Opinion Poll by MVK, 24–31 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 21.9% 20.4–23.5% 20.0–24.0% 19.6–24.4% 18.9–25.2%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 12.7% 11.5–14.1% 11.2–14.5% 10.9–14.8% 10.3–15.5%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 8.9% 7.9–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.4–10.7% 6.9–11.3%
Za ľudí 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–10.0% 7.0–10.2% 6.5–10.8%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.7–9.7%
SME RODINA 6.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.2–8.1% 4.8–8.6%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.6–6.0% 3.2–6.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.9–5.1% 2.6–5.6%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
VLASŤ 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.7–3.5% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 41 37–46 37–46 35–48 34–48
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 23 21–26 20–28 19–28 18–29
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–23
Za ľudí 0 16 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 15 12–17 11–17 11–17 10–18
SME RODINA 11 13 10–14 10–15 9–16 0–16
Slovenská národná strana 15 11 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–12
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 0 0 0 0 0–10
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0 0 0 0
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 2% 99.8%  
35 1.4% 98%  
36 0.8% 97%  
37 11% 96%  
38 27% 85%  
39 4% 58%  
40 3% 55%  
41 18% 52% Median
42 10% 34%  
43 6% 24%  
44 2% 17%  
45 3% 16%  
46 9% 12%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.4% 99.9%  
19 1.0% 98.5%  
20 5% 97%  
21 23% 93%  
22 19% 70%  
23 23% 51% Median
24 13% 28%  
25 3% 15%  
26 3% 12%  
27 2% 8%  
28 5% 6%  
29 0.6% 0.8%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.6%  
14 8% 98%  
15 7% 90%  
16 22% 83%  
17 18% 62% Last Result, Median
18 13% 44%  
19 18% 30%  
20 9% 12%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.3% 1.2%  
23 0.9% 0.9%  
24 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 1.1% 100%  
12 3% 98.9%  
13 12% 96%  
14 4% 85%  
15 27% 81%  
16 7% 54% Median
17 33% 48%  
18 11% 15%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.3% 0.6%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 3% 99.6%  
13 20% 97%  
14 14% 77%  
15 33% 62% Median
16 18% 29%  
17 7% 11%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.2%  
12 12% 93%  
13 7% 82%  
14 17% 74%  
15 34% 57% Median
16 12% 23%  
17 9% 11%  
18 1.2% 1.4%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 0% 98.8%  
5 0% 98.8%  
6 0% 98.8%  
7 0% 98.8%  
8 0% 98.8%  
9 1.3% 98.8%  
10 18% 97%  
11 13% 80% Last Result
12 8% 67%  
13 25% 59% Median
14 28% 34%  
15 2% 6%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 0% 81%  
9 7% 81%  
10 18% 74%  
11 25% 56% Median
12 22% 31%  
13 4% 8%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.6% 0.7% Last Result
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 0% 30%  
5 0% 30%  
6 0% 30%  
7 0% 30%  
8 0% 30%  
9 19% 30%  
10 9% 11%  
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.7% 0.7%  
13 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0% 1.0%  
5 0% 1.0%  
6 0% 1.0%  
7 0% 1.0%  
8 0% 1.0%  
9 0.4% 1.0%  
10 0.5% 0.6%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 84 98.6% 80–91 78–91 77–92 73–94
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 78 64% 72–83 71–84 68–86 68–91
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 78 64% 72–83 71–84 68–86 68–91
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 74 38% 69–81 68–82 67–82 61–83
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 74 38% 69–81 68–82 67–82 61–83
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 66 0.9% 59–70 59–72 58–73 56–77
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 66 0.9% 59–70 59–72 58–73 56–77
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 62 0% 57–66 56–69 55–69 52–72
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 62 0.1% 57–67 57–68 56–68 54–71
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 62 0.1% 57–67 57–68 56–68 54–70
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 51 0% 49–60 48–60 45–60 42–61
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 49 0% 45–55 42–57 42–57 38–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 49 0% 45–55 42–57 42–57 38–60
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 48 0% 43–53 42–53 42–53 39–57
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 46 0% 40–48 40–48 39–49 38–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 41 0% 37–46 37–46 35–48 34–48
Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 31 0% 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–41

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.6% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.2%  
75 0.5% 99.1%  
76 0.1% 98.6% Majority
77 1.0% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 2% 94%  
80 5% 92%  
81 0.8% 87%  
82 15% 86%  
83 17% 71%  
84 8% 54%  
85 3% 45%  
86 12% 42%  
87 6% 30%  
88 5% 24% Median
89 4% 19% Last Result
90 3% 15%  
91 7% 11%  
92 3% 5%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 1.1% 1.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 3% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 97%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 4% 93%  
73 8% 89%  
74 13% 81%  
75 4% 68%  
76 4% 64% Median, Majority
77 6% 60%  
78 8% 54%  
79 1.3% 46%  
80 22% 45%  
81 1.2% 22%  
82 9% 21%  
83 4% 12%  
84 5% 8%  
85 0.6% 4%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.5% 1.5%  
88 0.3% 1.0%  
89 0% 0.7%  
90 0% 0.6%  
91 0.6% 0.6%  
92 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 3% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 97%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 4% 93%  
73 8% 89%  
74 13% 81%  
75 4% 68%  
76 4% 64% Median, Majority
77 6% 60%  
78 8% 54%  
79 1.3% 46%  
80 22% 45%  
81 1.1% 22%  
82 9% 21%  
83 4% 12%  
84 5% 8%  
85 0.6% 4%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.5% 1.5%  
88 0.3% 0.9%  
89 0% 0.7%  
90 0% 0.6%  
91 0.6% 0.6%  
92 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8% Last Result
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.4%  
63 0.3% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.0%  
65 0.7% 98.8%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 1.1% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 6% 93%  
70 2% 87%  
71 9% 85%  
72 4% 75%  
73 9% 71%  
74 20% 62%  
75 4% 42%  
76 5% 38% Median, Majority
77 6% 33%  
78 1.5% 28%  
79 0.6% 26%  
80 15% 26%  
81 1.0% 10%  
82 8% 9%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.4%  
63 0.3% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.0%  
65 0.7% 98.8%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 1.1% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 6% 93%  
70 2% 87%  
71 9% 85%  
72 4% 75%  
73 9% 71%  
74 20% 62%  
75 4% 42%  
76 5% 38% Median, Majority
77 6% 33%  
78 1.5% 28%  
79 0.6% 26%  
80 15% 26%  
81 1.0% 10%  
82 8% 9%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 1.2% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 98.7%  
58 3% 98%  
59 7% 95%  
60 3% 89%  
61 4% 85%  
62 5% 81%  
63 6% 75% Median
64 12% 70%  
65 3% 58%  
66 8% 55%  
67 17% 46%  
68 15% 29%  
69 0.8% 14%  
70 5% 13%  
71 2% 8%  
72 3% 6%  
73 1.0% 3%  
74 0.1% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.4%  
76 0.1% 0.9% Majority
77 0.6% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 1.2% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 98.7%  
58 3% 98%  
59 7% 95%  
60 3% 89%  
61 4% 85%  
62 6% 81%  
63 6% 75% Median
64 12% 70%  
65 3% 58%  
66 8% 55%  
67 17% 46%  
68 15% 29%  
69 0.8% 14%  
70 5% 13%  
71 2% 8%  
72 3% 6%  
73 1.0% 3%  
74 0.1% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.4%  
76 0.1% 0.9% Majority
77 0.6% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0% 99.7%  
52 0.8% 99.6%  
53 0.3% 98.9%  
54 0.4% 98.5%  
55 3% 98%  
56 5% 95%  
57 1.5% 90%  
58 4% 89%  
59 1.3% 85%  
60 9% 84%  
61 15% 75%  
62 19% 59%  
63 19% 40%  
64 2% 21%  
65 5% 20% Median
66 7% 15%  
67 0.6% 8%  
68 0.7% 7%  
69 5% 6%  
70 0% 1.1%  
71 0.2% 1.1%  
72 0.8% 0.9%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.8% 99.5%  
55 0.5% 98.7%  
56 2% 98%  
57 8% 96%  
58 5% 88%  
59 13% 83%  
60 8% 70%  
61 5% 62%  
62 8% 57%  
63 8% 49% Median
64 12% 41%  
65 2% 30%  
66 1.1% 28%  
67 17% 26%  
68 8% 10%  
69 0.4% 1.2%  
70 0.3% 0.8%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.8% 99.5%  
55 0.5% 98.7%  
56 2% 98%  
57 8% 96%  
58 5% 88%  
59 13% 83%  
60 8% 70%  
61 5% 62%  
62 8% 57%  
63 8% 49% Median
64 12% 41%  
65 2% 29%  
66 1.1% 27%  
67 17% 26%  
68 8% 10%  
69 0.4% 1.1%  
70 0.3% 0.8%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.7%  
43 0.1% 99.5%  
44 0.8% 99.4%  
45 1.3% 98.6%  
46 1.1% 97%  
47 0.6% 96%  
48 2% 96%  
49 4% 94%  
50 3% 90%  
51 40% 86%  
52 9% 46%  
53 1.4% 38%  
54 8% 36% Median
55 6% 29%  
56 6% 22%  
57 3% 16%  
58 0.3% 14%  
59 1.4% 13%  
60 10% 12% Last Result
61 2% 2%  
62 0% 0.2%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.7% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.3%  
40 0.1% 98.8%  
41 1.1% 98.7%  
42 6% 98%  
43 0.2% 92%  
44 1.2% 92%  
45 3% 90%  
46 8% 88%  
47 10% 80%  
48 0.9% 69%  
49 24% 68%  
50 5% 44%  
51 10% 39%  
52 4% 30% Median
53 12% 26%  
54 0.8% 14%  
55 5% 13%  
56 2% 8%  
57 4% 6%  
58 1.1% 2%  
59 0.2% 0.8%  
60 0.6% 0.6%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.7% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.3%  
40 0.1% 98.8%  
41 1.1% 98.7%  
42 6% 98%  
43 0.2% 92%  
44 1.2% 92%  
45 3% 90%  
46 8% 88%  
47 10% 80%  
48 0.9% 69%  
49 24% 68%  
50 5% 44%  
51 10% 39%  
52 4% 30% Median
53 12% 26%  
54 0.8% 14%  
55 5% 13%  
56 2% 8%  
57 4% 6%  
58 1.1% 2%  
59 0.2% 0.7%  
60 0.6% 0.6%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0.8% 100%  
40 0% 99.2%  
41 1.2% 99.1%  
42 7% 98%  
43 4% 91%  
44 4% 87%  
45 16% 83%  
46 5% 67%  
47 10% 62%  
48 6% 52% Median
49 6% 46%  
50 10% 40%  
51 2% 30%  
52 18% 28%  
53 9% 11%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 0.2% 1.4%  
56 0.5% 1.2%  
57 0.4% 0.7%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.6% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.3%  
40 8% 97%  
41 4% 89%  
42 4% 85%  
43 11% 81%  
44 7% 70%  
45 9% 63%  
46 20% 55% Median
47 6% 34%  
48 24% 29%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.0% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.5%  
52 0.2% 0.9%  
53 0.3% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.4%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 2% 99.8%  
35 1.4% 98%  
36 0.8% 97%  
37 11% 96%  
38 27% 85%  
39 4% 58%  
40 3% 55%  
41 18% 52% Median
42 10% 34%  
43 6% 24%  
44 2% 17%  
45 3% 16%  
46 9% 12%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Za ľudí – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.8%  
26 1.4% 98%  
27 4% 97%  
28 25% 93%  
29 4% 68%  
30 8% 65%  
31 8% 56% Median
32 16% 49%  
33 27% 33%  
34 2% 5%  
35 1.4% 3%  
36 0.5% 2%  
37 0.3% 1.5%  
38 0.2% 1.1%  
39 0.1% 0.9%  
40 0.2% 0.8%  
41 0.3% 0.6%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations