Opinion Poll by Polis, 10–15 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 17.1% 15.7–18.6% 15.3–19.0% 15.0–19.4% 14.4–20.1%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 12.4% 11.2–13.7% 10.9–14.1% 10.6–14.4% 10.0–15.1%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
Za ľudí 0.0% 9.7% 8.7–11.0% 8.4–11.3% 8.1–11.6% 7.7–12.2%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 8.4% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.5–10.8%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–7.9% 4.7–8.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.9% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–6.1% 3.8–6.3% 3.5–6.8%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.1%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.8–5.9%
VLASŤ 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.5–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 31 26–34 26–37 26–39 25–39
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 22 20–26 19–29 18–29 18–29
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 18 14–21 14–22 14–22 14–23
Za ľudí 0 18 15–21 15–22 14–22 13–22
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 15 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Slovenská národná strana 15 11 9–14 9–14 9–14 0–16
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 11 9–13 0–13 0–13 0–14
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–13
SME RODINA 11 10 0–12 0–12 0–12 0–14
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–10
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0–9

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 1.0% 99.9%  
26 15% 98.9%  
27 0.8% 84%  
28 3% 83%  
29 10% 81%  
30 13% 71%  
31 20% 58% Median
32 7% 38%  
33 4% 31%  
34 18% 27%  
35 3% 9%  
36 0.5% 6%  
37 1.4% 6%  
38 0.3% 4%  
39 4% 4%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 4% 99.9%  
19 4% 96%  
20 14% 91%  
21 16% 77%  
22 23% 62% Median
23 7% 39%  
24 9% 32%  
25 12% 23%  
26 6% 11%  
27 0.3% 5%  
28 0.2% 5%  
29 5% 5%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 12% 99.8%  
15 16% 88%  
16 9% 72%  
17 14% 64% Last Result
18 25% 50% Median
19 9% 25%  
20 5% 16%  
21 5% 12%  
22 5% 7%  
23 1.0% 1.3%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.7%  
14 3% 99.4%  
15 8% 96%  
16 4% 88%  
17 12% 84%  
18 43% 72% Median
19 11% 29%  
20 7% 17%  
21 4% 10%  
22 6% 6%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.9%  
13 16% 98.5%  
14 19% 83%  
15 20% 63% Median
16 7% 43%  
17 21% 36%  
18 10% 15%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 31% 98%  
10 6% 67%  
11 24% 61% Median
12 13% 37%  
13 14% 24%  
14 8% 10%  
15 0.8% 2% Last Result
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 15% 92%  
10 27% 77%  
11 33% 51% Median
12 7% 17%  
13 10% 11%  
14 0.4% 0.7%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 1.2% 88%  
9 19% 87%  
10 39% 68% Median
11 10% 29%  
12 13% 20%  
13 7% 7%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 0% 84%  
9 22% 84%  
10 38% 62% Median
11 14% 24% Last Result
12 8% 10%  
13 0.9% 2%  
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 0.6% 50%  
9 27% 49%  
10 17% 22%  
11 5% 6% Last Result
12 0.3% 0.8%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0.7% 6%  
9 3% 6%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 0.1% 17%  
9 12% 17%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 1.3% 2%  
9 0.6% 0.8%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 84 94% 78–89 75–92 74–93 71–95
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 83 92% 76–89 74–89 74–90 71–93
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 79 86% 74–83 72–85 70–90 66–93
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 89 72 34% 65–79 65–86 64–87 61–89
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 79 83% 74–83 71–84 70–84 64–87
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 76 57% 69–81 63–82 63–84 61–88
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 76 53% 66–80 63–81 63–82 61–88
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 69 16% 64–78 63–81 63–81 57–84
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 69 12% 64–78 63–79 61–81 55–81
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 60 0% 55–67 52–68 51–70 48–72
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA 75 50 0% 44–56 43–60 43–63 40–64
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 53 0% 46–57 43–59 41–62 38–62
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 45 0% 43–52 39–54 38–54 36–57
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 43 0% 35–46 35–50 35–52 32–52
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 43 0% 37–46 33–50 31–51 30–51
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 40 0% 34–44 31–49 31–50 29–51
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 31 0% 26–34 26–37 26–39 25–39

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.6%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 0.1% 99.4%  
74 4% 99.3%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94% Majority
77 0.4% 91%  
78 5% 90%  
79 4% 85%  
80 4% 82%  
81 11% 78%  
82 1.2% 67% Median
83 15% 66%  
84 2% 51%  
85 13% 49%  
86 6% 36%  
87 1.2% 30%  
88 10% 28%  
89 10% 18%  
90 1.4% 8%  
91 0.7% 6%  
92 0.8% 6%  
93 3% 5%  
94 0.2% 1.4%  
95 0.8% 1.3%  
96 0% 0.5%  
97 0% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0.3% 0.3%  
101 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0% 99.6%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 0.9% 99.1%  
73 0.4% 98%  
74 4% 98%  
75 2% 94%  
76 3% 92% Majority
77 0.4% 89%  
78 5% 89%  
79 4% 83%  
80 4% 79%  
81 11% 76%  
82 2% 65% Median
83 15% 63%  
84 3% 49%  
85 14% 45%  
86 6% 32%  
87 1.1% 26%  
88 10% 24%  
89 10% 14%  
90 2% 4%  
91 0.1% 2%  
92 0.1% 2%  
93 2% 2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 0.2% 99.4%  
68 0.1% 99.2%  
69 0.4% 99.1%  
70 3% 98.6%  
71 0.7% 96%  
72 0.8% 95%  
73 0.5% 94%  
74 5% 94%  
75 3% 89%  
76 15% 86% Majority
77 4% 71%  
78 6% 66%  
79 22% 60%  
80 2% 38%  
81 11% 36%  
82 1.0% 25% Median
83 15% 24%  
84 4% 9%  
85 2% 6%  
86 0.3% 4%  
87 0.5% 4%  
88 0.2% 3%  
89 0.2% 3%  
90 0.4% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0% 2%  
93 1.5% 2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 1.1% 99.3%  
63 0.4% 98%  
64 0.7% 98%  
65 11% 97%  
66 2% 86%  
67 3% 84%  
68 3% 81%  
69 6% 78%  
70 6% 73%  
71 11% 67%  
72 14% 56%  
73 5% 42%  
74 2% 38% Median
75 2% 36%  
76 3% 34% Majority
77 12% 31%  
78 3% 19%  
79 7% 16%  
80 0.3% 9%  
81 0.4% 9%  
82 0.3% 8%  
83 0.1% 8%  
84 0.1% 8%  
85 0.1% 8%  
86 3% 8%  
87 4% 5%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.8% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 98.9%  
66 0.3% 98.8%  
67 0.2% 98.6%  
68 0.1% 98%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 3% 98%  
71 1.0% 95%  
72 0.9% 94%  
73 1.0% 93%  
74 5% 92%  
75 4% 87%  
76 15% 83% Majority
77 4% 68%  
78 6% 64%  
79 22% 57%  
80 2% 35%  
81 11% 33%  
82 1.2% 22% Median
83 14% 21%  
84 5% 7%  
85 0.8% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.2%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.8% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.0%  
63 4% 99.0%  
64 3% 95%  
65 0.1% 92%  
66 0.5% 92%  
67 0.5% 91%  
68 0.3% 91%  
69 0.8% 90%  
70 3% 90%  
71 7% 87%  
72 3% 79% Median
73 12% 76%  
74 3% 64%  
75 3% 60%  
76 12% 57% Majority
77 4% 44%  
78 14% 40%  
79 10% 26%  
80 3% 16%  
81 5% 13%  
82 3% 7%  
83 0.7% 5%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.1% 2%  
88 1.0% 1.5%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.9% 99.7%  
62 0.3% 98.9%  
63 5% 98.6%  
64 3% 94%  
65 0.2% 91%  
66 0.6% 91%  
67 0.5% 90%  
68 0.4% 89%  
69 1.2% 89%  
70 3% 88%  
71 7% 85%  
72 4% 77% Median
73 12% 74%  
74 3% 61%  
75 5% 58%  
76 13% 53% Majority
77 4% 40%  
78 14% 36%  
79 10% 22%  
80 3% 12%  
81 5% 9%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.4%  
85 0.1% 1.3%  
86 0.1% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 1.1%  
88 1.0% 1.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.7%  
55 0% 99.7%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 0.2% 99.6%  
58 0.1% 99.4%  
59 0.1% 99.4%  
60 0.3% 99.2%  
61 0.8% 98.9%  
62 0.1% 98%  
63 6% 98%  
64 5% 92%  
65 2% 87%  
66 1.2% 85%  
67 12% 84%  
68 4% 72%  
69 19% 68%  
70 6% 50%  
71 7% 43%  
72 4% 36% Median
73 14% 32%  
74 0.6% 18%  
75 1.3% 17%  
76 1.5% 16% Majority
77 0.4% 14%  
78 6% 14%  
79 1.4% 8%  
80 0.5% 7%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 1.4% 1.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.5% 99.5%  
56 0.1% 99.0%  
57 0.2% 98.9%  
58 0.1% 98.7%  
59 0.2% 98.6%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 1.0% 98%  
62 0.7% 97%  
63 6% 96%  
64 6% 91%  
65 2% 85%  
66 2% 84%  
67 12% 82%  
68 4% 70%  
69 19% 66%  
70 6% 47%  
71 7% 40%  
72 4% 33% Median
73 14% 29%  
74 0.6% 15%  
75 3% 14%  
76 0.8% 12% Majority
77 0.4% 11%  
78 6% 11%  
79 1.0% 5%  
80 0.1% 4%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.5%  
47 0% 99.5%  
48 0% 99.5%  
49 0.2% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 99.3%  
51 3% 99.0%  
52 2% 96%  
53 1.1% 94%  
54 2% 93%  
55 6% 91%  
56 12% 85%  
57 4% 73%  
58 7% 70%  
59 4% 63%  
60 16% 59%  
61 9% 44% Median
62 1.0% 35%  
63 19% 34%  
64 0.6% 15%  
65 2% 14%  
66 0.5% 13%  
67 7% 12%  
68 0.3% 5%  
69 0% 5%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.2% 0.8%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.1% 99.5%  
41 1.2% 99.4%  
42 0.5% 98%  
43 5% 98%  
44 15% 93%  
45 5% 78%  
46 2% 73%  
47 3% 72%  
48 4% 68%  
49 3% 64%  
50 11% 61%  
51 8% 50%  
52 5% 42% Median
53 4% 37%  
54 8% 33%  
55 15% 25%  
56 2% 10%  
57 0.2% 8%  
58 0.4% 8%  
59 0.1% 8%  
60 3% 8%  
61 0% 5%  
62 0.4% 5%  
63 4% 4%  
64 0.8% 0.9%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.8% 99.7%  
39 0.3% 98.9%  
40 0.6% 98.6%  
41 0.7% 98%  
42 1.2% 97%  
43 2% 96%  
44 0.2% 94%  
45 0.8% 94%  
46 8% 93%  
47 2% 86%  
48 1.3% 84%  
49 2% 83%  
50 1.5% 81%  
51 7% 79%  
52 9% 72%  
53 18% 63%  
54 9% 45% Median
55 20% 36%  
56 5% 16%  
57 4% 11%  
58 1.1% 7%  
59 1.1% 6%  
60 0.4% 5%  
61 0.1% 4%  
62 4% 4%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.3% 99.5%  
37 0.6% 99.2%  
38 3% 98.6%  
39 3% 96%  
40 0.7% 93%  
41 0.4% 92%  
42 0.3% 92% Median
43 6% 92%  
44 22% 86%  
45 17% 64%  
46 4% 47%  
47 0.4% 43%  
48 5% 43%  
49 12% 38%  
50 3% 27%  
51 7% 24%  
52 8% 17%  
53 3% 8%  
54 3% 5%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0.3% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.5%  
33 0.1% 99.5%  
34 0.1% 99.3%  
35 13% 99.2%  
36 0.8% 87%  
37 3% 86%  
38 6% 83%  
39 5% 77%  
40 10% 73%  
41 7% 62%  
42 5% 55% Median
43 7% 50%  
44 16% 43%  
45 17% 28%  
46 2% 11%  
47 0.3% 9%  
48 3% 9%  
49 0.2% 5%  
50 1.4% 5%  
51 0.1% 4%  
52 4% 4%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.7%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 0.1% 97%  
33 3% 97%  
34 0.1% 94%  
35 0.7% 94%  
36 0.8% 93%  
37 3% 92%  
38 4% 89%  
39 2% 86%  
40 5% 84%  
41 10% 79%  
42 16% 69%  
43 3% 53% Median
44 1.0% 50%  
45 36% 49%  
46 6% 13%  
47 0.4% 6%  
48 0.1% 6%  
49 0.4% 6%  
50 0.6% 5%  
51 4% 5%  
52 0% 0.3%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.8%  
29 1.2% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 98.5%  
31 7% 98%  
32 0.4% 91%  
33 0.5% 91%  
34 5% 90%  
35 13% 85%  
36 0.6% 72%  
37 3% 71%  
38 6% 68%  
39 0.7% 62%  
40 16% 61%  
41 9% 45% Median
42 9% 36%  
43 2% 27%  
44 15% 25%  
45 0.4% 9%  
46 0.6% 9%  
47 3% 8%  
48 0.1% 5%  
49 0.8% 5%  
50 4% 4%  
51 0.9% 1.0%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 1.0% 99.9%  
26 15% 98.9%  
27 0.8% 84%  
28 3% 83%  
29 10% 81%  
30 13% 71%  
31 20% 58% Median
32 7% 38%  
33 4% 31%  
34 18% 27%  
35 3% 9%  
36 0.5% 6%  
37 1.4% 6%  
38 0.3% 4%  
39 4% 4%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations