Opinion Poll by Polis, 23–30 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.4–19.1% 15.0–19.5% 14.4–20.2%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 12.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 11.1% 10.0–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.4–13.1% 8.9–13.7%
Za ľudí 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.1–11.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.4%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.0% 3.2–6.5%
VLASŤ 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.6%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 33 28–34 28–36 26–38 25–38
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 23 20–24 19–25 19–26 17–29
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 21 18–22 17–23 16–25 16–26
Za ľudí 0 17 17–19 16–20 15–21 14–24
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 17 15–18 14–19 13–20 12–21
SME RODINA 11 11 11–14 10–15 9–15 0–15
Slovenská národná strana 15 10 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–13
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 9 9–11 0–12 0–13 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–9 0–10 0–11 0–12
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–11
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0–9
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–9

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 1.3% 99.8%  
26 2% 98.5%  
27 0.9% 96%  
28 9% 95%  
29 3% 86%  
30 6% 84%  
31 6% 78%  
32 3% 72%  
33 57% 69% Median
34 5% 12%  
35 2% 7%  
36 1.0% 5%  
37 1.0% 4%  
38 3% 3%  
39 0% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
18 1.1% 99.4%  
19 8% 98%  
20 4% 90%  
21 3% 87%  
22 9% 84%  
23 61% 75% Median
24 5% 14%  
25 6% 9%  
26 1.5% 3%  
27 0.4% 1.5%  
28 0.1% 1.1%  
29 0.7% 1.0%  
30 0.1% 0.3%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100% Last Result
15 0.2% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.5%  
17 7% 97%  
18 3% 90%  
19 5% 88%  
20 4% 83%  
21 67% 79% Median
22 3% 12%  
23 6% 9%  
24 0.4% 4%  
25 2% 3%  
26 1.0% 1.2%  
27 0% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.8%  
14 1.4% 99.6%  
15 1.2% 98%  
16 4% 97%  
17 67% 93% Median
18 13% 26%  
19 7% 13%  
20 2% 6%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.4% 2%  
23 0.4% 1.2%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 4% 99.5%  
14 3% 96%  
15 9% 93%  
16 10% 83%  
17 62% 74% Median
18 2% 11%  
19 6% 10%  
20 2% 4%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 0% 98.6%  
9 2% 98.6%  
10 4% 97%  
11 66% 93% Last Result, Median
12 7% 27%  
13 7% 20%  
14 8% 13%  
15 5% 5%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 0% 89%  
8 0% 89%  
9 8% 89%  
10 62% 81% Median
11 11% 19%  
12 3% 8%  
13 5% 5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 0.2% 86%  
9 64% 86% Median
10 8% 22%  
11 9% 13%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 0.3% 91%  
9 61% 91% Median
10 17% 30%  
11 8% 13%  
12 2% 5%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 0.3% 15%  
9 5% 14%  
10 5% 10%  
11 4% 5% Last Result
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 0.2% 15%  
9 11% 15%  
10 3% 4%  
11 1.0% 1.2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0% 0.9%  
5 0% 0.9%  
6 0% 0.9%  
7 0% 0.9%  
8 0.1% 0.9%  
9 0.5% 0.8%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0% 0.8%  
5 0% 0.8%  
6 0% 0.8%  
7 0% 0.8%  
8 0% 0.8%  
9 0.4% 0.7%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 86 99.2% 85–91 82–95 79–95 75–99
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 86 99.2% 85–91 82–94 79–95 74–99
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 86 94% 79–88 75–91 68–95 66–98
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 86 94% 79–87 75–91 68–95 66–95
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 75 23% 71–80 71–83 68–83 62–86
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 75 22% 71–80 71–83 68–83 62–86
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 75 15% 69–77 62–80 61–83 57–85
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 75 15% 69–76 62–79 61–83 57–83
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 75 9% 67–75 65–79 63–80 60–85
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 66 0.3% 61–71 59–72 57–72 52–75
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 54 0% 48–54 46–58 42–59 37–62
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 52 0% 46–54 42–56 37–58 35–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 43 0% 37–48 34–51 34–55 31–57
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 44 0% 40–46 38–48 37–51 33–51
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 43 0% 40–47 36–47 35–48 31–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 43 0% 37–43 34–45 32–46 29–49
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 33 0% 28–34 28–36 26–38 25–38

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 99.2% Majority
77 0.2% 98%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 2% 98%  
80 0.1% 96%  
81 0.1% 96%  
82 1.5% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 2% 93%  
85 6% 91%  
86 56% 85% Median
87 12% 28%  
88 1.4% 17%  
89 0.7% 15%  
90 1.2% 14%  
91 6% 13%  
92 0.8% 7%  
93 1.0% 7%  
94 0.3% 6%  
95 4% 5%  
96 0.3% 2%  
97 0.1% 1.4%  
98 0.2% 1.3%  
99 0.7% 1.0%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 99.2% Majority
77 0.2% 98%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 2% 98%  
80 0.1% 96%  
81 0.1% 96%  
82 2% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 2% 92%  
85 6% 90%  
86 56% 84% Median
87 12% 28%  
88 1.4% 16%  
89 0.8% 15%  
90 1.3% 14%  
91 6% 13%  
92 0.8% 7%  
93 1.0% 6%  
94 0.3% 5%  
95 3% 5%  
96 0.3% 1.4%  
97 0.1% 1.2%  
98 0.2% 1.0%  
99 0.6% 0.8%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.7% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 2% 99.1%  
69 0% 97%  
70 0% 97%  
71 0.1% 97%  
72 0.4% 97%  
73 0.1% 97%  
74 1.4% 97%  
75 1.2% 95%  
76 3% 94% Majority
77 0.2% 92%  
78 0.7% 91%  
79 1.1% 91%  
80 2% 90%  
81 0.4% 88%  
82 2% 87%  
83 2% 85%  
84 0.6% 82%  
85 6% 82%  
86 55% 76% Median
87 11% 21%  
88 0.5% 10%  
89 0.3% 10%  
90 1.4% 9%  
91 3% 8%  
92 0.1% 5%  
93 0.3% 5%  
94 0.3% 4%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0.1% 0.6%  
97 0% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.7% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 2% 99.1%  
69 0% 97%  
70 0% 97%  
71 0.1% 97%  
72 0.4% 97%  
73 0.1% 97%  
74 1.4% 97%  
75 1.2% 95%  
76 3% 94% Majority
77 0.3% 91%  
78 0.6% 91%  
79 1.1% 91%  
80 2% 89%  
81 0.4% 88%  
82 3% 87%  
83 2% 85%  
84 0.6% 82%  
85 6% 82%  
86 55% 76% Median
87 11% 21%  
88 0.5% 10%  
89 0.4% 9%  
90 1.5% 9%  
91 3% 7%  
92 0.1% 4%  
93 0.3% 4%  
94 0.3% 4%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.3%  
64 0% 99.3%  
65 0.5% 99.2%  
66 0.2% 98.7%  
67 0.1% 98.5%  
68 2% 98%  
69 0.3% 97%  
70 0.2% 97%  
71 7% 96%  
72 7% 89%  
73 1.0% 82%  
74 2% 81%  
75 57% 79% Median
76 5% 23% Majority
77 2% 17%  
78 4% 15%  
79 1.0% 12%  
80 3% 11%  
81 1.0% 8%  
82 1.3% 7%  
83 4% 6%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 0.8% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.5% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.3%  
64 0.1% 99.2%  
65 0.5% 99.1%  
66 0.2% 98.7%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 2% 98%  
69 0.4% 97%  
70 0.2% 96%  
71 7% 96%  
72 7% 89%  
73 1.0% 82%  
74 2% 81%  
75 57% 79% Median
76 5% 22% Majority
77 2% 17%  
78 4% 15%  
79 1.0% 11%  
80 3% 10%  
81 0.9% 7%  
82 1.3% 6%  
83 4% 5%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.3%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.7%  
58 0% 98%  
59 0% 98%  
60 0% 98%  
61 1.1% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 0.8% 95%  
64 0.2% 94%  
65 2% 94%  
66 1.1% 92%  
67 0.3% 91%  
68 0.5% 91%  
69 2% 90%  
70 0.6% 89%  
71 8% 88%  
72 6% 80%  
73 2% 74%  
74 1.3% 73%  
75 56% 71% Median
76 5% 15% Majority
77 1.4% 10%  
78 3% 9%  
79 0.4% 5%  
80 0.4% 5%  
81 0.5% 5%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.1% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.6%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.7%  
58 0% 98%  
59 0.1% 98%  
60 0% 98%  
61 1.1% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 0.8% 95%  
64 0.3% 94%  
65 2% 94%  
66 1.1% 92%  
67 0.3% 91%  
68 0.5% 91%  
69 2% 90%  
70 0.6% 88%  
71 8% 88%  
72 6% 80%  
73 2% 74%  
74 1.3% 72%  
75 56% 71% Median
76 5% 15% Majority
77 2% 10%  
78 3% 8%  
79 0.4% 5%  
80 0.4% 5%  
81 0.5% 4%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.2% 99.6%  
61 0.9% 99.4%  
62 0.1% 98.5%  
63 0.9% 98%  
64 0.7% 97%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 95%  
67 4% 93%  
68 2% 89%  
69 6% 87%  
70 6% 82%  
71 1.2% 76%  
72 4% 74%  
73 2% 71%  
74 4% 69%  
75 55% 64% Median
76 1.1% 9% Majority
77 0.5% 8%  
78 2% 8%  
79 3% 6%  
80 0.1% 3%  
81 0% 2%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.7%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.2%  
54 0.7% 98.8%  
55 0.2% 98%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 2% 98%  
58 0.3% 96%  
59 2% 96%  
60 1.4% 93%  
61 3% 92%  
62 9% 89%  
63 0.9% 81%  
64 2% 80%  
65 2% 77%  
66 56% 76% Median
67 7% 20%  
68 1.4% 13%  
69 0.5% 11%  
70 0.3% 11%  
71 5% 10%  
72 4% 6%  
73 0.1% 2%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 1.0% 1.3%  
76 0.1% 0.3% Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.7% 100%  
38 0% 99.3%  
39 0% 99.3%  
40 0.2% 99.2%  
41 1.1% 99.0%  
42 0.6% 98%  
43 0.4% 97%  
44 0.3% 97%  
45 1.2% 97%  
46 4% 95%  
47 0.7% 91%  
48 2% 91%  
49 3% 88%  
50 2% 85%  
51 11% 83%  
52 5% 72%  
53 0.7% 67%  
54 57% 66% Median
55 0.6% 9%  
56 0.2% 9%  
57 2% 9%  
58 4% 6%  
59 1.5% 3%  
60 0.5% 1.4%  
61 0.3% 0.9%  
62 0.5% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.7%  
36 0.2% 98%  
37 1.3% 98%  
38 0.2% 97%  
39 0.2% 96%  
40 0.2% 96%  
41 0.8% 96%  
42 2% 95%  
43 1.2% 93%  
44 0.2% 92%  
45 0.9% 92%  
46 0.9% 91%  
47 4% 90%  
48 2% 86%  
49 4% 84%  
50 2% 81%  
51 2% 78%  
52 55% 76% Median
53 10% 21%  
54 1.1% 11%  
55 1.0% 10%  
56 4% 9%  
57 1.0% 5%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.1% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.5%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 99.6%  
32 0.1% 99.5%  
33 1.1% 99.4%  
34 4% 98%  
35 0.1% 95%  
36 0.2% 95%  
37 6% 94%  
38 4% 88%  
39 2% 84%  
40 5% 82%  
41 2% 77%  
42 0.9% 75%  
43 56% 74% Median
44 4% 18%  
45 0.6% 14%  
46 2% 14%  
47 2% 12%  
48 2% 10%  
49 3% 8%  
50 0.4% 6%  
51 0.9% 5%  
52 0.3% 5%  
53 0.4% 4%  
54 0.2% 4%  
55 2% 4%  
56 0% 2%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.7%  
33 0.2% 99.6%  
34 0.1% 99.5%  
35 0.1% 99.4%  
36 0.2% 99.3%  
37 3% 99.1%  
38 3% 97%  
39 2% 94%  
40 3% 92%  
41 8% 89%  
42 2% 81%  
43 7% 79%  
44 55% 72% Median
45 5% 17%  
46 6% 13%  
47 0.7% 7%  
48 2% 6%  
49 0.8% 4%  
50 0.6% 4%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.8%  
31 0.5% 99.6%  
32 0.5% 99.1%  
33 0.5% 98.6%  
34 0.2% 98%  
35 2% 98%  
36 0.8% 96%  
37 3% 95%  
38 0.4% 92%  
39 0.9% 92%  
40 4% 91%  
41 2% 87%  
42 2% 85%  
43 60% 82% Median
44 7% 22%  
45 4% 15%  
46 0.8% 11%  
47 7% 11%  
48 1.1% 3%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0% 1.2%  
52 0.2% 1.2%  
53 0.9% 1.0%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.8%  
29 0.1% 99.6%  
30 1.1% 99.5%  
31 0.2% 98%  
32 1.0% 98%  
33 1.1% 97%  
34 4% 96%  
35 0.2% 92%  
36 2% 92%  
37 8% 91%  
38 5% 82%  
39 2% 78%  
40 7% 75%  
41 2% 69%  
42 1.3% 67%  
43 56% 66% Median
44 4% 9%  
45 2% 5%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.6% 1.5%  
48 0.2% 0.9%  
49 0.5% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 1.3% 99.8%  
26 2% 98.5%  
27 0.9% 96%  
28 9% 95%  
29 3% 86%  
30 6% 84%  
31 6% 78%  
32 3% 72%  
33 57% 69% Median
34 5% 12%  
35 2% 7%  
36 1.0% 5%  
37 1.0% 4%  
38 3% 3%  
39 0% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations