Opinion Poll by DYM for Henneo, 12–14 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 33.4% 31.5–35.4% 31.0–35.9% 30.5–36.4% 29.7–37.3%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 27.3% 25.5–29.2% 25.0–29.7% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.1%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.0–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 24 23–25 22–26 22–26 21–27
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 20 18–21 18–21 18–22 17–22
Vox (PfE) 0 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–14
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 1.0% 99.9%  
22 8% 98.9%  
23 26% 91%  
24 36% 66% Median
25 22% 29%  
26 7% 7%  
27 0.8% 0.9%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 14% 98%  
19 33% 84%  
20 34% 50% Median
21 14% 17%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 1.0% 100%  
10 14% 99.0%  
11 41% 85% Median
12 35% 45%  
13 9% 10%  
14 0.8% 0.8%  
15 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 52% 99.2% Median
3 45% 47%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 59% 98.8% Median
3 39% 40%  
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 71% 99.6% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 24 0% 23–25 22–26 22–26 21–27
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 20 0% 18–21 18–21 18–22 17–22
Vox (PfE) 0 11 0% 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–14

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 1.0% 99.9%  
22 8% 98.9%  
23 26% 91%  
24 36% 66% Median
25 22% 29%  
26 7% 7%  
27 0.8% 0.9%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 14% 98%  
19 33% 84%  
20 34% 50% Median
21 14% 17%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 1.0% 100%  
10 14% 99.0%  
11 41% 85% Median
12 35% 45%  
13 9% 10%  
14 0.8% 0.8%  
15 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations