Opinion Poll by AKO, 15–17 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
Za ľudí 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
VLASŤ 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 30 28–34 28–36 28–37 26–38
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 21 17–24 17–25 17–25 16–26
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 19 17–20 16–22 15–23 14–26
Za ľudí 0 19 17–21 16–23 14–23 13–24
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 14 13–17 13–20 13–20 11–21
SME RODINA 11 15 13–17 12–19 12–19 11–19
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 12 10–15 9–16 9–16 0–16
Slovenská národná strana 15 10 0–12 0–12 0–14 0–15
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–11
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0–9
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.9% 99.7%  
27 0.5% 98.8%  
28 21% 98%  
29 10% 77%  
30 34% 67% Median
31 5% 33%  
32 10% 29%  
33 4% 19%  
34 6% 15%  
35 0.9% 9%  
36 4% 8%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.4% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0.1% 100%  
16 1.2% 99.8%  
17 9% 98.6%  
18 6% 90%  
19 9% 84%  
20 4% 75%  
21 25% 72% Median
22 28% 47%  
23 0.6% 19%  
24 11% 18%  
25 7% 8%  
26 0.5% 0.6%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.6% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.3%  
16 5% 97%  
17 7% 92%  
18 3% 85%  
19 58% 81% Median
20 15% 23%  
21 3% 9%  
22 1.4% 6%  
23 2% 4%  
24 0.1% 2%  
25 0.2% 2%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.5% 100%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 1.2% 97%  
16 6% 96%  
17 6% 90%  
18 31% 84%  
19 16% 53% Median
20 25% 38%  
21 5% 13%  
22 2% 9%  
23 6% 6%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 1.3% 99.1%  
13 23% 98%  
14 25% 74% Median
15 4% 50%  
16 17% 46%  
17 20% 29% Last Result
18 3% 9%  
19 1.2% 7%  
20 5% 5%  
21 0.6% 0.6%  
22 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.7% Last Result
12 5% 98%  
13 15% 93%  
14 27% 78%  
15 18% 51% Median
16 2% 33%  
17 23% 31%  
18 0.8% 8%  
19 7% 7%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 6% 98%  
10 25% 92%  
11 14% 66%  
12 9% 53% Median
13 25% 43%  
14 3% 18%  
15 9% 15%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 0% 88%  
9 5% 88%  
10 42% 84% Median
11 16% 42%  
12 21% 25%  
13 2% 4%  
14 0.9% 3%  
15 1.5% 2% Last Result
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 0% 72%  
4 0% 72%  
5 0% 72%  
6 0% 72%  
7 0% 72%  
8 0.7% 72%  
9 3% 72%  
10 29% 68% Median
11 8% 39%  
12 27% 32%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0.4% 9%  
9 5% 8%  
10 2% 3%  
11 1.0% 1.5% Last Result
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.4%  
2 0% 1.4%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 0% 1.4%  
5 0% 1.4%  
6 0% 1.4%  
7 0% 1.4%  
8 0.3% 1.4%  
9 0.9% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 88 100% 84–93 83–94 81–95 80–100
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 60 88 100% 84–93 83–94 81–95 78–100
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 88 99.8% 83–91 81–94 80–94 77–99
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 49 88 99.8% 83–91 81–94 80–94 77–99
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 76 52% 71–83 70–85 68–85 61–85
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 74 45% 66–79 65–80 65–80 64–86
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 49 74 45% 66–79 65–80 65–80 64–86
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 71 39% 66–78 65–79 65–80 63–83
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 38 71 38% 66–78 65–79 65–80 63–83
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 65 5% 61–70 59–74 56–79 54–79
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 21 58 0% 50–64 49–64 48–64 47–67
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 56 0% 51–60 49–61 49–62 42–64
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 49 0% 47–53 45–58 41–59 39–59
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 46 0% 42–49 42–50 42–52 39–52
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 40 0% 37–48 34–48 34–50 30–54
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 40 0% 37–45 34–46 33–48 29–50
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 30 0% 28–34 28–36 28–37 26–38

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 1.4% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 3% 97%  
84 9% 94%  
85 9% 84%  
86 1.4% 76%  
87 3% 74%  
88 24% 72%  
89 9% 48% Median
90 5% 39%  
91 19% 34%  
92 3% 15%  
93 3% 12%  
94 6% 9%  
95 0.9% 3%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.1% 2%  
98 0.4% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.2%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0.3% 0.3%  
104 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.5%  
80 1.4% 99.4%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 3% 97%  
84 9% 94%  
85 9% 84%  
86 1.5% 76%  
87 3% 74%  
88 24% 72%  
89 9% 48% Median
90 5% 39%  
91 19% 34%  
92 3% 15%  
93 3% 12%  
94 6% 9%  
95 0.9% 3%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.1% 2%  
98 0.4% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.2%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0.3% 0.3%  
104 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8% Majority
77 0.1% 99.5%  
78 1.2% 99.4%  
79 0.3% 98%  
80 2% 98%  
81 0.8% 95%  
82 2% 95%  
83 5% 93%  
84 11% 88%  
85 9% 77%  
86 1.3% 68%  
87 2% 67%  
88 23% 64%  
89 9% 42% Median
90 4% 33%  
91 19% 29%  
92 0.2% 10%  
93 1.1% 10%  
94 6% 8%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.1% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 1.1%  
99 0.6% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8% Majority
77 0.1% 99.5%  
78 1.4% 99.4%  
79 0.3% 98%  
80 2% 98%  
81 0.8% 95%  
82 2% 94%  
83 5% 93%  
84 11% 88%  
85 9% 77%  
86 1.3% 68%  
87 2% 67%  
88 23% 64%  
89 9% 41% Median
90 4% 33%  
91 19% 29%  
92 0.2% 10%  
93 1.1% 10%  
94 6% 8%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.1% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 1.1%  
99 0.6% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.6% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.3%  
63 0.1% 99.3%  
64 0.4% 99.2%  
65 0.1% 98.7%  
66 0.2% 98.6%  
67 0.6% 98%  
68 0.8% 98%  
69 0.5% 97%  
70 4% 96%  
71 8% 93%  
72 3% 85%  
73 18% 82%  
74 10% 64%  
75 3% 54%  
76 4% 52% Median, Majority
77 2% 48%  
78 1.4% 46%  
79 23% 44%  
80 8% 21%  
81 0.8% 13%  
82 1.5% 12%  
83 0.5% 10%  
84 2% 10%  
85 8% 8%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1% Last Result
90 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 8% 99.5%  
66 2% 92%  
67 0.5% 90%  
68 1.5% 89%  
69 0.8% 88%  
70 8% 87%  
71 23% 79%  
72 1.4% 56%  
73 2% 54%  
74 4% 52% Median
75 3% 48%  
76 10% 45% Majority
77 18% 35%  
78 3% 18%  
79 8% 15%  
80 4% 7%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.5%  
84 0.2% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 8% 99.5%  
66 2% 92%  
67 0.5% 90%  
68 1.5% 89%  
69 0.8% 88%  
70 8% 87%  
71 23% 78%  
72 1.4% 55%  
73 2% 54%  
74 4% 52% Median
75 3% 48%  
76 10% 45% Majority
77 18% 35%  
78 3% 18%  
79 8% 15%  
80 4% 7%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.5%  
84 0.2% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.1%  
65 8% 98.6%  
66 2% 90%  
67 0.9% 88%  
68 3% 87%  
69 1.0% 84%  
70 9% 83%  
71 26% 74%  
72 1.4% 48%  
73 2% 47%  
74 4% 45% Median
75 3% 41%  
76 9% 39% Majority
77 17% 29%  
78 2% 12%  
79 7% 10%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.2% 1.1%  
83 0.5% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.1%  
65 9% 98.6%  
66 2% 90%  
67 0.9% 88%  
68 3% 87%  
69 1.0% 84%  
70 9% 83%  
71 26% 73%  
72 1.5% 48%  
73 2% 46%  
74 3% 44% Median
75 3% 41%  
76 9% 38% Majority
77 17% 29%  
78 2% 12%  
79 7% 10%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 0.4% 1.5%  
82 0.2% 1.1%  
83 0.5% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 100%  
54 1.4% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 98%  
56 0.7% 98%  
57 1.4% 97%  
58 0.4% 96%  
59 2% 95%  
60 3% 94%  
61 24% 91%  
62 2% 68%  
63 3% 65%  
64 8% 62% Median
65 27% 54%  
66 2% 27%  
67 2% 25%  
68 5% 23%  
69 1.1% 19%  
70 9% 18%  
71 0.3% 8%  
72 0.8% 8%  
73 0.6% 7%  
74 2% 7%  
75 0.1% 5%  
76 0.1% 5% Majority
77 0.1% 5%  
78 0% 4%  
79 4% 4%  
80 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.7% 99.6%  
48 2% 98.9%  
49 7% 97%  
50 2% 91%  
51 2% 89%  
52 0.5% 87%  
53 10% 86%  
54 2% 77%  
55 1.4% 75%  
56 1.3% 73%  
57 22% 72%  
58 8% 50%  
59 14% 42%  
60 4% 29% Median
61 3% 25%  
62 2% 22%  
63 0.8% 20%  
64 17% 19%  
65 0.2% 2%  
66 1.3% 2%  
67 0% 0.5%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.2%  
44 0.1% 98.8%  
45 0% 98.7%  
46 0.3% 98.7%  
47 0.2% 98%  
48 0.5% 98%  
49 6% 98%  
50 0.5% 92%  
51 5% 92%  
52 20% 87%  
53 4% 66%  
54 3% 62%  
55 1.0% 59% Median
56 10% 58%  
57 29% 48%  
58 2% 18%  
59 1.2% 16%  
60 8% 15%  
61 4% 7%  
62 1.5% 3%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 99.7%  
40 0.6% 99.5%  
41 1.5% 98.9%  
42 0.3% 97%  
43 0.5% 97%  
44 0.9% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 94%  
47 33% 92%  
48 6% 59%  
49 9% 53%  
50 3% 44% Median
51 5% 41%  
52 18% 36%  
53 9% 18%  
54 0.7% 9%  
55 1.1% 9%  
56 0.7% 8%  
57 0.3% 7%  
58 2% 7%  
59 4% 5%  
60 0.3% 0.3%  
61 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.4% 99.8%  
40 1.0% 99.3%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 25% 98%  
43 4% 73%  
44 2% 68%  
45 15% 67% Median
46 6% 52%  
47 21% 46%  
48 7% 25%  
49 10% 17%  
50 3% 8%  
51 2% 5%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.1% 0.4%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.5% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.5%  
32 0.4% 99.3%  
33 0.4% 98.9%  
34 5% 98.6%  
35 0.3% 94%  
36 1.0% 94%  
37 4% 93%  
38 18% 89%  
39 2% 71%  
40 22% 68% Median
41 18% 47%  
42 0.8% 29%  
43 4% 28%  
44 7% 24%  
45 4% 17%  
46 2% 13%  
47 0.7% 11%  
48 6% 10%  
49 1.0% 4%  
50 0.7% 3%  
51 0.6% 2%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.6% 1.1%  
54 0.2% 0.5%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0.1% 99.7%  
29 0.6% 99.6%  
30 0.6% 99.0%  
31 0.2% 98%  
32 0.4% 98%  
33 0.4% 98%  
34 5% 97%  
35 0.5% 93%  
36 0.8% 92%  
37 4% 91%  
38 18% 87%  
39 5% 69%  
40 23% 64% Median
41 18% 42%  
42 2% 23%  
43 5% 21%  
44 6% 17%  
45 4% 10%  
46 2% 6%  
47 0.3% 4%  
48 3% 4%  
49 0.1% 0.6%  
50 0.5% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.9% 99.7%  
27 0.5% 98.8%  
28 21% 98%  
29 10% 77%  
30 34% 67% Median
31 5% 33%  
32 10% 29%  
33 4% 19%  
34 6% 15%  
35 0.9% 9%  
36 4% 8%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.4% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations