Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 6–12 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 12.2% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.3–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
Za ľudí 0.0% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
VLASŤ 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 32 28–36 28–38 28–38 26–39
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 25 23–27 22–29 21–29 20–32
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 23 20–26 20–27 20–29 18–30
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 18 15–22 15–22 15–22 13–24
Za ľudí 0 16 14–20 13–20 12–20 11–21
SME RODINA 11 15 12–18 12–19 11–20 10–20
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–14
Slovenská národná strana 15 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–11
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.3% 99.8%  
27 1.0% 99.5%  
28 11% 98%  
29 3% 88%  
30 5% 85%  
31 12% 80%  
32 19% 68% Median
33 29% 49%  
34 2% 21%  
35 6% 18%  
36 3% 13%  
37 4% 9%  
38 3% 5%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 2% 99.9%  
21 3% 98%  
22 0.9% 95%  
23 11% 94%  
24 8% 83%  
25 26% 75% Median
26 11% 49%  
27 28% 37%  
28 4% 9%  
29 4% 5%  
30 0.6% 2%  
31 0.4% 1.2%  
32 0.4% 0.7%  
33 0.2% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 99.9%  
18 0.5% 99.8%  
19 1.1% 99.3%  
20 13% 98%  
21 18% 85%  
22 15% 67%  
23 4% 52% Median
24 14% 48%  
25 21% 34%  
26 3% 13%  
27 6% 10%  
28 0.7% 4%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.3% 0.7%  
31 0% 0.4%  
32 0.3% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0.5% 99.8%  
14 1.3% 99.3%  
15 11% 98%  
16 12% 87%  
17 17% 75%  
18 15% 58% Median
19 20% 43%  
20 8% 22%  
21 4% 15%  
22 8% 10%  
23 1.0% 2%  
24 0.9% 0.9%  
25 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 4% 96%  
14 14% 92%  
15 17% 78%  
16 12% 61% Median
17 16% 49%  
18 5% 33%  
19 2% 28%  
20 25% 26%  
21 0.6% 0.7%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.7% 100%  
11 3% 99.2% Last Result
12 6% 96%  
13 9% 90%  
14 28% 81%  
15 10% 53% Median
16 13% 43%  
17 4% 30%  
18 19% 26%  
19 4% 7%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 0% 65%  
2 0% 65%  
3 0% 65%  
4 0% 65%  
5 0% 65%  
6 0% 65%  
7 0% 65%  
8 0% 65%  
9 3% 65%  
10 16% 62% Median
11 32% 46%  
12 6% 14%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.7% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 0% 78%  
9 2% 78%  
10 40% 77% Median
11 18% 37%  
12 14% 19%  
13 0.6% 5%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 0% 10%  
9 1.1% 10%  
10 7% 9%  
11 1.3% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0% 9%  
9 1.2% 9%  
10 7% 8%  
11 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
12 0.2% 0.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 0% 11%  
9 2% 10%  
10 6% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 2% 3%  
10 1.1% 1.5%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 92 98% 85–100 83–102 78–102 75–102
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 60 92 98% 85–99 82–102 77–102 75–102
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 92 98% 84–99 81–102 77–102 75–102
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 49 92 97% 84–99 80–102 75–102 75–102
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 77 53% 70–86 68–86 61–86 59–88
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD 49 77 52% 70–86 67–86 61–86 59–87
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 75 47% 70–86 65–86 61–86 59–88
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 74 46% 70–86 64–86 61–86 59–86
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 71 37% 64–79 64–80 64–81 62–91
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 69 1.1% 60–75 59–75 58–75 54–77
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 49 0% 44–59 37–59 35–61 31–61
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 49 0% 44–55 42–57 42–58 40–64
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 47 0% 44–51 42–52 40–54 37–59
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 44 0% 34–49 34–49 32–50 29–50
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 33 0% 28–43 28–45 28–45 28–49
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 33 0% 28–39 28–43 28–43 27–48
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 32 0% 28–36 28–38 28–38 26–39

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 98% Majority
77 0.1% 98%  
78 0.2% 98%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.1% 97%  
82 0.2% 96%  
83 0.9% 96%  
84 0.6% 95%  
85 8% 94%  
86 7% 86%  
87 4% 80%  
88 1.4% 76%  
89 0.9% 74%  
90 2% 74%  
91 3% 72%  
92 19% 69%  
93 2% 49%  
94 15% 47% Median
95 4% 32%  
96 2% 28%  
97 7% 26%  
98 5% 19%  
99 4% 14%  
100 2% 10%  
101 0% 9%  
102 8% 9%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 98% Majority
77 0.1% 98%  
78 0.5% 97%  
79 0.4% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.2% 96%  
82 0.3% 95%  
83 0.9% 95%  
84 0.6% 94%  
85 8% 93%  
86 7% 86%  
87 4% 78%  
88 1.4% 75%  
89 0.8% 73%  
90 2% 73%  
91 5% 71%  
92 19% 66%  
93 2% 47%  
94 15% 45% Median
95 4% 30%  
96 2% 26%  
97 7% 24%  
98 5% 17%  
99 4% 12%  
100 0.2% 9%  
101 0% 8%  
102 8% 8%  
103 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 98% Majority
77 0.7% 98%  
78 0.3% 97%  
79 0.5% 97%  
80 0.4% 96%  
81 1.2% 96%  
82 1.0% 94%  
83 0.9% 93%  
84 4% 92%  
85 8% 88%  
86 7% 80%  
87 3% 73%  
88 1.3% 70%  
89 3% 69%  
90 2% 66%  
91 3% 64%  
92 19% 62%  
93 2% 42%  
94 12% 41% Median
95 3% 29%  
96 2% 26%  
97 7% 24%  
98 5% 17%  
99 2% 12%  
100 2% 10%  
101 0% 8%  
102 8% 8%  
103 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.6%  
76 0.2% 97% Majority
77 0.7% 97%  
78 0.6% 97%  
79 0.6% 96%  
80 0.4% 95%  
81 1.3% 95%  
82 1.0% 94%  
83 0.9% 93%  
84 4% 92%  
85 8% 87%  
86 7% 79%  
87 3% 72%  
88 1.3% 69%  
89 3% 68%  
90 2% 65%  
91 4% 63%  
92 19% 59%  
93 2% 40%  
94 12% 38% Median
95 3% 27%  
96 1.4% 23%  
97 7% 22%  
98 5% 15%  
99 2% 10%  
100 0.1% 8%  
101 0% 8%  
102 8% 8%  
103 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.3%  
61 2% 99.2%  
62 0.1% 97%  
63 0.2% 97%  
64 1.0% 97%  
65 0.1% 96%  
66 0.3% 96%  
67 0.2% 96%  
68 0.8% 96%  
69 2% 95%  
70 4% 93%  
71 6% 90%  
72 3% 83%  
73 7% 80%  
74 18% 73%  
75 3% 56%  
76 0.7% 53% Majority
77 3% 52%  
78 1.0% 49%  
79 6% 48% Median
80 15% 42%  
81 2% 27%  
82 6% 25%  
83 3% 19%  
84 1.3% 16%  
85 0.4% 15%  
86 13% 15%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.1%  
61 2% 99.0%  
62 0.1% 97%  
63 0.4% 97%  
64 1.0% 97%  
65 0.1% 96%  
66 0.4% 96%  
67 0.3% 95%  
68 0.9% 95%  
69 1.4% 94%  
70 4% 93%  
71 7% 89%  
72 3% 82%  
73 7% 79%  
74 18% 72%  
75 3% 55%  
76 0.8% 52% Majority
77 3% 51%  
78 0.9% 48%  
79 8% 47% Median
80 15% 40%  
81 1.3% 24%  
82 6% 23%  
83 2% 17%  
84 1.3% 15%  
85 0.4% 14%  
86 13% 13%  
87 0.4% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 0.1% 97%  
63 0.4% 97%  
64 1.1% 96%  
65 0.1% 95%  
66 0.5% 95%  
67 0.3% 95%  
68 1.0% 94%  
69 1.5% 93%  
70 7% 92%  
71 6% 85%  
72 4% 78%  
73 7% 74%  
74 18% 68%  
75 3% 50%  
76 3% 47% Majority
77 3% 45%  
78 0.9% 42%  
79 6% 41% Median
80 11% 35%  
81 1.0% 23%  
82 6% 22%  
83 2% 16%  
84 1.1% 14%  
85 0.2% 13%  
86 11% 13%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.9% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 98.9%  
61 2% 98%  
62 0.2% 96%  
63 0.6% 96%  
64 1.1% 96%  
65 0.1% 95%  
66 0.5% 94%  
67 0.3% 94%  
68 1.2% 94%  
69 1.3% 92%  
70 7% 91%  
71 7% 84%  
72 4% 77%  
73 7% 73%  
74 18% 67%  
75 3% 49%  
76 3% 46% Majority
77 3% 43%  
78 0.9% 41%  
79 8% 40% Median
80 11% 32%  
81 0.3% 21%  
82 6% 21%  
83 2% 15%  
84 1.1% 12%  
85 0.2% 11%  
86 11% 11%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 2% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 98%  
64 13% 98%  
65 0.9% 85%  
66 1.4% 84%  
67 6% 83%  
68 8% 76%  
69 3% 69%  
70 15% 66% Median
71 6% 50%  
72 1.0% 44%  
73 3% 43%  
74 0.7% 40%  
75 3% 40%  
76 19% 37% Majority
77 1.4% 19%  
78 4% 17%  
79 6% 13%  
80 3% 7%  
81 1.1% 3%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 0% 1.2%  
86 0% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 1.2%  
88 0% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
90 0.1% 0.7%  
91 0.5% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 0% 99.6%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.2% 99.5%  
55 0.1% 99.3%  
56 0.2% 99.2%  
57 1.1% 99.0%  
58 3% 98%  
59 1.3% 95%  
60 6% 94%  
61 5% 88%  
62 3% 83%  
63 4% 80%  
64 1.3% 76%  
65 3% 75%  
66 0.8% 72%  
67 2% 72%  
68 7% 69%  
69 16% 62% Median
70 3% 47%  
71 6% 43%  
72 1.2% 37%  
73 7% 36%  
74 17% 29%  
75 11% 12%  
76 0.3% 1.1% Majority
77 0.5% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.6% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.4%  
33 0.2% 99.0%  
34 0.9% 98.8%  
35 0.5% 98%  
36 2% 97%  
37 1.4% 96%  
38 0.3% 95%  
39 0.1% 94%  
40 0.1% 94%  
41 0.6% 94%  
42 0.8% 93%  
43 1.1% 93%  
44 6% 92%  
45 1.0% 86%  
46 4% 85%  
47 9% 81%  
48 4% 72%  
49 21% 69%  
50 3% 48%  
51 0.4% 45%  
52 2% 45%  
53 13% 43%  
54 3% 30% Median
55 6% 27%  
56 7% 20%  
57 0.7% 14%  
58 1.1% 13%  
59 9% 12%  
60 0.1% 3%  
61 3% 3%  
62 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 2% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 98%  
42 5% 98%  
43 0.6% 93%  
44 11% 92%  
45 5% 81%  
46 15% 76%  
47 7% 61% Median
48 1.4% 54%  
49 7% 53%  
50 5% 46%  
51 26% 41%  
52 3% 15%  
53 0.6% 12%  
54 1.2% 11%  
55 1.0% 10%  
56 0.8% 9%  
57 6% 8%  
58 0.4% 3%  
59 1.4% 2%  
60 0.1% 1.1%  
61 0.2% 0.9%  
62 0.1% 0.8%  
63 0% 0.7%  
64 0.6% 0.7%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.6% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.4%  
39 0.1% 99.3%  
40 2% 99.2%  
41 0.5% 97%  
42 6% 97%  
43 0.7% 91%  
44 11% 90%  
45 6% 79%  
46 15% 73%  
47 11% 58% Median
48 2% 47%  
49 7% 45%  
50 6% 38%  
51 25% 32%  
52 2% 7%  
53 1.0% 4%  
54 1.1% 3%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.5% 1.5%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0% 0.6%  
59 0.5% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.1% Last Result
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.3% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.4% 99.4%  
31 1.3% 99.0%  
32 1.1% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 7% 95%  
35 1.0% 88%  
36 3% 87%  
37 2% 83%  
38 4% 82%  
39 3% 78%  
40 3% 75%  
41 0.4% 73%  
42 16% 72%  
43 4% 56%  
44 3% 52% Median
45 6% 49%  
46 5% 43%  
47 10% 38%  
48 8% 29%  
49 17% 20%  
50 3% 3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 10% 99.6%  
29 2% 89%  
30 4% 87%  
31 9% 84%  
32 18% 75% Median
33 23% 57%  
34 2% 34%  
35 2% 31%  
36 3% 30%  
37 4% 26%  
38 3% 22%  
39 3% 19%  
40 0.9% 16%  
41 2% 15%  
42 0.9% 13%  
43 6% 12%  
44 0.3% 6%  
45 4% 6%  
46 0.8% 2%  
47 0.2% 2%  
48 0.8% 1.4%  
49 0.3% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 10% 99.4%  
29 2% 89%  
30 4% 87%  
31 11% 83%  
32 18% 71% Median
33 23% 53%  
34 2% 30%  
35 5% 27%  
36 3% 22%  
37 4% 19%  
38 3% 14%  
39 3% 11%  
40 0.5% 8%  
41 0.2% 7%  
42 0.6% 7%  
43 5% 7%  
44 0.1% 1.2%  
45 0.1% 1.0%  
46 0.2% 0.9%  
47 0.1% 0.7%  
48 0.5% 0.7%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.3% 99.8%  
27 1.0% 99.5%  
28 11% 98%  
29 3% 88%  
30 5% 85%  
31 12% 80%  
32 19% 68% Median
33 29% 49%  
34 2% 21%  
35 6% 18%  
36 3% 13%  
37 4% 9%  
38 3% 5%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations