Opinion Poll by AKO, 11–13 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 28.3% 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.0–19.0% 14.7–19.4% 14.0–20.1%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 11.0% 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
Za ľudí 0.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.4%
SME RODINA 6.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita 12.1% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.9% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Slovenská národná strana 8.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
MOST–HÍD 6.5% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Dobrá voľba 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 4.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
VLASŤ 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 31 28–34 27–37 25–37 23–37
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 17 28 25–31 24–32 24–33 21–33
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 14 18 17–22 16–23 15–23 14–25
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 18 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
Za ľudí 0 16 13–17 13–19 13–20 11–21
SME RODINA 11 13 11–15 11–16 11–16 9–17
Sloboda a Solidarita 21 11 0–13 0–13 0–14 0–16
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 10 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–13
Slovenská národná strana 15 0 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
MOST–HÍD 11 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–12
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–11
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–10
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 1.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 98.9%  
25 1.4% 98.7%  
26 1.4% 97%  
27 3% 96%  
28 11% 92%  
29 3% 81%  
30 9% 78%  
31 34% 69% Median
32 19% 35%  
33 3% 16%  
34 3% 13%  
35 2% 10%  
36 1.3% 7%  
37 6% 6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 1.1% 100%  
22 0.5% 98.9%  
23 0.7% 98%  
24 5% 98%  
25 29% 93%  
26 6% 64%  
27 6% 58%  
28 11% 52% Median
29 7% 40%  
30 10% 33%  
31 19% 24%  
32 2% 5%  
33 3% 3%  
34 0.1% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
15 2% 98.8%  
16 3% 97%  
17 23% 94%  
18 22% 71% Median
19 6% 48%  
20 6% 43%  
21 26% 37%  
22 2% 11%  
23 7% 9%  
24 0.6% 2%  
25 0.8% 0.9%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 0.5% 99.7%  
14 9% 99.2%  
15 4% 90%  
16 26% 86%  
17 2% 60%  
18 27% 58% Median
19 24% 30%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.5% 0.9%  
22 0.1% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.3%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.7% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.3%  
13 13% 98%  
14 11% 85%  
15 10% 74%  
16 24% 64% Median
17 30% 40%  
18 3% 10%  
19 3% 7%  
20 2% 4%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 0.4% 98%  
11 16% 98% Last Result
12 12% 82%  
13 27% 70% Median
14 12% 43%  
15 21% 30%  
16 8% 10%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 0% 81%  
9 4% 81%  
10 22% 77%  
11 14% 55% Median
12 26% 41%  
13 11% 15%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.2% 0.9%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 0% 71%  
5 0% 71%  
6 0% 71%  
7 0% 71%  
8 0.3% 71%  
9 16% 70%  
10 22% 55% Median
11 31% 33%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.6%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Median
1 0% 34%  
2 0% 34%  
3 0% 34%  
4 0% 34%  
5 0% 34%  
6 0% 34%  
7 0% 34%  
8 0.3% 34%  
9 16% 33%  
10 10% 18%  
11 3% 7%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.1% 1.2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0% 27%  
7 0% 27%  
8 1.1% 27%  
9 4% 26%  
10 20% 22%  
11 0.9% 2% Last Result
12 0.7% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 0% 32%  
8 1.0% 32%  
9 13% 31%  
10 2% 18%  
11 16% 16%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0% 0.8%  
5 0% 0.8%  
6 0% 0.8%  
7 0% 0.8%  
8 0% 0.8%  
9 0.2% 0.8%  
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 60 95 100% 84–101 84–101 83–103 80–106
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 60 94 100% 84–101 84–101 83–103 80–106
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 91 99.8% 84–101 83–101 81–102 79–104
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 49 91 99.8% 84–101 83–101 81–102 79–104
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 49 81 67% 73–87 73–88 69–90 66–93
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 49 81 67% 73–87 73–88 69–90 66–93
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 38 76 61% 73–86 70–87 68–89 62–90
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 38 76 60% 73–86 70–87 68–89 62–90
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 38 71 15% 64–76 64–79 62–80 58–84
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 89 66 4% 63–71 61–73 60–78 55–84
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 21 48 0% 45–57 42–57 38–60 35–61
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 75 46 0% 42–53 42–56 40–59 38–61
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita 21 43 0% 34–48 34–49 34–50 32–52
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 60 45 0% 40–49 39–49 38–49 34–51
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 75 39 0% 30–42 28–46 28–48 27–52
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 64 32 0% 29–41 28–42 28–45 25–46
SMER–sociálna demokracia 49 31 0% 28–34 27–37 25–37 23–37

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 1.0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.0%  
82 0.7% 98.8%  
83 1.2% 98%  
84 11% 97%  
85 0.2% 86%  
86 16% 86%  
87 0.3% 69%  
88 2% 69%  
89 2% 67%  
90 2% 66%  
91 4% 64%  
92 4% 60%  
93 2% 55%  
94 3% 53%  
95 3% 50%  
96 6% 47% Median
97 8% 41%  
98 2% 33%  
99 2% 31%  
100 2% 29%  
101 23% 27%  
102 0.6% 4%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.0%  
106 0.3% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.5%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 1.0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.0%  
82 0.7% 98.8%  
83 1.2% 98%  
84 11% 97%  
85 0.7% 86%  
86 16% 85%  
87 0.3% 69%  
88 2% 69%  
89 2% 67%  
90 2% 65%  
91 4% 63%  
92 4% 59%  
93 2% 55%  
94 3% 53%  
95 2% 49%  
96 6% 47% Median
97 8% 41%  
98 2% 33%  
99 2% 31%  
100 2% 29%  
101 23% 27%  
102 0.6% 4%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.9%  
106 0.3% 0.6%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8% Majority
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.7%  
80 1.1% 99.3%  
81 1.4% 98%  
82 1.3% 97%  
83 1.5% 95%  
84 12% 94%  
85 1.3% 82%  
86 17% 81%  
87 1.5% 64%  
88 3% 62%  
89 2% 60%  
90 2% 58%  
91 19% 56%  
92 4% 36%  
93 1.2% 32%  
94 3% 31%  
95 3% 28%  
96 6% 25% Median
97 7% 20%  
98 0.4% 13%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 2% 12%  
101 7% 10%  
102 0.6% 3%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0.3% 0.3%  
107 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – SME RODINA – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8% Majority
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.7%  
80 1.1% 99.3%  
81 1.4% 98%  
82 1.3% 97%  
83 1.5% 95%  
84 12% 94%  
85 2% 82%  
86 17% 80%  
87 1.5% 63%  
88 3% 62%  
89 2% 59%  
90 2% 57%  
91 19% 55%  
92 4% 36%  
93 1.2% 31%  
94 3% 30%  
95 2% 27%  
96 6% 25% Median
97 7% 20%  
98 0.4% 12%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 2% 12%  
101 7% 10%  
102 0.6% 3%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0.3% 0.3%  
107 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.9% 100%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.4% 97%  
71 0.2% 97%  
72 0.4% 97%  
73 27% 96%  
74 1.3% 69%  
75 0.6% 68%  
76 0.6% 67% Majority
77 1.5% 67%  
78 2% 65%  
79 8% 63%  
80 2% 55%  
81 10% 53%  
82 2% 43%  
83 2% 41% Median
84 7% 39%  
85 0.5% 31%  
86 19% 31%  
87 6% 12%  
88 1.0% 6%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.8%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.9% 100%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.4% 97%  
71 0.2% 97%  
72 1.0% 97%  
73 27% 96%  
74 1.3% 69%  
75 0.6% 67%  
76 0.6% 67% Majority
77 1.5% 66%  
78 2% 65%  
79 8% 62%  
80 2% 54%  
81 10% 52%  
82 2% 42%  
83 2% 41% Median
84 7% 39%  
85 0.6% 31%  
86 19% 31%  
87 6% 12%  
88 1.0% 6%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.6% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.8%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0% 99.5%  
64 0% 99.5%  
65 0% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 0.7% 97%  
70 2% 96%  
71 0.4% 94%  
72 0.9% 94%  
73 28% 93%  
74 2% 64%  
75 1.0% 62%  
76 16% 61% Majority
77 2% 45%  
78 2% 42%  
79 8% 40%  
80 2% 32%  
81 10% 30%  
82 1.0% 20%  
83 1.3% 19% Median
84 7% 18%  
85 0.3% 11%  
86 2% 11%  
87 6% 9%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 0.5% 3%  
90 2% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0% 99.5%  
64 0% 99.5%  
65 0% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 0.7% 97%  
70 2% 96%  
71 0.4% 94%  
72 1.5% 94%  
73 28% 92%  
74 2% 64%  
75 1.1% 61%  
76 16% 60% Majority
77 2% 44%  
78 2% 41%  
79 8% 39%  
80 2% 31%  
81 10% 29%  
82 0.4% 19%  
83 1.3% 19% Median
84 7% 18%  
85 0.3% 11%  
86 2% 11%  
87 6% 9%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 0.5% 3%  
90 2% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.4%  
60 0.6% 99.4%  
61 0.2% 98.8%  
62 1.3% 98.6%  
63 0.6% 97%  
64 13% 97%  
65 16% 84%  
66 2% 68%  
67 2% 66%  
68 9% 64%  
69 1.3% 55%  
70 2% 54%  
71 9% 52%  
72 2% 43%  
73 17% 40% Median
74 7% 23%  
75 1.1% 16%  
76 7% 15% Majority
77 0.3% 8%  
78 1.4% 8%  
79 2% 7%  
80 3% 5%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 1.3%  
84 1.2% 1.2%  
85 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 0.4% 99.4%  
57 0.4% 99.0%  
58 0.2% 98.6%  
59 0.5% 98%  
60 3% 98%  
61 3% 95%  
62 1.1% 92% Median
63 6% 91%  
64 19% 85%  
65 0.6% 66%  
66 23% 65%  
67 2% 42%  
68 12% 40%  
69 10% 28%  
70 2% 18%  
71 7% 16%  
72 2% 9%  
73 1.2% 6%  
74 0.4% 5%  
75 0.5% 5%  
76 1.3% 4% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.4% 3%  
79 0.2% 2%  
80 0% 2%  
81 0% 2%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 1.2% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 98.7%  
37 0% 98.6%  
38 1.2% 98.6%  
39 0% 97%  
40 0.2% 97%  
41 0.7% 97%  
42 2% 96%  
43 0.3% 94%  
44 1.1% 94%  
45 16% 93%  
46 0.7% 77%  
47 2% 76%  
48 30% 74%  
49 3% 44%  
50 2% 41%  
51 3% 39%  
52 4% 36%  
53 11% 32%  
54 1.0% 21%  
55 7% 20% Median
56 0.7% 13%  
57 9% 12%  
58 1.2% 4%  
59 0.1% 3%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.2% 0.6%  
62 0.3% 0.4%  
63 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.2% 99.7%  
39 1.4% 99.5%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 2% 97%  
42 6% 95%  
43 1.4% 89%  
44 3% 88% Median
45 17% 85%  
46 25% 68%  
47 0.7% 43%  
48 2% 42%  
49 10% 40%  
50 3% 31%  
51 14% 27%  
52 1.1% 14%  
53 3% 13%  
54 4% 10%  
55 0.7% 6%  
56 2% 5%  
57 0.1% 4%  
58 0.7% 4%  
59 1.1% 3%  
60 0.8% 2%  
61 1.2% 1.3%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí – Sloboda a Solidarita

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.1% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 99.7%  
32 0.1% 99.6%  
33 0.5% 99.5%  
34 15% 99.0%  
35 1.3% 84%  
36 0.7% 82%  
37 0.2% 82%  
38 2% 81%  
39 13% 79%  
40 3% 67%  
41 4% 64%  
42 7% 59%  
43 8% 53%  
44 1.3% 45%  
45 8% 43% Median
46 8% 35%  
47 5% 28%  
48 18% 23%  
49 1.1% 5%  
50 2% 4%  
51 1.3% 2%  
52 0.9% 1.1%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 1.0% 99.8%  
35 0.2% 98.8%  
36 0.1% 98.6%  
37 0.4% 98%  
38 0.8% 98%  
39 4% 97%  
40 4% 93%  
41 4% 89%  
42 18% 85%  
43 4% 67%  
44 6% 64% Median
45 17% 57%  
46 26% 41%  
47 2% 14%  
48 2% 13%  
49 9% 11%  
50 0.1% 2%  
51 1.3% 2%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0.6% 99.6%  
28 7% 99.0%  
29 2% 92%  
30 8% 90%  
31 0.5% 83% Median
32 17% 82%  
33 0.5% 65%  
34 3% 64%  
35 1.1% 62%  
36 0.6% 61%  
37 9% 60%  
38 0.6% 51%  
39 3% 51%  
40 12% 48%  
41 24% 36%  
42 3% 12%  
43 0.6% 10%  
44 1.3% 9%  
45 2% 8%  
46 2% 5%  
47 0.1% 3%  
48 1.1% 3%  
49 0.4% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.5%  
51 0.4% 1.0%  
52 0.4% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.8% 99.8%  
26 0.3% 99.1%  
27 1.0% 98.7%  
28 8% 98%  
29 2% 90%  
30 8% 88%  
31 17% 80% Median
32 18% 63%  
33 3% 45%  
34 3% 43%  
35 1.3% 40%  
36 1.1% 38%  
37 9% 37%  
38 0.7% 28%  
39 3% 28%  
40 13% 24%  
41 6% 12%  
42 1.2% 6%  
43 0.3% 4%  
44 0.9% 4%  
45 1.0% 3%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 1.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 98.9%  
25 1.4% 98.7%  
26 1.4% 97%  
27 3% 96%  
28 11% 92%  
29 3% 81%  
30 9% 78%  
31 34% 69% Median
32 19% 35%  
33 3% 16%  
34 3% 13%  
35 2% 10%  
36 1.3% 7%  
37 6% 6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations