%  
23 2% 6%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 1.0% 100%  
15 2% 98.9%  
16 4% 97%  
17 5% 93%  
18 45% 89% Median
19 6% 44%  
20 10% 37%  
21 9% 28%  
22 16% 18%  
23 0.6% 3%  
24 0.5% 2%  
25 0.8% 1.5%  
26 0.5% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.4%  
12 6% 98%  
13 18% 92%  
14 20% 75%  
15 24% 54% Median
16 11% 30%  
17 4% 20% Last Result
18 14% 16%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 4% 97%  
11 2% 94% Last Result
12 9% 91%  
13 37% 82% Median
14 18% 45%  
15 24% 28%  
16 2% 4%  
17 0.4% 1.4%  
18 0.9% 1.0%  
19 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 4% 94%  
10 41% 90% Median
11 24% 50%  
12 7% 25%  
13 13% 19%  
14 5% 6%  
15 0.5% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 0% 75%  
8 0% 75%  
9 5% 75%  
10 11% 70%  
11 24% 59% Median
12 8% 35%  
13 25% 27%  
14 1.1% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Median
1 0% 22%  
2 0% 22%  
3 0% 22%  
4 0% 22%  
5 0% 22%  
6 0% 22%  
7 0% 22%  
8 0% 22%  
9 4% 22%  
10 6% 18%  
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 0% 15%  
9 0.8% 15%  
10 0.5% 15%  
11 14% 14% Last Result
12 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 0% 4%  
8 0% 4%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 89 97% 81–93 78–93 75–94 73–94
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 88 96% 78–93 77–93 75–94 73–94
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 89 96% 81–93 78–93 75–93 73–94
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 88 95% 78–93 77–93 73–93 72–94
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 75 30% 72–81 70–85 68–87 68–89
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 75 49% 69–78 65–80 63–82 61–82
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 75 34% 65–78 64–79 62–82 60–82
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 75 45% 69–78 63–78 62–78 60–81
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 75 31% 65–78 63–78 62–78 59–81
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 64 0% 54–68 54–68 52–69 49–69
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 58 0% 51–63 50–64 47–64 44–67
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 49 0% 47–56 46–58 43–60 43–64
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 48 0% 44–53 43–53 41–53 40–56
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 47 0% 40–53 40–53 39–53 36–55
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 36 0% 33–47 32–47 31–48 31–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 36 0% 33–44 32–47 31–48 31–50
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 34 0% 31–39 30–39 30–39 28–42

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 1.5% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 1.5% 98%  
76 0.3% 97% Majority
77 0.6% 96%  
78 0.9% 96%  
79 0.3% 95%  
80 0.9% 95%  
81 5% 94%  
82 2% 89%  
83 3% 87%  
84 4% 84%  
85 4% 80% Median
86 3% 76%  
87 3% 73%  
88 16% 70%  
89 24% 54%  
90 1.4% 30%  
91 2% 29%  
92 0.7% 26%  
93 21% 26%  
94 4% 5%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.6%  
74 0.3% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 0.3% 96% Majority
77 0.7% 96%  
78 15% 95%  
79 0.4% 80%  
80 0.9% 80%  
81 5% 79%  
82 2% 74%  
83 3% 72%  
84 4% 69%  
85 4% 65% Median
86 3% 62%  
87 3% 59%  
88 16% 56%  
89 10% 40%  
90 1.4% 30%  
91 2% 29%  
92 0.7% 26%  
93 21% 26%  
94 4% 5%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 2% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 1.5% 98%  
76 0.3% 96% Majority
77 0.6% 96%  
78 0.8% 95%  
79 0.4% 94%  
80 0.8% 94%  
81 5% 93%  
82 1.3% 89%  
83 3% 87%  
84 4% 84%  
85 7% 80% Median
86 3% 73%  
87 3% 70%  
88 16% 67%  
89 24% 51%  
90 1.4% 27%  
91 2% 26%  
92 0.7% 23%  
93 21% 22%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 2% 99.4%  
74 0.3% 97%  
75 2% 97%  
76 0.4% 95% Majority
77 0.7% 95%  
78 15% 94%  
79 0.5% 79%  
80 0.9% 79%  
81 5% 78%  
82 1.4% 73%  
83 3% 72%  
84 4% 69%  
85 7% 65% Median
86 3% 58%  
87 3% 55%  
88 16% 53%  
89 10% 37%  
90 1.4% 27%  
91 2% 25%  
92 0.7% 23%  
93 21% 22%  
94 1.2% 2%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 3% 99.8%  
69 1.2% 96%  
70 0.3% 95%  
71 0.7% 95%  
72 21% 94% Median
73 3% 73%  
74 19% 70%  
75 21% 51%  
76 2% 30% Majority
77 6% 28%  
78 4% 23%  
79 5% 19%  
80 3% 14%  
81 3% 11%  
82 2% 8%  
83 1.0% 7%  
84 0.5% 6%  
85 0.3% 5%  
86 0.4% 5%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 2% 2% Last Result
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.7%  
61 2% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 98%  
63 2% 98%  
64 0.4% 96%  
65 0.3% 95%  
66 0.5% 95%  
67 1.0% 94%  
68 2% 93%  
69 3% 92%  
70 3% 89%  
71 5% 86%  
72 4% 81% Median
73 6% 77%  
74 2% 72%  
75 21% 69%  
76 19% 49% Majority
77 3% 30%  
78 21% 27%  
79 0.7% 6%  
80 0.3% 5%  
81 1.2% 5%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.6%  
61 2% 99.4%  
62 0.7% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 0.7% 95%  
65 14% 95%  
66 0.7% 80%  
67 1.3% 80%  
68 2% 78%  
69 3% 76%  
70 3% 73%  
71 4% 70%  
72 4% 66% Median
73 6% 62%  
74 2% 57%  
75 20% 55%  
76 5% 34% Majority
77 3% 29%  
78 21% 26%  
79 0.6% 5%  
80 0.3% 5%  
81 1.2% 5%  
82 3% 3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.1% 99.5%  
61 2% 99.5%  
62 1.0% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 0.5% 95%  
65 0.3% 95%  
66 0.3% 94%  
67 1.0% 94%  
68 2% 93%  
69 3% 91%  
70 3% 88%  
71 4% 85%  
72 4% 81% Median
73 9% 77%  
74 2% 68%  
75 21% 66%  
76 19% 45% Majority
77 3% 27%  
78 21% 23%  
79 0.7% 2%  
80 0.3% 2%  
81 1.1% 1.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.3% 99.4%  
61 2% 99.2%  
62 1.1% 98%  
63 2% 96%  
64 0.7% 95%  
65 14% 94%  
66 0.5% 80%  
67 1.3% 79%  
68 2% 78%  
69 3% 76%  
70 3% 73%  
71 4% 70%  
72 4% 66% Median
73 9% 62%  
74 2% 53%  
75 20% 52%  
76 5% 31% Majority
77 3% 26%  
78 21% 23%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.3% 2%  
81 1.1% 1.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.7%  
50 0.3% 99.4%  
51 0.7% 99.1%  
52 1.1% 98%  
53 0.6% 97%  
54 14% 97%  
55 0.3% 83%  
56 4% 82%  
57 1.0% 79%  
58 2% 78%  
59 7% 76%  
60 2% 69%  
61 6% 66%  
62 8% 61% Median
63 3% 53%  
64 4% 50%  
65 21% 47%  
66 1.0% 26%  
67 1.2% 25%  
68 21% 24%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 0.2% 99.6%  
45 2% 99.4%  
46 0.1% 98%  
47 0.6% 98%  
48 1.2% 97%  
49 0.6% 96%  
50 1.3% 95%  
51 15% 94%  
52 1.5% 79%  
53 3% 78%  
54 3% 75%  
55 4% 72%  
56 1.3% 68%  
57 16% 67% Median
58 2% 51%  
59 5% 49%  
60 9% 45%  
61 2% 36%  
62 6% 33%  
63 22% 28%  
64 4% 6%  
65 0.3% 2%  
66 0.1% 1.5%  
67 1.3% 1.4%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 3% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 97%  
45 1.3% 96%  
46 0.2% 95%  
47 15% 95% Median
48 22% 80%  
49 21% 58%  
50 1.2% 37%  
51 3% 36%  
52 4% 33%  
53 10% 28%  
54 2% 18%  
55 3% 15%  
56 5% 13%  
57 0.9% 8%  
58 3% 7%  
59 1.1% 4%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.7% 2%  
62 0.2% 1.0%  
63 0.2% 0.8%  
64 0.1% 0.6%  
65 0.3% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 2% 99.5%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 0.5% 97%  
43 5% 96%  
44 4% 91%  
45 6% 87%  
46 2% 82%  
47 17% 80% Median
48 22% 63%  
49 22% 41%  
50 3% 18%  
51 0.6% 15%  
52 4% 15%  
53 9% 11%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 0.4% 1.2%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.2% 99.6%  
37 0.9% 99.4%  
38 0.7% 98%  
39 0.6% 98%  
40 16% 97%  
41 0.7% 81%  
42 0.7% 80%  
43 3% 79%  
44 0.7% 76%  
45 9% 75%  
46 5% 66%  
47 15% 61% Median
48 5% 47%  
49 7% 42%  
50 1.3% 35%  
51 4% 33%  
52 1.4% 29%  
53 26% 27%  
54 0.2% 2%  
55 1.2% 1.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.7%  
32 1.5% 96%  
33 21% 95%  
34 16% 74% Median
35 4% 58%  
36 4% 54%  
37 0.5% 50%  
38 4% 49%  
39 10% 46%  
40 2% 36%  
41 4% 34%  
42 3% 30%  
43 3% 28%  
44 0.4% 25%  
45 3% 25%  
46 2% 22%  
47 17% 20%  
48 2% 4%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 0.3% 1.4%  
51 0.3% 1.1%  
52 0.2% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.6%  
32 1.5% 96%  
33 21% 95%  
34 16% 74% Median
35 4% 58%  
36 18% 54%  
37 0.5% 36%  
38 4% 35%  
39 10% 31%  
40 2% 22%  
41 4% 20%  
42 3% 16%  
43 3% 13%  
44 0.6% 10%  
45 3% 10%  
46 1.4% 7%  
47 3% 5%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.6% 1.1%  
50 0.3% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.7%  
29 0.6% 99.1%  
30 4% 98%  
31 6% 95%  
32 4% 88%  
33 23% 84%  
34 18% 62% Median
35 6% 43%  
36 22% 38%  
37 0.8% 16%  
38 4% 15%  
39 10% 11%  
40 0.3% 1.4%  
41 0.1% 1.0%  
42 0.7% 0.9%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations